Eevee — SM235CGC 10 · HoloEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
A different printing of this card — a reverse holo, a promo stamp, another language. Choosing one NAVIGATES: every price, print, listing and score on the page belongs to that printing instead, because they are separate instruments that trade at different prices.The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
As of 06:33ZAs of 06:33ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$39.00item—
item · median
Mkt Price$39.00 itemThe marketplace’s own published guide price for the day. The day’s own prints were too few to take a median from — two trades at one seller’s price point is not a market — so the guide is quoted instead (D-397). The chart still draws every print the day had.
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.
LiquidityN/A
LiquidityN/AHow easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D Vol
2units
units · 1d so far
30D Vol2 units2 units over the last 1 days, on TCGplayer and eBay. Newest reading Aug 17, 2026. No earlier 30-day window to compare against.
For Sale
0units
live delivered asks
For Sale0 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded Pop
804▲+2.6%
across 3 graders
Graded Pop804Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
How this summary is madeThe first sentence is written by a language model from this card’s own data. The second is computed from the live numbers on this page every time it loads, so it moves with the market.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
Vol 2 sold·1 tcgp·1 ebay·1 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
—
RSI 14
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
TCGplayer0
eBay0
Fair value
—
Insufficient data
No fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered.
Market safety
—No bookNo visible asks, so there is no control cost to band.
Nothing is listed for sale, so there is no book for one buyer to move.
Flow
Thin tape
Supply
▲Nothing listedNo active fixed-price ask carries a known delivered price right now. Anyone who wants one has to bid for it or wait.
0 units listed — 0.0d of stock at the 30-day pace of 2.0/day.
PopulationAll graders pooled804Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, as each of them states its own total. A share of what was submitted and kept — never the odds a copy grades 10.ACE9Slabs ACE itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.CGC274Slabs CGC itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.PSA521Slabs PSA itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.
1081010 — 108 slabs, 13.4% of the 804 charted hereCGC 17 (Gem Mint 10 · Pristine 10) · PSA 9169.59.5 — 6 slabs, 0.7% of the 804 charted hereCGC 635699 — 356 slabs, 44.3% of the 804 charted hereACE 4 · CGC 66 · PSA 2861108.58.5 — 110 slabs, 13.7% of the 804 charted hereCGC 11015288 — 152 slabs, 18.9% of the 804 charted hereACE 2 · CGC 45 · PSA 105217.57.5 — 21 slabs, 2.6% of the 804 charted hereCGC 212777 — 27 slabs, 3.4% of the 804 charted hereACE 3 · CGC 2 · PSA 2226.56.5 — 2 slabs, 0.2% of the 804 charted hereCGC 21666 — 16 slabs, 2.0% of the 804 charted hereCGC 2 · PSA 1415.55.5 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 804 charted hereCGC 1455 — 4 slabs, 0.5% of the 804 charted hereCGC 1 · PSA 3144 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 804 charted hereCGC 1
Listed0 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 1d · 2.0/day2 unitsUnits over the last 1 days, on TCGplayer and eBay. Newest reading 2026-08-17.Graded · ACE 9 · CGC 274 · PSA 521804 slabsEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Print scarcity
•Set not coveredA set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
LightModerateHeavy
Model inputs
Graded copies804 copies
Competitive play•Fringe0.7% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days, measured play below the 5% regular threshold.
0.7%+0.2 ppChange in share against the 30-day window ending September 13, 2026, in percentage points.In 154 of 22,383 Standard decklists across 338 events, last 30 days · 2.0 copies per deck that plays it.
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Sold median moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and +0.0% over 30 days, last printing at $39.00. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: no single factor dominates; the composite score is being driven by broad, low-amplitude movement across most inputs.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: with only 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
Evidence
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
CCCost: Colorless · Colorless
Running Charge
· 30×
— Flip a coin until you get tails. This attack does 30 damage for each heads.
Too little sold-unit evidence to read a pace from — see the note below.
—
Insufficient data
Only 1 day of sold history — a full 30-day window is needed to read a pace.
Method▾
Daily units are the venue's own sold-quantity history, expanded off each bucket's real span, plus confirmed prints from the other side of the market. Prints come from the live sales tape at delivered prices. The floor is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same one FAIR VALUE prices against.
Bottom line
—No callUnder half the model had evidence, so the score is a statement about the inputs that reported rather than about the card. No call until more of them do.
57/100 across 1 of 11 inputs. Every input that reported landed near neutral. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.
Grading upside55Grading upside55/100Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Carries 6% of the composite.
1 of 11 inputs · 6% weight · -35% confidence▾
Not reading yet: value vs fair, price trend, money flow, book pressure, liquidity, relative strength, manipulation risk, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Grading upside6%55Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Value vs fair17%no readingFair value returned UNKNOWN — too few comparable prints to anchor an estimate.Price trend13%no readingNo price history in the 7- and 30-day windows, or no confirmed print in 30 days — the line is the relay’s guide.Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.Book pressure11%no readingNeeds a 30-day inventory change, or book counts spanning ≥3 days that move at all and rest on ≥8 listings. Collection of `inventory_observations` began 2026-09-02.
Competitive meta+2A BONUS on top of the weighted composite, never a penalty: 20% of Standard decklists or more adds 8, 5% or more adds 5, and any measured play at all adds 2. A card nobody plays is not marked down for it. Measured on 0.7% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
Gem rate
▼Hard gem · choose PSAPSA issued a 10 on 17.5% of its 521 slabs of this printing. Next best is CGC at 6.2% on 274 slabs. Easy at 60% or more, moderate from 35%, hard under 35%. Only graders with 30+ slabs on file are compared.
PSA gems 17.5% of 521 slabs; next best CGC at 6.2%.
10 rate by grader
PSA · choose17.5%PSA 1091 of 521PSA: 91 of the 521 PSA slabs on file are a 10 (PSA 10) — 17.5%, 95% interval 14.4%–21.0%.CGC6.2%Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 1017 of 274CGC: 17 of the 274 CGC slabs on file are a 10 (Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 10) — 6.2%, 95% interval 3.9%–9.7%.ACE0.0%ACE 100 of 9 · thinACE: 0 of the 9 ACE slabs on file are a 10 (ACE 10) — 0.0%, 95% interval 0.0%–29.9%. Under 30 slabs, so it is shown but never compared or recommended.
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Slab premium
▲Strong slab premiumThe dearest priced rung is PSA 10 at $1,212.50, 83.1× the $14.59 raw reference (modelled guide price).
A PSA 10 is worth $1,212.50 — 83.1× the $14.59 raw modelled guide price.
Dearest slab per grading company
PSA 10$1,212.5083.1×PSA 10 — $1,212.50, 83.1× raw$1,599.99 · EBAY · 2026-10-01 · $825.00 · EBAY · 2026-09-20CGC 10$39.002.7×CGC 10 — $39.00, 2.7× raw$39.00 · EBAY · 2026-08-17Raw$14.59guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.1.0×Raw — $14.59, 1.0× rawThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. Every multiple on this ladder is taken against it.
A PSA 10 fetches 3009% more than a CGC 10.
One rung down, a PSA 9 is $70.00 — 4.8× raw.
ACE (9 slabs) has no priced comp at any grade — nothing has been paid for one we can see.
Grading ROI
▲GradePSA: +$132.83 expected, still +$102.85 at the 95% lower bound of the gem share — break-even needs 4% gems; observed 17% (95% floor 14%, n=521).
Best on PSA: +$132.83 expected, still +$102.85 at the 95% lower bound of the gem share — break-even needs 4% gems; observed 17% (95% floor 14%, n=521).
Odds of a 10 vs what it takes
PSA needs 4% tens to break even; the census shows 17%, with a 95% interval of 14% to 21% on 521 slabs.
break-even 4.1%Break-even4.1%The 10 rate this submission would need just to cover the raw price and the fee. It is the white line on the meter above: the solid segment has to clear it before grading is worth doing at all.observed 17.5% [14.4%–21.0%] n=521Observed 10 rate17.5%Measured over 521 graded copies in the census, with a 95% interval of 14.4%–21.0% around it — the band on the meter IS that interval, and it is the width of the doubt, not of the opportunity. A small n makes it wide.
VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.
FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.
P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
Pre-grade this card →Photograph your own copy front and back for centering, wear and the odds of each grade. An estimate, not a grade.
$14.59 raw (modelled guide price) + $59.99 PSA Standard + $25.00 ship/ins = $99.58 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Graded copies
804 copies
Slabs on record across PSA, CGC and ACE, summed over every grade. The model’s raw input — it is NOT the print run, because a card people grade often will show a large population off a small press run. Ungraded and sealed copies are invisible to it.
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
2.0
Mean copies per deck that runs it, over the 154 decks that do; never averaged against the decks that do not. The bar is scaled to 4, the per-deck limit.
Top-cut lift0.32×0.2% of 3,647 top-cut decklists run it, against 0.7% of the whole field. Above 1.00 it is over-represented where the money is. Withheld under 20 top-cut decklists.
Win rate33.3%160 of 481 decided matches where exactly one seat ran this card. Mirrors, byes and tables with no published winner are excluded. Withheld under 30 matches.
Deck spread0.901 minus the concentration of this card across the deck archetypes that run it. 1.00 is spread evenly over many decks; 0 is one deck.
Player floor$0.20The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Eevee, Surging Sparks. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Premium over floor195×This printing's headline price ($39.00) against the player floor ($0.20). What a player pays for THIS art rather than for the cheapest legal copy of the same card.Playset$0.402.0 copies (the mean per deck that runs it) at the player floor of $0.20. What the decks on file actually bought.30d sold0 units (-100% vs prior 30d)Units of THIS printing sold in the 30 days ending October 13, 2026, against the 30 days before that (2). Demand at a table and demand in the market are different measurements; this is the second one.Meta vs priceNot enough history (1 week)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Meta share · % of Standard decklists (right axis)Median price · this print, $ (left axis)Units sold per day (bars)
Does the meta move the price? Share of Standard decklists running this card against this print's median sale price and units sold, day by day; the rank correlation above is printed once 8 weeks exist.
Fringe at 0.7% of Standard decklists, +0.2 pp on the prior window. A playset costs $0.40 at the cheapest legal print.
94.5% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
EvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 0 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 0%, based on 1 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Feb 3, 2017
9.7y
98%
No
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.
Oct 14, 2026
2d
60%
No
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Aug 17, 2026
61d
50%
No
CGC 10 · HoloWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
Highest Volume
The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#
Card
SetSetThe set this printing belongs to. Sets differ in print run and age, which is most of why two cards at the same price behave differently.
Trend 30DTrend 30DThe last 30 days of price, drawn from a zero-independent scale. The shape is the reading — the level is the Price column beside it.
30D30DPrice change over the last 30 calendar days, signed. A dash when the series has no price close enough to 30 days ago to measure from.
PricePriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).
30d vol30d volume30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.
FV GapFV GapPrice against fair value, signed. NEGATIVE is below the model — the card trades under its fair value — which is the opposite direction from the Pop 30D column’s colouring.
LiqLiqLiquidity, 0–100 — how easily a position clears, never whether it is cheap. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
VelocityVelocityConfirmed sales per day. Higher means a thicker tape, so every other figure in the row rests on more evidence.
Days InvDays InvHow many days the listed supply would take to clear at the current sale pace. Lower is a tighter market; a very high number usually means the pace, not the supply, is the problem.
SupplySupplyUnits listed for sale right now across the venues we track. It is the raw count of asks, not what is buyable at any one price.
Pop 30DPop 30DChange in graded population over 30 days. Rising means supply of slabs is growing, which is the ordinary up-is-up reading and generally NOT good for price.
Liquidity9%no readingFewer than two of the four participation readings could be measured — no trade count, and no book to read a queue or a seller base off.
Manipulation risk9%no readingNo visible ask book, so there is no control cost to band.
Relative strength7%no readingThe wall projection has ranked fewer than 20 cards on 30-day return, so a percentile here would be a rank of a handful dressed up as a market.
Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).
Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.
Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
ACE
$24.39ACE Basic — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. £18.00 converted at GBP/USD 1.355 (2026-09-01) — a conversion, not a quoted USD price. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Core $16.26, Value $20.33.
0.0%95% interval 0.0%–29.9% on n=9. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
—No 10 price is on file for ACE, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no ACE price at grade 10 at any basis.
CGC
$20.00CGC Economy — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Bulk $17.00.
6.2%95% interval 3.9%–9.7% on n=274. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$39.00$39.00. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
-43%-$25.76 on a $59.59 cost basis.
≈-46%Only 2% of the CGC distribution is priced, so this falls back to P(10)·ROI(10) + (1−P(10))·ROI(pooled sub-10 price).
PSA
$59.99PSA Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Value Bulk $24.99, Value $32.99.
17.5%95% interval 14.4%–21.0% on n=521. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$1,213$1,212.50. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
+956%+$952.26 on a $99.58 cost basis.
+124%Risk-weighted across all 6 PSA rungs; 97% of the distribution carried its own price, the remaining 3% valued at the pooled sub-10 price.
SM Black Star Promos
