The vendor's catalog photograph of Paradox Rift Booster Pack. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Oct 23, 2026 · UTC
Paradox Rift Booster Pack · 1DMkt$8.37+0.2%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 60% confidence on 33/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 11/100 (composite weight 47%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-21.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 26 priced sealed products in Paradox Rift.
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 36, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
On file: 85 asks · 90 sales · 172 daily guide points · 134 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 21, 2026 | 3d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 21, 2026 | 3d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 23, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 21, 2026 | 3d | 85% | No |
| Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against. | Oct 21, 2026 | 3d | 70% | No |
Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Scarlet & Violet era.
| Measure | This productParadox Rift Booster Pack | Median of 26 booster packsScarlet & Violet median | Previous set151 Booster Pack | Next setPaldean Fates Booster Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | Paradox Rift | — | 151 | Paldean Fates |
| Release date | Nov 3, 2023 | — | Sep 22, 2023 | Jan 26, 2024 |
| Price | $8.37 | $11.12 | $27.50 | $23.07 |
| 1-year change | — | — | +65.5% | — |
$8.37, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 21, 2026.
Paradox Rift Booster Pack is from Paradox Rift.
Paradox Rift Booster Pack wasn't in stock at any of the retailers we track, as of September 15, 2026.
No per-pack wholesale figure.
| Distributor | Lot | Lot price | Per pack | Currency | Stock | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Face to Face Games (public Shopify product feed)Pokémon TCG: Scarlet & Violet - Paradox Rift - Booster Pack | Lot · count not stated | CA$11.99 CAD | —The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price. | CAD | available | 2026-10-23 |
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
18 lots listed on 2026-10-23 — higher than 64% of the set's own readings; 2448 packs on hand, higher than 97% over 39 readings in 90 days.
Bulk is pouring in: fresh packs mean fresh raw NM singles, so Paradox Rift's raw copies are the most exposed; graded copies are insulated.
5 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.
Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not comparable to the delivered marketplace prices shown elsewhere on the site. Each row states when we last read that retailer's page; availability can change at any time in between.