The vendor's catalog photograph of Lost Thunder Booster Box. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Sun & Moon era.
The Lost Thunder Booster Box is a sealed booster box from the Sun & Moon era of the English-language Pokémon TCG, built for opening packs. Lost Thunder is an expansion that released on November 2, 2018, and its booster box is one of 18 sealed products the set has. Because the box is a full case of the set's boosters, it is the format collectors turn to when the aim is to open a large number of packs and see what the expansion produces.
The Lost Thunder Booster Box holds 36 Lost Thunder booster packs. Each pack contains 10 cards and 1 basic Energy.
The packs in this Lost Thunder Booster Box can yield all of the set's chase cards. Lugia GX leads as a Secret Rare, followed by Mimikyu GX, also a Secret Rare, then Professor Elm’s Lecture as an Ultra Rare. The Ultra Rare versions of Lugia GX and Mimikyu GX complete the top five. The set lists 214 official cards with 22 secret cards beyond that count, and 55 cards sit in the chase tiers. The five most valuable cards make up 37 percent of the set's total card value, so a good share of the worth rests on a handful of pulls.
As of October 23, 2026, the Lost Thunder Booster Box is up 3 percent over the past 30 days. Tracking began in September 2026, so the window is short and only the recent move says much. The box now sits 9 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of individual recent sales.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 12 Sun & Moon era booster boxes, the Lost Thunder Booster Box ranks 8th by price and sits about equal to the era median. The Celestial Storm Booster Box from the previous set and the Team Up Booster Box from the next set are both higher-priced. Within its own set's line, the Lost Thunder Booster Box ranks 1st by price of 7 priced products, making it the highest-priced sealed product the set offers.
| Measure | This productLost Thunder Booster Box | Median of 12 booster boxesSun & Moon median | Previous setCelestial Storm Booster Box | Next setTeam Up Booster Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | Lost Thunder | — | Celestial Storm | Team Up |
$1,618.82, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 21, 2026.
Lost Thunder Booster Box is from Lost Thunder.
We don't currently track retail stock for Lost Thunder Booster Box, which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Nov 2, 2018 | — | Aug 3, 2018 | Jan 31, 2019 |
|---|
| Price | $1,618.82 | $1,756.66 | $2,569.16 | $11,737.50 |
|---|
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Oct 26, 2026 · UTC
Lost Thunder Booster Box · 1DMkt$1618.820.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 29/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 11/100 (composite weight 32%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-21.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The dearest of the 7 priced sealed products in Lost Thunder.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 9 asks · 11 sales · 177 daily guide points · 136 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 24, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 24, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 26, 2026 | 23h | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 16, 2026 | 10d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 35, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 24, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
Cheapest wholesale: $2.44 per pack · Hill's Wholesale Gaming (public wholesale catalogue)
| Distributor | Lot | Lot price | Per pack | Currency | Stock | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill's Wholesale Gaming (public wholesale catalogue)Pokemon Sun & Moon: Lost Thunder Booster Box | 36 packs | $88.00 | $2.44 | USD | In Stock Now70 on hand | 2019-06-06Stale · 2699d |
| 401 Games (public Shopify product feed)Pokemon - Lost Thunder Booster Box | Lot · count not stated | CA$999.95 CAD | CA$27.78 CAD | CAD | sold out | 2026-10-26 |
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
9 lots listed on 2026-10-26 — higher than 52% of the set's own readings over 42 readings in 90 days.
| 36 packs |
| — |
| —The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price. |
| USD |
| OutOfStock |
| 2026-10-26 |
| Face to Face Games (public Shopify product feed)Pokémon TCG: Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder Booster Box | Lot · count not stated | CA$2,499.99 CAD | —The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price. | CAD | sold out | 2026-10-26 |
Thin on the wholesale shelf: fresh-pack supply is not what is pressuring Lost Thunder's raw NM singles right now.
4 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.