Beedrill — 17/102

Not enough completed auctions to price a demand spread for this instrument.

No graded population or grading economics modelled for this printing.

Over 30d: inventory -5.3%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.

What changed

Sold median moved -0.8% over the trailing 7 days and +2.8% over 30 days, last printing at $16.95. Active TCGplayer listings rose 6% over the same 7 days to 143.

Primary explanation

Primary read: Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%). — the largest single contributor to the current FLOOR_FORMING regime read.

Alternative

Alternative explanation: Data quality scored 73/100 (composite weight 6%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.

Evidence

Evidence: raw~tcgdex:base1-17:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:base1-17:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory -5.3%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").

Confidence

Confidence: 30% (floor-confidence 47/100), based on 30 days of observations.

What would disprove it

This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 164 while sold median keeps falling.