119 Pokémon sets have hit-tier cards, 4,457 of them in all. 24 sets have pull rates measured from a published pack study, 78 carry an estimate modelled from measured sets of the same era, and 17 have no odds on file. Of the measured sets, Paldean Fates gives the best chance of a hit: 51.5% of packs, 1 in 2.
A hit is a card from a rarity a pack's hit slot produces: Ultra Rare and above, including Double Rares, Illustration Rares, Special Illustration Rares and the gold Hyper Rares. As of October 15, 2026, 119 Pokémon sets have hit-tier cards on file, 4,457 cards in total.
Both, and every rate here says which. As of October 15, 2026, 24 sets have rates measured from a published study of that set's own packs. 78 sets carry an estimate modelled from measured sets of the same era, marked "about" and EST., and good to about a tier rather than to a decimal. 17 sets have no odds on file. The measured sets, newest first, include 30th Celebration, Pitch Black, Chaos Rising, Perfect Order, Ascended Heroes.
30th CelebrationMEGA · Sep 16, 2026MEGA40/1611 in 3any hit · 39.8%Sep 16, 2026
Pitch BlackMEGA · Jul 17, 2026MEGA46/1201 in 3any hit · 36.4%Jul 17, 2026
Chaos RisingMEGA · May 22, 2026MEGA46/1221 in 3any hit · 35.6%May 22, 2026
Perfect OrderMEGA · Mar 27, 2026MEGA45/1241 in 3any hit · 36.6%Mar 27, 2026
Ascended HeroesMEGA · Jan 30, 2026MEGA117/2951 in 3any hit · 33.8%Jan 30, 2026
Phantasmal FlamesMEGA · Nov 14, 2025MEGA46/1301 in 3any hit · 36.0%Nov 14, 2025
Mega EvolutionMEGA · Sep 26, 2025MEGA66/188about 1 in 3any hit · 36.0%Est.Sep 26, 2025
Black BoltSV · Jul 17, 2025SV90/1721 in 3any hit · 38.7%Jul 17, 2025
White FlareSV · Jul 17, 2025SV91/1731 in 3any hit · 38.7%Jul 17, 2025
Destined RivalsSV · May 30, 2025SV79/2441 in 3any hit · 32.4%May 30, 2025
Journey TogetherSV · Mar 28, 2025SV47/1901 in 3any hit · 33.1%Mar 28, 2025
Prismatic EvolutionsSV · Jan 17, 2025SV80/1801 in 4any hit · 28.4%Jan 17, 2025
Surging SparksSV · Nov 8, 2024SV87/2521 in 3any hit · 33.2%Nov 8, 2024
Stellar CrownSV · Sep 13, 2024SV50/1751 in 3any hit · 33.3%Sep 13, 2024
Shrouded FableSV · Aug 2, 2024SV44/99about 1 in 3any hit · 34.2%Est.Aug 2, 2024
Twilight MasqueradeSV · May 24, 2024SV79/2261 in 3any hit · 33.3%May 24, 2024
Paldean FatesSV · Jan 26, 2024SV164/2451 in 2any hit · 51.5%Jan 26, 2024
Paradox RiftSV · Nov 3, 2023SV104/2661 in 3any hit · 29.6%Nov 3, 2023
151SV · Sep 22, 2023SV54/2071 in 3any hit · 29.5%Sep 22, 2023
Obsidian FlamesSV · Aug 11, 2023SV54/230about 1 in 3any hit · 30.7%Est.Aug 11, 2023
Paldea EvolvedSV · Jun 9, 2023SV103/2791 in 3any hit · 29.3%Jun 9, 2023
Scarlet & VioletSV · Mar 31, 2023SV72/2581 in 3any hit · 28.8%Mar 31, 2023
Crown ZenithSWSH · Jan 20, 2023SWSH47/160about 1 in 4any hit · 23.5%Est.Jan 20, 2023
Silver TempestSWSH · Nov 11, 2022SWSH71/215about 1 in 4any hit · 23.8%Est.Nov 11, 2022
Lost OriginSWSH · Sep 9, 2022SWSH68/217about 1 in 4any hit · 24.3%Est.Sep 9, 2022
Pokémon GOSWSH · Jul 1, 2022SWSH30/88about 1 in 4any hit · 24.2%Est.Jul 1, 2022
Astral RadianceSWSH · May 27, 2022SWSH88/216about 1 in 4any hit · 25.1%Est.May 27, 2022
Brilliant StarsSWSH · Feb 25, 2022SWSH62/186about 1 in 5any hit · 20.4%Est.Feb 25, 2022
Fusion StrikeSWSH · Nov 12, 2021SWSH67/284about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.Nov 12, 2021
CelebrationsSWSH · Oct 8, 2021SWSH8/25No odds on fileOct 8, 2021
Evolving SkiesSWSH · Aug 27, 2021SWSH105/2371 in 5any hit · 20.5%Aug 27, 2021
Chilling ReignSWSH · Jun 18, 2021SWSH97/233about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.Jun 18, 2021
Battle StylesSWSH · Mar 19, 2021SWSH60/183about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.Mar 19, 2021
Shining FatesSWSH · Feb 19, 2021SWSH27/73about 1 in 8Holo Rare V onlyEst.Feb 19, 2021
Vivid VoltageSWSH · Nov 13, 2020SWSH61/203about 1 in 8Holo Rare V onlyEst.Nov 13, 2020
Champion's PathSWSH · Sep 25, 2020SWSH26/80about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.Sep 25, 2020
Darkness AblazeSWSH · Aug 14, 2020SWSH46/201about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.Aug 14, 2020
Rebel ClashSWSH · May 1, 2020SWSH58/209about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.May 1, 2020
Sword & ShieldSWSH · Feb 7, 2020SWSH53/216about 1 in 5any hit · 20.5%Est.Feb 7, 2020
SWSH Black Star PromosSWSH · Nov 15, 2019SWSH1/305No odds on fileNov 15, 2019
Cosmic EclipseS&M · Nov 1, 2019S&M78/271about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Nov 1, 2019
Hidden FatesS&M · Aug 23, 2019S&M13/69about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Aug 23, 2019
Unified MindsS&M · Aug 2, 2019S&M62/258about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Aug 2, 2019
Unbroken BondsS&M · May 3, 2019S&M58/234about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.May 3, 2019
Detective PikachuS&M · Mar 29, 2019S&M4/18about 1 in 9any hit · 11.1%Est.Mar 29, 2019
Team UpS&M · Jan 31, 2019S&M49/196about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Jan 31, 2019
Lost ThunderS&M · Nov 2, 2018S&M55/236about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Nov 2, 2018
Celestial StormS&M · Aug 3, 2018S&M43/183about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Aug 3, 2018
Forbidden LightS&M · May 4, 2018S&M36/146about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.May 4, 2018
Ultra PrismS&M · Feb 2, 2018S&M42/173about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Feb 2, 2018
Crimson InvasionS&M · Nov 3, 2017S&M32/125about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Nov 3, 2017
Burning ShadowsS&M · Aug 4, 2017S&M52/169about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Aug 4, 2017
Guardians RisingS&M · May 5, 2017S&M50/169about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.May 5, 2017
Sun & MoonS&M · Feb 3, 2017S&M37/172about 1 in 8any hit · 12.3%Est.Feb 3, 2017
EvolutionsXY · Nov 2, 2016XY30/113about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Nov 2, 2016
Steam SiegeXY · Aug 3, 2016XY23/116about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Aug 3, 2016
Fates CollideXY · May 2, 2016XY28/129about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.May 2, 2016
GenerationsXY · Feb 22, 2016XY21/117about 1 in 12any hit · 8.3%Est.Feb 22, 2016
BREAKpointXY · Feb 3, 2016XY26/126about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Feb 3, 2016
BREAKthroughXY · Nov 4, 2015XY26/165about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Nov 4, 2015
Ancient OriginsXY · Aug 12, 2015XY28/101about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Aug 12, 2015
Roaring SkiesXY · May 6, 2015XY24/112about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.May 6, 2015
Double CrisisXY · Mar 25, 2015XY2/34No odds on fileMar 25, 2015
Primal ClashXY · Feb 4, 2015XY32/164about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Feb 4, 2015
Phantom ForcesXY · Nov 5, 2014XY18/124about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Nov 5, 2014
Furious FistsXY · Aug 13, 2014XY16/114about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.Aug 13, 2014
FlashfireXY · May 7, 2014XY18/110about 1 in 10any hit · 9.6%Est.May 7, 2014
XYXY · Feb 5, 2014XY14/146about 1 in 12any hit · 8.3%Est.Feb 5, 2014
Legendary TreasuresB&W · Nov 6, 2013B&W7/140about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Nov 6, 2013
Plasma BlastB&W · Aug 14, 2013B&W10/105about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Aug 14, 2013
Plasma FreezeB&W · May 8, 2013B&W14/122about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.May 8, 2013
Plasma StormB&W · Feb 6, 2013B&W8/138about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Feb 6, 2013
Boundaries CrossedB&W · Nov 7, 2012B&W13/153about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Nov 7, 2012
Dragons ExaltedB&W · Aug 15, 2012B&W9/128about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Aug 15, 2012
Dark ExplorersB&W · May 9, 2012B&W9/111about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.May 9, 2012
Next DestiniesB&W · Feb 8, 2012B&W10/103about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Feb 8, 2012
Noble VictoriesB&W · Nov 16, 2011B&W6/102about 1 in 15any hit · 6.9%Est.Nov 16, 2011
Emerging PowersB&W · Aug 31, 2011B&W2/98about 1 in 36any hit · 2.8%Est.Aug 31, 2011
Black & WhiteB&W · Apr 25, 2011B&W3/115about 1 in 24any hit · 4.1%Est.Apr 25, 2011
TriumphantHGSS · Nov 3, 2010HGSS12/103about 1 in 5any hit · 21.0%Est.Nov 3, 2010
UndauntedHGSS · Aug 18, 2010HGSS11/91about 1 in 5any hit · 21.8%Est.Aug 18, 2010
UnleashedHGSS · May 12, 2010HGSS13/96about 1 in 5any hit · 21.8%Est.May 12, 2010
HeartGold SoulSilverHGSS · Feb 10, 2010HGSS11/124about 1 in 5any hit · 21.8%Est.Feb 10, 2010
ArceusD&P · Nov 4, 2009D&P6/111about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.Nov 4, 2009
Supreme VictorsD&P · Aug 19, 2009D&P7/153about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.Aug 19, 2009
Rising RivalsD&P · May 16, 2009D&P9/120about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.May 16, 2009
PlatinumD&P · Feb 11, 2009D&P6/133about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.Feb 11, 2009
StormfrontD&P · Nov 1, 2008D&P8/106about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.Nov 1, 2008
Legends AwakenedD&P · Aug 1, 2008D&P7/146about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.Aug 1, 2008
Majestic DawnD&P · May 1, 2008D&P4/100about 1 in 18any hit · 5.6%Est.May 1, 2008
Great EncountersD&P · Feb 1, 2008D&P4/106about 1 in 36any hit · 2.8%Est.Feb 1, 2008
Secret WondersD&P · Nov 1, 2007D&P2/132about 1 in 36any hit · 2.8%Est.Nov 1, 2007
Mysterious TreasuresD&P · Aug 1, 2007D&P3/124about 1 in 36any hit · 2.8%Est.Aug 1, 2007
Diamond & PearlD&P · May 1, 2007D&P3/130about 1 in 36any hit · 2.8%Est.May 1, 2007
SkyridgeWOTC · May 12, 2003WOTC38/182No odds on fileMay 12, 2003
AquapolisWOTC · Jan 15, 2003WOTC35/186No odds on fileJan 15, 2003
Expedition Base SetWOTC · Sep 15, 2002WOTC32/165No odds on fileSep 15, 2002
Neo DestinyWOTC · Feb 28, 2002WOTC24/113No odds on fileFeb 28, 2002
Neo RevelationWOTC · Sep 21, 2001WOTC16/66No odds on fileSep 21, 2001
Neo DiscoveryWOTC · Jun 1, 2001WOTC17/75No odds on fileJun 1, 2001
Neo GenesisWOTC · Dec 16, 2000WOTC19/111No odds on fileDec 16, 2000
Gym ChallengeWOTC · Oct 16, 2000WOTC20/132No odds on fileOct 16, 2000
Gym HeroesWOTC · Aug 14, 2000WOTC19/132No odds on fileAug 14, 2000
Team RocketWOTC · Apr 24, 2000WOTC18/83No odds on fileApr 24, 2000
Base Set 2WOTC · Feb 24, 2000WOTC20/130No odds on fileFeb 24, 2000
FossilWOTC · Oct 10, 1999WOTC15/62No odds on fileOct 10, 1999
JungleWOTC · Jun 16, 1999WOTC16/64No odds on fileJun 16, 1999
Base SetWOTC · Jan 9, 1999WOTC16/1021 in 3any hit · 33.3%Jan 9, 1999Rates marked EST. and “about” are estimated: no pull-rate study of that set has been published, so the figure is the rate each rarity measured at across sets of the same era. Good to about a tier, not to a decimal. “Any hit” is the chance a pack holds a card from any of the set’s hit rarities, and is printed only where every one of them has a rate; where some do, the commonest rated rarity is shown instead.
Of the sets with a measured study, Paldean Fates gives the best chance of a hit: 51.5% of packs, 1 in 2, counting all 7 of its hit rarities.
As of October 15, 2026, Paldean Fates has the most: 164 of its 245 cards sit at a hit rarity, across 7 rarities.