Metapod #54/102 · Base Set · Price & Chart · PokéQuant

Metapod — 54/102

Name: Metapod #54/102
Brand: Pokémon
SKU: raw~tcgdex:base1-54:EN:NORMAL~NM

MarkupAt Fair ValueDEMO

Mkt Price

$12.470.0%

Fair Value

$12.27

Band $11.16–$13.37

Liquidity

69/100

Fair liquidity

Pop 30DN/A

VelocityN/A

Days InvN/A

No resting bid book — collectibles fixed-price markets have no bids.Auction bids appear here when live.

Cross-Market Basis——

No active listings.

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as of Aug 27, 2026 · UTC · demo fixture

Metapod — 54/102 · 1DO$12.47H$12.47L$12.47C$12.470.0%plotting daily close

Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range

Live Listings

PriceMarkQtyCond

TCGplayer0

eBay0

Asks at delivered prices · cheapest first · unknown shipping unranked

Fair Value

Estimated Fair Value

$12.27

Fair Value Range

$11.16 – $13.37

Deviation

+1.7%At Fair Value

vs best delivered ask $12.47

Auctions

Insufficient data demand

Not enough completed auctions to price a demand spread for this instrument.

Grading

No graded population or grading economics modelled for this printing.

Absorption / Attention

NEUTRAL

Over 30d: inventory +19.8%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.

Inventory

Why It's Moving

What changed: Sold median moved +1.5% over the trailing 7 days and +4.0% over 30 days, last printing at $12.47. Active TCGplayer listings fell 6% over the same 7 days to 260.
Primary explanation: Primary read: Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%). — the largest single contributor to the current MARKUP regime read.
Alternative: Alternative explanation: Liquidity scored 69/100 (composite weight 10%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Evidence: Evidence: raw~tcgdex:base1-54:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:base1-54:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory +19.8%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").
Confidence: Confidence: 40% (floor-confidence 42/100), based on 30 days of observations.
What would disprove it: This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 299 while sold median keeps falling.

Recommendation

HOLDMOMENTUM thesis14-60d horizon

Scenario	Prob.	Description
BASE	50%	MARKUP persists near current levels.
BULL	20%	Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.
BEAR	30%	Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.

Catalysts

+Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%).
+Liquidity scored 69/100 (composite weight 10%).
+Data quality scored 73/100 (composite weight 6%).
+7d return +2.1% (>= 2%, no other regime rule fired)

Undervalued Opportunities

Loading opportunities…

Provider	Source	Observed	Confidence	Modelled	License
TCGDEX	—	Jan 9, 1999	98%	No	TCGdex catalog
FIXTURE_IMPORT	—	Aug 27, 2026	50%	No	—