👇 Find the featured cards in each pack
Explore the cards that can land in the hit slot, grouped by rarity with pull-rate context and live prices. Use the full set view to see every other card.
28 of the set's 101 cards can fill them. The best of them is Primal Groudon EX #97 at $1,172.00 — a card you would open once in 360 packs. 12 trade above $50; the rest are worth about $29.39 each. Nobody has published a pull-rate study of Ancient Origins, so these rates are estimated from measured sets of the same era — good to about a tier, not to a decimal.
Rates marked EST. are estimated: no pull-rate study of Ancient Origins has been published, so the figure is the rate this rarity measured at across sets of the same era. Good to about a tier, not to a decimal. Measured rates come from TCGplayer’s Authentication Center pack openings.
Numbered above the set’s main run — the rainbow foils, the golds and the alternate arts. Pokémon files all of them under one label, so the market can price two cards in this tier hundreds of times apart.
"Specific card" splits the tier's rate evenly across its 5 cards. Real spread within one tier runs to ±30%.
Floor FormingPrice is stabilising near a drawdown low, volatility is cooling and depth has stopped thinning. A floor being tested — not yet one that has held.Primal Groudon EXAncient Origins · 97$331.100.0%33Quant score33 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Primal Kyogre EXAncient Origins · 96$420.610.0%23Quant score23 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Energy RetrievalAncient Origins · 99$20.440.0%23Quant score23 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Trainers' MailAncient Origins · 100$7.290.0%64Quant score64 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
M Rayquaza EXAncient Origins · 98$1,172.000.0%76Quant score76 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.Full-art Pokémon and Supporter cards inside the numbered run. The tier where a chase card is still affordable.
"Specific card" splits the tier's rate evenly across its 23 cards. Real spread within one tier runs to ±30%.
MarkupA sustained positive trend with inventory under control — the book is not refilling as fast as it is being taken.Lugia EXAncient Origins · 68$22.870.0%87Quant score87 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
MarkupA sustained positive trend with inventory under control — the book is not refilling as fast as it is being taken.Tyranitar EXAncient Origins · 91$108.520.0%67Quant score67 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
M Tyranitar EXAncient Origins · 92$115.310.0%62Quant score62 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Lugia EXAncient Origins · 94$217.970.0%71Quant score71 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Giratina EXAncient Origins · 93$149.670.0%50Quant score50 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
FallingPrice is declining with no absorption corroborating it — the default bearish read when nothing stronger fires. It says the trend, not how far it has left to run.M Tyranitar EXAncient Origins · 43$27.84+0.5%27Quant score27 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
FallingPrice is declining with no absorption corroborating it — the default bearish read when nothing stronger fires. It says the trend, not how far it has left to run.Tyranitar EXAncient Origins · 42$11.44+1.1%31Quant score31 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
FallingPrice is declining with no absorption corroborating it — the default bearish read when nothing stronger fires. It says the trend, not how far it has left to run.Giratina EXAncient Origins · 57$24.35+0.2%34Quant score34 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
MarkupA sustained positive trend with inventory under control — the book is not refilling as fast as it is being taken.M Sceptile EXAncient Origins · 8$23.680.0%69Quant score69 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
MarkupA sustained positive trend with inventory under control — the book is not refilling as fast as it is being taken.M Ampharos EXAncient Origins · 28$18.91+1.3%70Quant score70 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
M Ampharos EXAncient Origins · 88$78.76+0.1%33Quant score33 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Floor FormingPrice is stabilising near a drawdown low, volatility is cooling and depth has stopped thinning. A floor being tested — not yet one that has held.Sceptile EXAncient Origins · 7$8.400.0%69Quant score69 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
StevenAncient Origins · 95$40.84+0.7%61Quant score61 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Ampharos EXAncient Origins · 27$7.86+3.1%65Quant score65 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Kyurem EXAncient Origins · 25$4.360.0%64Quant score64 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Machamp EXAncient Origins · 37$4.920.0%19Quant score19 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Hoopa EXAncient Origins · 36$7.550.0%67Quant score67 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Ampharos EXAncient Origins · 87$62.11+16.8%N/AQuant score — not availableToo few of the sub-scores resolved on this instrument to compose one. An honest absence: a partial composite would rank it against cards the model knows far more about.
Hoopa EXAncient Origins · 89$53.550.0%N/AQuant score — not availableToo few of the sub-scores resolved on this instrument to compose one. An honest absence: a partial composite would rank it against cards the model knows far more about.
Kyurem EXAncient Origins · 86$44.650.0%68Quant score68 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
M Sceptile EXAncient Origins · 85$119.070.0%24Quant score24 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Sceptile EXAncient Origins · 84$65.15-0.2%38Quant score38 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.
Machamp EXAncient Origins · 90$29.390.0%72Quant score72 / 100A 0-100 composite of the sub-scores — liquidity, trend, value, supply and risk — each computed on this instrument’s own evidence and reweighted when an input is missing rather than filled with a neutral 50. Higher is better; it ranks instruments against each other, and is never a price target.About 9.6% of Ancient Origins booster packs — about 1 in 10 — contain a card from one of the 2 hit rarities in the set. Secret Rares: about 1 in 72 packs. Ultra Rares: about 1 in 12 packs. These rates are estimated from measured sets of the same era; no pull-rate study of this set has been published.
28 of the 101 cards in Ancient Origins are at a rarity a booster pack's hit slot can produce — Ultra Rare and above. The rest come out of the common, uncommon, reverse-holo and standard rare slots.
The rarest tier is Secret Rares in Ancient Origins, at about 1 in 72 packs for any one of its 5 cards. A NAMED card from that tier is about 1 in 360 packs, assuming the tier's cards appear equally often.