The vendor's catalog photograph of Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Sun & Moon era.
The Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box is a prerelease-style kit from Lost Thunder, an expansion of the Sun & Moon era in the English-language Pokémon TCG, released on November 2, 2018. A Build & Battle Box exists for learning and playing the set: it pairs a ready-made Evolution pack with a few booster packs so a deck can be assembled and played straight away. Lost Thunder has 18 sealed products in its line, and this box is one of them.
The Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box holds a 23-card Evolution pack built from key cards of current and earlier sets, including one of four alternate-art promo cards, along with four Lost Thunder booster packs and a deck-building tip sheet.
Lost Thunder is opened for its Secret Rares, led by Lugia GX and Mimikyu GX, followed by Professor Elm's Lecture, an Ultra Rare, and the Ultra Rare versions of Lugia GX and Mimikyu GX. The set carries 55 chase-tier cards, and its 22 secret cards sit above the official count of 214. Value is fairly concentrated, with the five top cards making up 37 percent of the set's total card value. The four booster packs in the Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box come from this set, so they can yield those cards.
As of October 23, 2026, the Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box is up 6 percent over the past 30 days and sits 8 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. Tracking began in May 2026, so the window is short and says little about long-term direction. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than confirmed recent sales.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the Sun & Moon era's Build & Battle Boxes, the next set's Cosmic Eclipse Build & Battle Box is priced higher than this one. Within the Lost Thunder line, the Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box ranks 4th by price of 7 priced products, with the Lost Thunder Booster Box the highest-priced item in the set.
| Measure | This productLost Thunder Build & Battle Box | Next setCosmic Eclipse Build & Battle Box |
|---|---|---|
| Set | Lost Thunder | Cosmic Eclipse |
| Release date | Nov 2, 2018 | Nov 1, 2019 |
| Price | $202.44 | $499.99 |
$202.44, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 30, 2026.
Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box is from Lost Thunder.
We don't currently track retail stock for Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Oct 29, 2026 · UTC
Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box · 1DMkt$202.440.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 65% confidence on 21/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 27/100 (composite weight 24%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-30.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The 4th dearest of the 7 priced sealed products in Lost Thunder.
Composite over the 4 inputs that resolved.
On file: 9 asks · 17 sales · 180 daily guide points · 136 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 30, 2026 | 8h | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 30, 2026 | 8h | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 29, 2026 | 2d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 26, 2026 | 4d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
5 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 44, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 5 missing inputs away and applied a 28% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 30, 2026 |
| 8h |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No per-pack wholesale figure.
| Distributor | Lot | Lot price | Per pack | Currency | Stock | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Face to Face Games (public Shopify product feed)Pokémon TCG: Sun & Moon - Lost Thunder Build & Battle Box! | Lot · count not stated | CA$21.24 CAD | —The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price. | CAD | sold out | 2026-10-30 |
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
7 lots listed on 2026-10-30 — higher than 3% of the set's own readings over 45 readings in 90 days.
Thin on the wholesale shelf: fresh-pack supply is not what is pressuring Lost Thunder's raw NM singles right now.
4 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.