The vendor's catalog photograph of Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Sun & Moon era.
The Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] is a tin from Celestial Storm, an expansion in the Sun & Moon era of the English-language Pokémon TCG, released on August 3, 2018. It is a collection product built around Leafeon, the Pokémon named in its title, and it pairs that featured promo with booster packs so the tin works both as a themed collectible and as a way to open a few packs of the set. Celestial Storm has 23 sealed products in all, and this tin is one of the 13 with a tracked price.
The Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] holds one Leafeon GX promo card and four Pokémon TCG booster packs. It also includes a code card that unlocks a playable deck in the Pokémon Trading Card Game Online.
As of October 23, 2026, the Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] is up 14 percent over the past 30 days and sits 14 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. Tracking only began in September 2026, so that short window says little about the longer trend beyond a modest recovery from the bottom. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of confirmed sales.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 20 tins of the Sun & Moon era, the Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] ranks 10th by price, about equal to the era median for tins. Within the Celestial Storm line it ranks 6th by price of 13 priced products, with the Celestial Storm Booster Box the highest-priced item in the set.
| Measure | This productEvolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] | Median of 20 tinsSun & Moon median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | Celestial Storm | — |
| Release date | Aug 3, 2018 | — |
| Price | $177.31 | $177.16 |
$177.31, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 21, 2026.
Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] is from Celestial Storm.
We don't currently track retail stock for Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX], which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · 1d so far
as of Oct 24, 2026 · UTC
Evolution Celebration Tin [Leafeon GX] · 1DMkt$177.310.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 59% confidence on 30/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Data quality scored 30/100 (composite weight 30%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-21.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The 6th dearest of the 13 priced sealed products in Celestial Storm.
Withheld — 7 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
7 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
On file: 8 asks · 3 sales · 176 daily guide points · 137 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 24, 2026 | 20h | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 24, 2026 | 20h | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 24, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Sep 12, 2026 | 43d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 35, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 7 missing inputs away and applied a 35% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 24, 2026 |
| 20h |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-24.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-24.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
9 lots listed on 2026-10-24 — higher than 51% of the set's own readings over 40 readings in 90 days.
Thin on the wholesale shelf: fresh-pack supply is not what is pressuring Celestial Storm's raw NM singles right now.
4 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.