Wooloo — SWSH011Raw · Holo · Near MintEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
▼FallingFallingPrice is declining with no absorption corroborating it — the default bearish read when nothing stronger fires. It says the trend, not how far it has left to run.▾UndervaluedUndervaluedThe market price sits below the blended fair-value band — not merely below its midpoint. The blend and its four components are on the FAIR VALUE card; the wider the band, the weaker this call.1D—1D return—No bar 1 observation back, so there is nothing to measure against — an absence, not a flat market.7D-5.3%7D return-5.3%Change in the headline market price against the close 7 observed bars back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.30D-4.9%30D return-4.9%Change in the headline market price against the close 30 observed bars back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.As of 20:38ZAs of 20:38ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$2.33item—
Last $2.24 · 1d
Mkt Price$2.33 itemThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. It is quoted on the ITEM basis — the basis every wall tile is quoted on — and it is what the chart plots on a day with no print of its own. Last confirmed fixed-price sale: $2.24 at 2026-10-24T05:46:46.157Z. Shipping was free, so delivered is the same number. One trade, not a statistic — the figure above it is the day's median.
Fair Value
$2.66delivered
≈$1.97 item · Band $2.23–$3.09
Fair Value$2.66 deliveredBand is ±16.2% of the point estimate: 2 of 4 components available (excluded: depth clearing, auction clearing — 40% of weight reweighted away, 20% confidence penalty), on 3 observation(s) in the trailing 30d. Thin samples and missing components widen the band 3.12x over the raw component spread. No recent clearing price: too few prints in the last 120h to say what it is trading at now. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence. On the ITEM basis TCGplayer’s guide is quoted on, that is about $1.97 — this card’s own prints carry a median delivered-minus-item wedge of $0.69, measured day by day, never an assumed postage rate.
Liquidity
72/100
Good liquidity
Liquidity72 /100How easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D Vol
35units▼-27.4%
units · vs prior 30d
30D Vol35 units35 units over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer and eBay. Newest reading Oct 25, 2026. Against 48 in the 30 days before. Some days come from spreading a multi-day provider bucket across the days it covered.
For Sale
9units
7 sellers
For Sale9 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded Pop
445▲+2.1%
across 2 graders
Graded Pop445Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
How this summary is madeThe first sentence is written by a language model from this card’s own data. The second is computed from the live numbers on this page every time it loads, so it moves with the market.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
Fair valueUNDERVALUEDThe cheapest delivered ask sits more than 5% below the blended fair-value estimate (FAIR_VALUE_AT_FAIR_TOLERANCE_PCT).
Fair value $2.66 delivered, about $1.97 on the item basis; the cheapest delivered ask is 6.5% below it$2.66delivered-6.5%The cheapest delivered ask ($2.49) against the blended fair-value estimate.top 39%top 39% of 8,600 tracked on FV gap · Ranked against every tracked card as of Oct 25, 2026; the number above is live.
$2.49
Supply
•Ample supply9 listed units against a 1.2/day pace is 7.7 days of stock. Under 7d reads tight, 30d or more reads heavy.
9 units listed across 7 sellers — 7.7d of stock at the 30-day pace of 1.2/day.
PopulationAll graders pooled445Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, as each of them states its own total. A share of what was submitted and kept — never the odds a copy grades 10. The bars below sum to 446, not 445: a grader can report a pooled rung and its qualified variants separately, so the stated total is the authority and the bars are what is chartable.CGC257Slabs CGC itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.PSA188Slabs PSA itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve. The bars below sum to 189, not 188: a grader can report a pooled rung and its qualified variants separately, so the stated total is the authority and the bars are what is chartable.
1071010 — 107 slabs, 24.0% of the 446 charted hereCGC 36 (Gem Mint 10 · Pristine 10) · PSA 7129.59.5 — 2 slabs, 0.4% of the 446 charted hereCGC 222099 — 220 slabs, 49.3% of the 446 charted hereCGC 146 · PSA 74438.58.5 — 43 slabs, 9.6% of the 446 charted hereCGC 433988 — 39 slabs, 8.7% of the 446 charted hereCGC 10 · PSA 2947.57.5 — 4 slabs, 0.9% of the 446 charted hereCGC 41177 — 11 slabs, 2.5% of the 446 charted hereCGC 4 · PSA 776.56.5 — 7 slabs, 1.6% of the 446 charted hereCGC 7566 — 5 slabs, 1.1% of the 446 charted hereCGC 1 · PSA 425.55.5 — 2 slabs, 0.4% of the 446 charted hereCGC 2355 — 3 slabs, 0.7% of the 446 charted herePSA 33AuthAuth — 3 slabs, 0.7% of the 446 charted hereCGC 2 · PSA 1
Listed · 7 sellers · $24.599 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 30d · 1.2/day35 unitsUnits over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer and eBay, against 48 in the 30 days before. Newest reading 2026-10-25. Some days come from spreading a multi-day provider bucket across the days it covered.Graded · CGC 257 · PSA 188445 slabsEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Print scarcity
•Set not coveredA set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
LightModerateHeavy
Model inputs
Graded copies446 copies
Absorption
—Building historyToo few readings of the book to tell a drawdown from noise. The count is on the card — see the note below.
2 readings of this book so far, one per 3 days, over 28d. The direction reads once there are enough of them to tell a drawdown from noise.
Method▾
Each reading takes the venue's own listing count for this card in this condition — the whole book — at that instant. The direction is classified by the platform's absorption reading over that series: a book drawn down with demand behind it reads as accumulation, one that refills after a drawdown reads as distribution. Copies and sellers come from the cheapest asks we sample, not from the book, and are labelled as such. Sold units are confirmed prints from the live tape over the same span, and are shown only when the tape reaches back past the first reading.
The direction is classified over the platform-standard 30-day trailing window. That window is a scope, not a history: it contains exactly the readings counted on this card and no others — and only readings that counted the venue’s own book, never a sampled one trended against a counted one.
Competitive play▼Not Standard-legalPublished as not legal in Standard, and in none of the 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days. Rotated out of Standard on April 14, 2023.
Not legal in Standard, and in none of the 22,383 Standard decklists across 338 events, last 30 days.
Player floor$0.19The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Wooloo, Stellar Crown. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Premium over floor12×This printing's headline price ($2.33) against the player floor ($0.19). What a player pays for THIS art rather than for the cheapest legal copy of the same card.
Why It's Moving
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Modelled guide price moved -5.3% over the trailing 7 days and -4.9% over 30 days, now at $2.33. 50 active TCGplayer listings on file.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: Price trend scored 6/100 (composite weight 31%). — the largest single contributor to the current FALLING regime read.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: Relative strength scored 13/100 (composite weight 21%).. With 7 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Evidence
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
CCost: ColorlessDefense Curl — Flip a coin. If heads, prevent all damage done to this Pokémon by attacks during your opponent's next turn.
What the market is actually asking right now — the cheapest delivered price, or the newest confirmed print when no ladder exists. The card’s verdict is where this line falls against the band.
$2.66Fair value$2.66The blend’s point estimate — the weighted centre of the four component reads listed below. It is the middle of a band, not a target: read the band’s width before the point.
Sales VWAP$2.75Trend anchor$2.48
$2.23The bottom of the stated fair-value band — the cheap end of the blend, not a floor and not a support level. A wider band is the model saying it is less sure, so the two ends are more informative together than the point between them.$3.09The top of the stated fair-value band — the rich end of the blend, not a ceiling and not a target. A wider band is the model saying it is less sure, so the two ends are more informative together than the point between them.
Sales VWAP$2.7567%Sales VWAP$2.75Time-decayed, unit-weighted mean delivered price of confirmed prints — the last 48h dominate.Weight 67% of the blend, after reweighting away the inputs with no evidence.Depth clearingN/A—Depth clearingN/AUnavailable in the trailing 30d window — reweighted away, not defaulted.No evidence for this input, so it carries no weight — the blend is the other components, reweighted.Trend anchor$2.4833%Trend anchor$2.48Last non-null trend value (SMA) of the price series, in delivered terms.Weight 33% of the blend, after reweighting away the inputs with no evidence.Auction clearingN/A—Auction clearingN/AUnavailable in the trailing 30d window — reweighted away, not defaulted.No evidence for this input, so it carries no weight — the blend is the other components, reweighted.
≈$1.97 item basis · ±16.2% band · 2 of 4 inputs · 3 obs / 30dBand is ±16.2% of the point estimate: 2 of 4 components available (excluded: depth clearing, auction clearing — 40% of weight reweighted away, 20% confidence penalty), on 3 observation(s) in the trailing 30d. Thin samples and missing components widen the band 3.12x over the raw component spread. No recent clearing price: too few prints in the last 120h to say what it is trading at now.
›6.5% under fair — buy at $2.49 delivered.
Market safety
▼Low riskOrdinary trading absorbs a spike here inside a week — less than 7 days of this card's own turnover — and taking control needs more than one ordinary order.
$24.59 clears the cheap side — 5.9 days of turnover (0.25 book-months, 7 asks).
Book
10%·$2.49·$2.49 ask-10%Sweeping 10% of the visible book costs $2.49The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $2.49 ask — -10% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.50%·$13.08·$2.69 ask-3%Sweeping 50% of the visible book costs $13.08The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $2.69 ask — -3% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.80%·$24.59·$2.99 ask+8%Sweeping 80% of the visible book costs $24.59The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $2.99 ask — +8% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.Book $24.59Total notional on the visible ask ladder, and the largest single seller's share of it. A book that is mostly one seller's inventory is one decision away from moving.Best ask vs fair · $2.49 vs $2.66-6.4%Best ask vs fair-6.4%$2.49 vs $2.66
Mechanics▾
Cost to +50%$24.59
clears the entire visible book
Days to absorb5.9
9 units to control
Book breadth1 level
9 units on the board
Book / 30d sold0.25x
30d traded $96.66
VenuesTCGplayer
The absorption ladder walks the visible delivered-price ask book cheapest-first: what each slice of the book costs, the ask it leaves marginal, and how far that sits from the last price the card actually traded at. Manipulation risk is the worse of two reads — how many days of this card’s own turnover it would take to absorb the cost of control, and whether the whole buyable book fits inside a single ordinary order.
Flow
▼CoolingThis week's daily sold units sit entirely below the middle half of the rest of the window — the two interquartile ranges do not overlap. A claim about ACTIVITY, not about price direction.
3 sold in 7d, 0.4× the 30d pace — 30d prints clear at $2.59 median, +4.0% vs the $2.49 floor.
This week 3 · last week 9 · 30d/wk 8
Recent prints
$2.24-10.0%1d ago$2.24 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-24T05:46:46.157ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$3.48+39.8%2d ago$3.48 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-23T04:03:43.633ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$2.59+4.0%6d ago$2.59 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-19T05:36:02.100ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$6.98
Method▾
Daily units are the venue's own sold-quantity history, expanded off each bucket's real span, plus confirmed prints from the other side of the market. Prints come from the live sales tape at delivered prices. The floor is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same one FAIR VALUE prices against.
Bottom line
—Hold45/100 on the weighted composite: at or above 65 is a buy, at or below 35 a sell, and everything between is a hold.
45/100 across 7 of 11 inputs. For: controlling the book costs more than the card trades. Against: price trend reads 6/100.
Price trend6Price trend6/1007-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Carries 13% of the composite.Manipulation risk20Manipulation risk20/100RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Carries 9% of the composite, inverted: 20 risk entered as 80.Relative strength13Relative strength13/100This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Carries 7% of the composite.Value vs fair63Value vs fair63/100The cheapest delivered ask against the blended fair-value estimate, two points per percent. Above 50 the card is trading under what the evidence says it is worth. Withheld entirely when fair value declares itself UNKNOWN — a discount measured against an untrustworthy anchor is not a discount.Carries 17% of the composite.Liquidity72Liquidity72/100Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.Carries 9% of the composite.Book pressure37Book pressure37/100Supply leaving the market or refilling it. Prefers the 30-day inventory change; falls back to the venue's own listing count over the readings held, capped tighter because a shorter window is weaker evidence. Withheld on a count that never moves, or on a book so small that one listing's arrival pins the percent to a rail.Carries 11% of the composite.Grading upside38Grading upside38/100Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Carries 6% of the composite.
7 of 11 inputs · 72% weight · -14% confidence▾
Not reading yet: money flow, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Price trend13%67-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Manipulation risk9%20RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Relative strength7%13This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Value vs fair17%63The cheapest delivered ask against the blended fair-value estimate, two points per percent. Above 50 the card is trading under what the evidence says it is worth. Withheld entirely when fair value declares itself UNKNOWN — a discount measured against an untrustworthy anchor is not a discount.
Gem rate
•Moderate gem · choose PSAPSA issued a 10 on 37.8% of its 188 slabs of this printing. Next best is CGC at 14.0% on 257 slabs. Easy at 60% or more, moderate from 35%, hard under 35%. Only graders with 30+ slabs on file are compared.
PSA gems 37.8% of 188 slabs; next best CGC at 14.0%.
10 rate by grader
PSA · choose37.8%PSA 1071 of 188PSA: 71 of the 188 PSA slabs on file are a 10 (PSA 10) — 37.8%, 95% interval 31.1%–44.9%.CGC14.0%Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 1036 of 257CGC: 36 of the 257 CGC slabs on file are a 10 (Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 10) — 14.0%, 95% interval 10.3%–18.8%.
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Slab premium
▲Strong slab premiumThe dearest priced rung is PSA 10 at $72.00, 28.9× the $2.49 raw reference (cheapest delivered ask).
A PSA 10 is worth $72.00 — 28.9× the $2.49 raw cheapest delivered ask.
Dearest slab per grading company
PSA 10$72.0028.9×PSA 10 — $72.00, 28.9× raw$98.00 · EBAY · 2026-09-20 · $69.99 · EBAY · 2026-09-06 · $72.00 · EBAY · 2026-08-09CGC 9.5$15.00guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.6.0×CGC 9.5 — $15.00, 6.0× rawRaw$2.49askA live listing. Nobody has paid this.1.0×Raw — $2.49, 1.0× rawThe cheapest copy actually listed for sale, delivered — item plus required shipping. An offer, not a price anybody has paid. Every multiple on this ladder is taken against it.
PSA 10 is the dearest slab on the board at $72.00; the next priced grader is CGC 9.5 at $15.00.
One rung down, a PSA 9 is $13.69 — 5.5× raw.
Grading ROI
▼Don't gradePSA: -$57.41 expected after $84.99 of fees — observed gem share 38% of n=188.
Best on PSA: -$57.41 expected after $84.99 of fees — observed gem share 38% of n=188.
VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.
FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.
P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
CGC
$20.00CGC Economy — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Bulk $17.00.
14.0%95% interval 10.3%–18.8% on n=257. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
—No 10 price is on file for CGC, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no CGC price at grade 10 at any basis.
PSA
$59.99PSA Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Value Bulk $24.99, Value $32.99.
37.8%95% interval 31.1%–44.9% on n=188. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
Pre-grade this card →Photograph your own copy front and back for centering, wear and the odds of each grade. An estimate, not a grade.
$2.49 raw (cheapest delivered ask) + $59.99 PSA Standard + $25.00 ship/ins = $87.48 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Graded copies
446 copies
Slabs on record across PSA, CGC and ACE, summed over every grade. The model’s raw input — it is NOT the print run, because a card people grade often will show a large population off a small press run. Ungraded and sealed copies are invisible to it.
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
Rotation runway
Rotated April 14, 2023
Mark D left Standard on that date. Standard rotation dates are curated by hand from official announcements; a mark with no announced date carries none rather than a guess.
30d sold44 units (+10% vs prior 30d)Units of THIS printing sold in the 30 days ending October 13, 2026, against the 30 days before that (40). Demand at a table and demand in the market are different measurements; this is the second one.
Meta vs priceNot enough history (0 weeks)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Mark D left Standard on April 14, 2023.
94.5% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
EvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 2 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 40% (floor-confidence 30/100), based on 991 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 57 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Nov 15, 2019
7.0y
98%
No
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Oct 24, 2026
24h
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 25, 2026
21h
90%
Yes
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Oct 24, 2026
24h
90%
No
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Oct 24, 2026
2d
85%
No
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Oct 24, 2026
24h
70%
No
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.
Oct 13, 2026
12d
60%
No
Raw · Holo · Near MintWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
Highest Volume
The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#
Card
SetSetThe set this printing belongs to. Sets differ in print run and age, which is most of why two cards at the same price behave differently.
Trend 30DTrend 30DThe last 30 days of price, drawn from a zero-independent scale. The shape is the reading — the level is the Price column beside it.
30D30DPrice change over the last 30 calendar days, signed. A dash when the series has no price close enough to 30 days ago to measure from.
PricePriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).
30d vol30d volume30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.
FV GapFV GapPrice against fair value, signed. NEGATIVE is below the model — the card trades under its fair value — which is the opposite direction from the Pop 30D column’s colouring.
LiqLiqLiquidity, 0–100 — how easily a position clears, never whether it is cheap. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
VelocityVelocityConfirmed sales per day. Higher means a thicker tape, so every other figure in the row rests on more evidence.
Days InvDays InvHow many days the listed supply would take to clear at the current sale pace. Lower is a tighter market; a very high number usually means the pace, not the supply, is the problem.
SupplySupplyUnits listed for sale right now across the venues we track. It is the raw count of asks, not what is buyable at any one price.
Pop 30DPop 30DChange in graded population over 30 days. Rising means supply of slabs is growing, which is the ordinary up-is-up reading and generally NOT good for price.
$6.98 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-11T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$1.49-40.2%14d ago$1.49 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-11T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$2.99+20.1%16d ago$2.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-09T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
Liquidity9%72Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.
Book pressure11%37Supply leaving the market or refilling it. Prefers the 30-day inventory change; falls back to the venue's own listing count over the readings held, capped tighter because a shorter window is weaker evidence. Withheld on a count that never moves, or on a book so small that one listing's arrival pins the percent to a rail.
Grading upside6%38Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.
Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.
Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).
Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.
Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
$72.00
$72.00. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
-29%-$25.02 on a $87.48 cost basis.
≈-65%Only 92% of the PSA distribution is priced, so this falls back to P(10)·ROI(10) + (1−P(10))·ROI(pooled sub-10 price).
SWSH Black Star Promos
