The same card sells for different money depending on which company graded it. Every chart below compares slabs of the same card, from recorded sales, so the gap is the grader and not the card.
Same card, 90-day window, 1,347 cards. 2.33× on 360 heavily traded cards.
4% above a PSA 10 on 232 matched cards.
Mostly CGC → PSARoutes with a price band where the median estimate is positive: CGC 10 → PSA, CGC 9.5 → PSA, CGC 9 → PSA, ACE 10 → PSA, CGC 9.5 → ACE, CGC 8 → PSA and CGC 8.5 → PSA.CGC 10 → PSA at $250–$1,000 breaks even at 30% PSA 10 odds. The population model gives 81%.
What is each company’s slab worth against a PSA slab of the same card?
Price as a multiple of the PSA slab
Each dot is a slab’s price as a multiple of a PSA slab of the same card, with its 95% range. Left of the PSA line sells for less.
What is any slab worth in terms of any other?
Row slab ÷ column slab, same card · sale prices, not route returnsThe grid is what slabs SELL for; a route must also pay fees and only sometimes lands the higher grade — see the route breakdown.
| Row slab | PSA 10 | PSA 9 | PSA 8 | PSA 7 | PSA 6 | PSA 5 | PSA 1 | CGC Pristine 10 | CGC 10 | CGC 9.5 | CGC 9 | CGC 8.5 | CGC 8 | TAG 10 | ACE 10 | BGS 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| PSA 9 | ||||||||||||||||
| PSA 8 | ||||||||||||||||
| PSA 7 | ||||||||||||||||
| PSA 6 | ||||||||||||||||
| PSA 5 | ||||||||||||||||
| PSA 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| CGC Pristine 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| CGC 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| CGC 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| CGC 9 | ||||||||||||||||
| CGC 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| CGC 8 | ||||||||||||||||
| TAG 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| ACE 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| BGS 9.5 |
Column slab
Read across: the row’s slab is worth this many of the column’s, on the same card. Green, the row sells for more; red, for less.
Does the PSA premium depend on the card’s era or price?
| Card price (mid-price of both slabs) | Vintage | Classic | Mid | Modern |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $100 | ||||
| $100–$1,000 | ||||
| Over $1,000 |
Era group
At grade 10 the gap differs by price (p < 0.01) and by era (p < 0.01); its spread differs by price (p < 0.01) and by era (p < 0.01).
PSA’s price as a multiple of CGC’s at the same grade, by era and card price (mid-price of both slabs). Brighter is a wider gap; the small number is cards.
On the same cards, does one company award more 10s?
Share of graded copies that are a 10
Left: share of graded copies that came back a 10, compared on the same cards. Right: one dot per card; above the line, CGC gave more 10s.
If a slab were cracked and resubmitted, what would it come back as?
| Grade at CGC today | PSA 10 | PSA 9 | PSA 8 | PSA 7 | PSA 6 | PSA 5 | PSA 4 | PSA 3 | PSA 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC Perfect 10 | |||||||||
| CGC Pristine 10 | |||||||||
| CGC 10 | |||||||||
| CGC 9.5 | |||||||||
| CGC 9 | |||||||||
| CGC 8.5 | |||||||||
| CGC 8 | |||||||||
| CGC 7.5 | |||||||||
| CGC 7 | |||||||||
| CGC 6.5 | |||||||||
| CGC 6 |
Grade at PSA
Each row is a slab’s grade today; across is where the same card would land at the other company — a population model, not a measurement.
Which crack-and-resubmit route pays, and at what card price?
Median return, by route and price band · click a cell for its breakdown
| Route | Under $50 | $50–$250 | $250–$1,000 | Over $1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC 10 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 9.5 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 9 → PSA | ||||
| ACE 10 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 9.5 → ACE | ||||
| CGC 8 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 8.5 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 7 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 7.5 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 10 → ACE | ||||
| PSA 9 → ACE | ||||
| ACE 10 → CGC | ||||
| PSA 7 → CGC | ||||
| PSA 8 → CGC | ||||
| ACE 9 → PSA | ||||
| PSA 9 → CGC | ||||
| PSA 10 → ACE | ||||
| PSA 10 → CGC |
Price of the slab bought
Route breakdown
CGC 10 → PSA · $250–$1,000 · 419 cards
| Comes back as | Odds (model)Population model: the share of copies landing on each grade, if both companies received copies of equal quality. | Median priceMedian recorded sale of that slab across the band's cards; “est.” when most of those prices are an estimate rather than a sale. | p × price (net)The grade’s odds × its median price, less the selling fee: what it adds to the expected sale at these medians. The rows sum to the line below. |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10top | 80% | $1.8k | $1.3k |
| PSA 9 | 20% | $270 | $48 |
Expected sale at the medians (sum of the rows)$1.3k
Grading fee−$80
Ship & insure−$25
Slab bought (median price)−$445
= Estimate at the band’s medians+$771
Median card’s own estimate (the grid’s cell)A DIFFERENT number from the line above: each card’s own estimate at its own prices, then the median across the band’s cards — the figure in the route grid’s cell. A band that mixes cheap and dear cards can put the two far apart, even on opposite sides of zero.+$661 · +107%
Best sets on this route · every price band
| Set | Cards | Median return | Strong |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jungle | 62 | +40% | +64% |
| Skyridge | 66 | +37% | +68% |
| Team Rocket | 65 | +33% | +56% |
| Fossil | 66 | +33% | +55% |
| Base Set | 124 | +7% | +22% |
Odds needed vs odds implied · every route at its best price band
Chance of the top grade
Which slabs for sale fit the best routes right now?
No live slabs match the top routes right now; the inventory job runs four times a day.
Rebuilt weekly from recorded sales (last run 2026-10-19). A price gap compares the same card sold in both slabs in the same window, and needs at least 15 such cards.
The grid is what slabs SELL for; a route must also pay fees and only sometimes lands the higher grade — see the route breakdown.
Regrade odds, and every route estimate built on them, are a population model, not a record of resubmissions. Cards above every open fee tier are excluded. The full method below.
On the same card, a PSA 10 sold for 2.86× a CGC 10 over the last 90 days, across 1,347 cards (95% range 2.8×–3.0×). On the 360 most heavily traded of them — at least 10 recorded sales on each side — it is 2.33×.
Only cards that sold in both slabs in the same window count, so the gap is the grader and not the card. Each card gives one ratio of its two median prices; the page shows the median ratio across at least 15 such cards, with a 95% range from resampling the cards.
TAG 10: 1.04× a PSA 10 of the same card, across 232 cards over 90 days.
Routes with a price band where the median estimate is positive: CGC 10 → PSA, CGC 9.5 → PSA, CGC 9 → PSA, ACE 10 → PSA, CGC 9.5 → ACE, CGC 8 → PSA and CGC 8.5 → PSA. The strongest is CGC 10 → PSA at $250–$1,000: it breaks even at 30% odds of a PSA 10, and the population model gives 81%. A PSA slab resubmitted to another company does not pay in any price band.
From each company’s own graded population of the same card: a slab at one company’s grade is mapped to the grade at the same position in the other company’s population. It is a population model, not a record of real resubmissions.
The chance of the top grade at which the estimate is exactly zero. It depends only on prices and fees, so it holds whatever odds you believe — compare it with your own read of the card.
See also: Grader Strictness — what each company’s published standards allow at every grade.
See also: Condition Arbitrage — what LP, MP, HP and Damaged copies sell for against Near Mint, raw.
Every admitted recorded sale of a graded card, grouped by the slab it sold in — a company and a grade. A card's price in a slab is the median of its sales over the trailing 90 days, widened to 180 or 365 days only when 90 do not hold enough cards. A price needs at least 3 sales, and one whose dearest sale is more than 5× its own median is refused rather than averaged.
Matched cards only: a card with sales in BOTH slabs in the same window contributes one ratio of its two medians, and the premium is the median of those ratios across at least 15 cards, with a 95% interval from resampling the cards. A ratio of two unmatched averages would compare which cards each company happens to hold, not the company, so none is ever published. The heavily traded figure keeps only cards with at least 10 sales on both sides.
Whether the PSA premium differs by era group or by price band is a Kruskal–Wallis test on the per-card ratios — on its level, and on its spread (how much cards disagree) — with a permutation p adjusted (Benjamini–Hochberg) across every test in the block. A card's price band is its mid-price across both slabs (the geometric mean of the two), never one side's own price, which is half of the ratio under test. The section is drawn only when at least one test clears 0.05.
A company's gem rate is its 10s, every designation included, over every copy it has graded of single-finish cards it holds at least 100 copies of, pooled across those cards, with a Wilson interval. Printings with more than one finish are left out, because their populations are not split by finish.
Regrade odds map a slab's grade at one company to the same position in the other company's graded population of the same card — the card's own populations when both companies hold 100 or more copies, its era group's pooled ones otherwise. No real resubmission is observed.
A route buys a slab at its median recorded price, cracks it, pays the new company's fee with the expected sale as declared value — a card above every open fee tier's cap is excluded rather than priced at a fee it would not be charged — and sells at the median price of whichever grade it lands at. The estimate is that expected sale less selling fees, the purchase, the fee and shipping, and the return is the estimate over those costs. A card needs 3 sales on both its slab and its top grade, and the top grade must be priced by a sale, never an estimate; a card whose top-grade price is more than 12× its slab price is refused as edition or variant mixing. A route needs 30 priced cards and a price band 15. The break-even chance is the probability of the top grade at which the estimate is zero, so it depends only on prices and fees; a card that cannot break even at any chance counts as 100%.
As of 2026-10-18 · built 2026-10-19
Left: median return by route and price band. Right: top-grade odds needed (hollow) against the population model (filled). A PSA slab resubmitted elsewhere does not pay in any price band. Strong = top quarter of its grade’s population; Pre-Grade tells you which.
In which eras, sets and rarities does a route pay?
Median return, by route and era · cards under each figure
| Route | Vintage | Classic | Mid | Modern |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC 10 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 9.5 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 9 → PSA | ||||
| ACE 10 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 9.5 → ACE | ||||
| CGC 8 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 8.5 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 7 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 7.5 → PSA | ||||
| CGC 10 → ACE | ||||
| PSA 9 → ACE | ||||
| ACE 10 → CGC | ||||
| PSA 7 → CGC | ||||
| PSA 8 → CGC | ||||
| ACE 9 → PSA | ||||
| PSA 9 → CGC | ||||
| PSA 10 → ACE | ||||
| PSA 10 → CGC |
Era of the card
Every sector where a route pays
| RouteThe route, and its market-vs-model mark — inherited from the route’s best price band: a sector has no break-even odds of its own. | Kind | Sector | Cards of this sector the route priced. | Median return across those cards, average slab odds. | Share of those cards with a positive estimate. | Median return under a strong slab’s odds (top quarter of its grade’s population). |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGC 10 → PSAmodel only | Price band | $250–$1,000 | 419 | +107% | 93% | +131% |
| CGC 10 → PSAmodel only | Era | Classic | 304 | +102% | 85% | +164% |
| CGC 10 → PSAmodel only | Price band | Over $1,000 | 173 | +79% | 90% | +125% |
| CGC 9.5 → PSAmodel only | Price band | $250–$1,000 | 91 | +74% | 71% | +77% |
| CGC 9.5 → PSAmodel only | Era | Mid | 74 | +66% | 74% | +66% |
| CGC 9.5 → PSAmodel only | Era | Vintage | 229 | +55% | 74% | +60% |
| CGC 9.5 → PSAmodel only | Set | Team Rocket | 38 | +53% | 79% | +58% |
| CGC 9.5 → PSAmodel only | Set | Jungle | 25 | +52% | 84% | +57% |
| CGC 9 → PSAmodel only | Price band | $250–$1,000 | 159 | +49% | 79% | +81% |
| CGC 9.5 → PSAmodel only | Price band | Over $1,000 | 23 | +41% | 74% | +41% |
Top: median return by route and era of the card, hatched under 15 cards. Below: every era, set, rarity and price band where a route pays.
Which cards drive that route?
| Default order: the best-attested cards first — the fewer of a card’s slab sales and top-grade sales, highest first, then the estimate. | The card and its set. | Median recorded sale of the slab this route buys, over the window. | Recorded sales behind the slab’s price. | Median recorded sale of the top grade the resubmission can land at — an observed price, never an estimate. | Recorded sales behind the top-grade price. | Chance the resubmission comes back at the top grade, from the population model. | Chance of the top grade at which the estimate is exactly zero — prices and fees only. | The new company’s grading fee, with the expected sale as the declared value — every card shown is within an open tier’s cap. | The fee tier the new company bills at that declared value. | Estimate: the expected sale across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab’s price, the grading fee and shipping. An estimate, not a promise. | The estimate as a share of what the route costs: the slab, the fee and shipping. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mega Charizard X exModernPhantasmal Flames | $935Median of 81 recorded sales over 90 days. | 81 | $1.6k | 604 | 87% PSA 10 | 58% | $80 | PSA Priority | +$238Expected sale $1.5k across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +23% |
| 2 | Pikachu exModernAscended Heroes | $964Median of 72 recorded sales over 90 days. | 72 | $1.9k | 340 | 99% PSA 10 | 52% | $199 | PSA Express | +$446Expected sale $1.9k across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +38% |
| 3 | Charizard exModern151 | $575Median of 64 recorded sales over 90 days. | 64 | $1.4k | 391 | 77% PSA 10 | 40% | $80 | PSA Priority | +$326Expected sale $1.2k across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +48% |
| 4 | Mega Dragonite exModernAscended Heroes | $600Median of 49 recorded sales over 90 days. | 49 | $1.1k | 336 | 77% PSA 10 | 46% | $60 | PSA Standard | +$150Expected sale $963 across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +22% |
| 5 | Pikachu exModernAscended Heroes | $319Median of 47 recorded sales over 90 days. | 47 | $790 | 233 | 64% PSA 10 | 35% | $60 | PSA Standard | +$127Expected sale $612 across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +32% |
| 6 | Ancient MewVintageMiscellaneous Promos | $575Median of 44 recorded sales over 90 days. | 44 | $3.0k | 38 | 81% PSA 10 | 25% | $199 | PSA Express | +$1.3kExpected sale $2.4k across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +166% |
| 7 | Team Rocket's Mewtwo exModernAscended Heroes | $280Median of 38 recorded sales over 90 days. | 38 | $621 | 282 | 89% PSA 10 | 44% | $60 | PSA Standard | +$139Expected sale $581 across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +38% |
| 8 | Mega Greninja exModernChaos Rising | $263Median of 34 recorded sales over 90 days. | 34 | $391 | 413 | 87% PSA 10 | 100% | $60 | PSA Standard | −$36Expected sale $359 across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | −10% |
| 9 | Mewtwo VSTARModernCrown Zenith Galarian Gallery | $320Median of 33 recorded sales over 90 days. | 33 | $535 | 287 | 88% PSA 10 | 75% | $60 | PSA Standard | +$30Expected sale $502 across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +8% |
| 10 | Team Rocket's Mewtwo exModernDestined Rivals | $600Median of 32 recorded sales over 90 days. | 32 | $975 | 362 | 89% PSA 10 | 67% | $60 | PSA Standard | +$108Expected sale $914 across every grade it could land at, less selling fees, the slab, the fee and shipping. | +16% |
Each route’s best-attested cards in its best-paying price band: most recorded sales on both slabs first, then the estimate.
Rebuilt weekly from recorded sales, never read live. The last build ran 2026-10-19, with sales through 2026-10-18.
129 slab-type pairs published across 25 slab types, from 36,040 matched card pairs in the exchange grid; 3,924 cards carry both a PSA and a CGC population. Windows: 115 pairs priced over 90 days, 13 over 180 and 1 over 365.
A slab that sells is not a random slab: owners sell what pays, so a company's high grades may come to market more often than its low ones. If submitters send one company their best copies, the model's odds lean toward that company's grades. Every route figure is an estimate, not a promise of profit: fees, shipping, time and the resale market all move.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.