The vendor's catalog photograph of Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Scarlet & Violet era.
Obsidian Flames, released August 11, 2023 in the Scarlet & Violet era of the English-language Pokémon TCG, is an expansion with 24 sealed products in its line. The Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case is a sealed shipping case of Elite Trainer Boxes, the format built around opening booster packs with a full play kit alongside them. A case is a bulk unit, a way to open a large quantity of packs from one expansion at once, since every box inside draws on the same set.
The Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case holds 10 Elite Trainer Boxes. Every box carries 9 Obsidian Flames booster packs, a full-art foil Charmander promo, 65 Charmander sleeves, 45 Energy cards and a player's guide to the expansion. Play accessories round it out: six damage-counter dice, one coin-flip die approved for competitive play, and two plastic condition markers. The cards and gear sit in a storage box with 4 dividers, and a code card unlocks Pokémon Trading Card Game Live.
The Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case contains packs from the set, so these chase cards can be pulled from it. The most valuable card is the Special illustration rare Charizard ex, followed by an Illustration rare Cleffa, a Hyper rare Charizard ex, an Illustration rare Ninetales and an Ultra Rare Charizard ex. The set has 54 chase-tier cards and 33 secret rares beyond its 197 official cards. Value is concentrated at the top: the five most valuable cards make up 51 percent of the set's total card value, and Charizard ex accounts for three of them.
As of October 23, 2026, the Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case has only been tracked since September 2026, so there is little history to read yet. Its price is up 20 percent over the past 30 days and sits 24 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than recent sales, which is why a window this short works as an early marker, not an established trend.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 21 cases of Elite Trainer Boxes in the Scarlet & Violet era, the Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case ranks 4th by price and sits at about 2.1 times the era median. The Paldea Evolved Elite Trainer Box Case from the previous set is priced lower, while the 151 Elite Trainer Box Case from the next set is priced higher. Within its own set it is the highest-priced of the 23 priced Obsidian Flames products, ranking 1st in the line.
| Measure | This productObsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case | Median of 21 cases of Elite Trainer BoxesScarlet & Violet median | Previous setPaldea Evolved Elite Trainer Box Case | Next set151 Elite Trainer Box Case |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | Obsidian Flames | — | Paldea Evolved |
$3,132.63, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 21, 2026.
Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case is from Obsidian Flames.
We don't currently track retail stock for Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case, which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Aug 11, 2023 | — | Jun 9, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 |
|---|
| Price | $3,132.63 | $1,489.98 | $2,096.49 | $6,575.00 |
|---|
guide · modelled
units · 1d so far
as of Oct 25, 2026 · UTC
Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer Box Case · 1DMkt$3132.630.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 30/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 26/100 (composite weight 32%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-21.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The dearest of the 23 priced sealed products in Obsidian Flames.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 5 asks · 3 sales · 174 daily guide points · 134 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 24, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 24, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 25, 2026 | 2d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Sep 22, 2026 | 34d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 35, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 24, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No per-pack wholesale figure.
| Distributor | Lot | Lot price | Per pack | Currency | Stock | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill's Wholesale Gaming (public wholesale catalogue)Pokemon Scarlet & Violet: Obsidian Flames Elite Trainer 10ct Case ( Charmander ) | 10 units | $400.00 | —The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price. | USD | In Stock Now1 on hand | 2024-12-10Stale · 685d |
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
17 lots listed on 2026-10-26 — higher than 50% of the set's own readings; 11700 packs on hand, higher than 94% over 42 readings in 90 days.
Bulk is pouring in: fresh packs mean fresh raw NM singles, so Obsidian Flames's raw copies are the most exposed; graded copies are insulated.
5 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.