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Alolan Exeggutor (阿罗拉 椰蛋树) (Chinese) — 104
Alolan Exeggutor (阿罗拉 椰蛋树) — 104Raw · Chinese (Simplified) · Holo · Near MintEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.A different printing of this card — a reverse holo, a promo stamp, another language. Choosing one NAVIGATES: every price, print, listing and score on the page belongs to that printing instead, because they are separate instruments that trade at different prices.The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
Illiquid / UnknownIlliquid / UnknownThe classifier refused to call one: too little liquidity or too small a sample to test any rule. The absence of a read, never a tenth regime.1D—1D return—No bar 1 observation back, so there is nothing to measure against — an absence, not a flat market.7D—7D return—No bar 7 observations back, so there is nothing to measure against — an absence, not a flat market.30D-25.2%30D return-25.2%Change in the headline market price against the close 30 observed bars back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.As of 08:02ZAs of 08:02ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
Mkt Price$2.99 itemThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. It is quoted on the ITEM basis — the basis every wall tile is quoted on — and it is what the chart plots on a day with no print of its own.$2.99item—
modelled guide
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair value is published for this instrument: no confirmed print or completed auction in 30 days — an estimate built from live asks alone would be a restatement of the book. The components below show what evidence exists; the estimate they would blend to is withheld rather than quoted. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.LiquidityN/A
LiquidityN/AHow easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.30D Vol
30D Vol28 units28 units over the last 9 days, on eBay. Newest reading Oct 17, 2026. No earlier 30-day window to compare against.28units
units · 9d so far
For Sale
For Sale25 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.25units
18 sellers
Graded PopN/A
Graded PopN/AEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.- Set
30th Celebration (30周年庆典)- Era
- Mega
- Number
- 104
- Rarity
- AR
- Released
- Sep 16, 2026
- Card type
- Pokémon
- Pokédex
- Exeggutor #103
- Finishes
- Holo
- Languages
- ZH_HANS
- Evolution
LP—MP—HP—DMG—
Art Rare is the chase tier in 30th Celebration, and Alolan Exeggutor's Simplified Chinese version slots into it as an illustrated full-art pull. The scene is
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
as of Oct 24, 2026 · UTC
history since Sep 2026
Alolan Exeggutor (阿罗拉 椰蛋树) — 104 · 1DMkt$2.990.0%guide price · monthlyitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
eBay0
Fair value
Insufficient data
No fair value is published for this card — no confirmed print or completed auction in 30 days — an estimate built from live asks alone would be a restatement of the book.
Market safety
Not ratedNothing has traded here in 30 days, so how long a spike would survive cannot be read — and the buyable book is larger than one ordinary order, so the unit floor has nothing to say either. The board below is still real.
$323.65 buys the entire visible book (30d traded unknown, 25 asks).
Nothing has traded in 30 days, so there is no turnover to measure a spike against. The book below is what is listed right now.
Book
Supply
Ample supply25 listed units against a 3.1/day pace is 8.0 days of stock. Under 7d reads tight, 30d or more reads heavy.
25 units listed across 18 sellers — 8.0d of stock at the 30-day pace of 3.1/day.
Listed · 18 sellers · $323.6525 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 9d · 3.1/day28 unitsUnits over the last 9 days, on eBay. Newest reading 2026-10-17.
Print scarcity
Too new to readGraded population climbs for about a year after a set releases and then levels off, so a set inside that ramp looks lightly printed purely because nobody has sent its cards in yet. this set is 1 month old. We hold the read until 12 months.
Graded population climbs for about a year after a set releases and then levels off, so a set inside that ramp looks lightly printed purely because nobody has sent its cards in yet. this set is 1 month old. We hold the read until 12 months.
LightModerateHeavy
Method
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
Auctions
1 active — top bid $1.99 vs $3.06 BIN floor.
Why It's Moving
- What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
- Modelled guide price moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and -25.2% over 30 days, now at $2.99.
- Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
- Primary read: Data quality scored 48/100 (composite weight 100%). — the largest single contributor to the current ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN regime read.
- AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
- Alternative explanation: with only 18 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
- Evidence
Provenance
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
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