The vendor's catalog photograph of Fossil Theme Deck - "BodyGuard". It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the WOTC era.
Fossil is the expansion from Pokémon's WOTC era, released on October 10, 1999 in the English-language Pokémon TCG, and the Fossil Theme Deck "BodyGuard" is one of the set's ready-to-play decks. A theme deck is a pre-built deck meant for learning the game and playing straight away, not for opening packs in search of rare cards. Fossil has seven sealed products in all, spanning booster boxes, booster packs, decks and a blister, and BodyGuard sits among the decks in that range.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 13 WOTC-era decks with comparable pricing, the Fossil Theme Deck "BodyGuard" ranks 13th by price, at about 0.7 times the era median for decks. Within Fossil's own line it is 4th of 4 priced products, with the Fossil Booster Pack [1st Edition] the highest-priced of the set's sealed items. The ranking is a reminder that decks in this era sit well below the booster products built around the set's chase cards.
| Measure | This productFossil Theme Deck - "BodyGuard" | Median of 13 decksWOTC median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | Fossil | — |
| Release date | Oct 10, 1999 | — |
| Price | $195.16 | $299.96 |
$195.16, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 24, 2026.
Fossil Theme Deck - "BodyGuard" is from Fossil.
We don't currently track retail stock for Fossil Theme Deck - "BodyGuard", which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · 1d so far
as of Oct 26, 2026 · UTC
Fossil Theme Deck - "BodyGuard" · 1DMkt$195.160.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
relative value thesis · 30-180d horizon · 60% confidence on 28/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Data quality scored 28/100 (composite weight 21%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-24.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 4 priced sealed products in Fossil.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 10 asks · 2 sales · 176 daily guide points · 135 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 24, 2026 | 3d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 24, 2026 | 3d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 26, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Aug 1, 2026 | 87d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 38, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 24, 2026 |
| 3d |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-26.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-26.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists Fossil in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.