The vendor's catalog photograph of Mega Latios Collection. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.guide · modelled
$584.50, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of September 19, 2026.
Mega Latios Collection is from Roaring Skies.
We don't currently track retail stock for Mega Latios Collection, which is not the same as it being sold out.
as of Sep 17, 2026 · UTC
Mega Latios Collection · 1DMkt$584.500.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 59% confidence on 47/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels.50%BASE · 50%ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels.Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.45%BULL · 45%Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.5%BEAR · 5%Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
No standout bearish driver today, but the read still rests on the currently available evidence and can reverse if conditions change.
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-09-19.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The 4th dearest of the 8 priced sealed products in Roaring Skies.
Withheld — 8 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
8 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: price trend, supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 6, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 8 missing inputs away and applied a 35% confidence penalty for them: priceTrend, supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
On file: 1 ask · 29 daily guide points · 134 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Sep 18, 2026 | 33d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Sep 18, 2026 | 33d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Sep 17, 2026 | 35d | 90% | Yes |
| Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against. | Oct 21, 2026 | 9h | 70% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-21.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-21.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
8 lots listed on 2026-10-21 — higher than 66% of the set's own readings over 37 readings in 90 days.
More bulk than Roaring Skies has had lately — raw NM singles usually soften before graded ones do.
5 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.