Exeggcute — 002/191

Not enough completed auctions to price a demand spread for this instrument.

No graded population or grading economics modelled for this printing.

Over 30d: inventory +35.7%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.

What changed

Sold median moved -3.9% over the trailing 7 days and -1.4% over 30 days, last printing at $0.73. Active TCGplayer listings rose 10% over the same 7 days to 300.

Primary explanation

Primary read: Supply tightness scored 22/100 (composite weight 12%). — the largest single contributor to the current FALLING regime read.

Alternative

Alternative explanation: Price trend scored 30/100 (composite weight 14%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.

Evidence

Evidence: raw~tcgdex:sv08-002:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:sv08-002:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory +35.7%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").

Confidence

Confidence: 50% (floor-confidence 37/100), based on 30 days of observations.

What would disprove it

This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 345 while sold median keeps falling.