Onix #56/102 · Base Set · Price & Chart · PokéQuant

Onix — 56/102

Name: Onix #56/102
Brand: Pokémon
SKU: raw~tcgdex:base1-56:EN:NORMAL~NM

MarkupAt Fair ValueDEMO

Mkt Price

$4.16+0.7%

Fair Value

$4.15

Band $3.78–$4.53

Liquidity

71/100

Good liquidity

Pop 30DN/A

VelocityN/A

Days InvN/A

No resting bid book — collectibles fixed-price markets have no bids.Auction bids appear here when live.

Cross-Market Basis——

No active listings.

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as of Aug 27, 2026 · UTC · demo fixture

Onix — 56/102 · 1DO$4.16H$4.16L$4.16C$4.16+0.7%plotting daily close

Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range

Live Listings

PriceMarkQtyCond

TCGplayer0

eBay0

Asks at delivered prices · cheapest first · unknown shipping unranked

Fair Value

Estimated Fair Value

$4.15

Fair Value Range

$3.78 – $4.53

Deviation

+0.2%At Fair Value

vs best delivered ask $4.16

Auctions

Insufficient data demand

Not enough completed auctions to price a demand spread for this instrument.

Grading

No graded population or grading economics modelled for this printing.

Absorption / Attention

NEUTRAL

Over 30d: inventory -2.2%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.

Inventory

Why It's Moving

What changed: Sold median moved +0.7% over the trailing 7 days and -2.1% over 30 days, last printing at $4.16. Active TCGplayer listings fell 17% over the same 7 days to 310.
Primary explanation: Primary read: Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%). — the largest single contributor to the current MARKUP regime read.
Alternative: Alternative explanation: Liquidity scored 71/100 (composite weight 10%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Evidence: Evidence: raw~tcgdex:base1-56:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:base1-56:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory -2.2%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").
Confidence: Confidence: 40% (floor-confidence 46/100), based on 30 days of observations.
What would disprove it: This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 357 while sold median keeps falling.

Recommendation

HOLDMOMENTUM thesis14-60d horizon

Scenario	Prob.	Description
BASE	50%	MARKUP persists near current levels.
BULL	20%	Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.
BEAR	30%	Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.

Catalysts

+Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%).
+Liquidity scored 71/100 (composite weight 10%).
+Data quality scored 73/100 (composite weight 6%).
+7d return +2.2% (>= 2%, no other regime rule fired)

Undervalued Opportunities

Loading opportunities…

Provider	Source	Observed	Confidence	Modelled	License
TCGDEX	—	Jan 9, 1999	98%	No	TCGdex catalog
FIXTURE_IMPORT	—	Aug 27, 2026	50%	No	—