The vendor's catalog photograph of Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]
Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]Every price, print and shelf reading on this page belongs to this one sealed product.
∅Illiquid / UnknownIlliquid / UnknownThe classifier refused to call one: too little liquidity or too small a sample to test any rule. The absence of a read, never a tenth regime.
1D
0.0%
7D
+13.7%
30D
+13.8%
Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] guide
Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Sword & Shield era.
modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of Oct 24, 2026
UPC
0820650829376
Rank among mini tins in Sword & Shield
10th of 23
Each Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] is a small collectible tin from Celebrations, the English-language Pokémon TCG expansion released on October 8, 2021 in the Sword & Shield era. Celebrations marked the franchise's anniversary, and this mini tin pairs a handful of booster packs with a coin and an art card, so it serves as a compact way to open packs from the set. Celebrations has 34 sealed products in total, and the mini tins make up a small slice of that range.
What's inside Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]
The Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] holds two Celebrations four-card booster packs and one additional Pokémon TCG booster pack. Alongside the packs it contains an anniversary-themed coin and a Pokémon art card that shows the artwork of the tin.
Celebrations chase cards
The Celebrations chase cards start with Mew, a Secret Rare that sits at the top of the set by value. Surfing Pikachu VMAX and Flying Pikachu VMAX follow as Holo Rare VMAX cards, with the Holo Rare Pikachu and the Holo Rare V version of Surfing Pikachu next. The set has 25 official cards and 8 chase-tier cards, and value is heavily concentrated: the top five cards account for 84 percent of the set's total card value. Its Celebrations packs can yield these cards.
As of October 23, 2026, the Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] is up 14 percent over the past 30 days. Tracking began in September 2026, so the window is short, and the tin now sits 17 percent above its tracked low from that month. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of recent sales, and a window this short says little about any longer trend.
Since tracking began (Sep 2026)+17.1%
30 days+13.8%
Tracked high$59.99 · Oct 23, 2026
Tracked low$51.25 · Sep 14, 2026
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
How Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] compares
Among Sword & Shield era mini tins, the Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] ranks 10th by price out of 23, and its price is about equal to the era median for mini tins. Within the Celebrations line it ranks 29th by price among 32 priced products, well below the Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection Case, which is the highest-priced product in the set. Mini tins are among the more modestly priced formats in the line, which spans tins, Elite Trainer Boxes, displays and an Ultra Premium Collection.
$59.99, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 24, 2026.
What set is Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] from?
Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] is from Celebrations.
Where can I buy Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]?
We don't currently track retail stock for Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola], which is not the same as it being sold out.
Mkt Price
$59.99·0.0%
guide · modelled
Mkt Price$59.99The venue’s modelled daily market guide for this product — a model of where it is trading, not a confirmed sale. No per-transaction sealed tape is collected, so no day here closes on a print.
Vs MSRPN/A
Vs MSRPN/ANo MSRP assertion is on file for this product, so there is nothing to compare the market against.
30D VolN/A
Per PackN/A
Per PackN/AWithheld: a per-pack price needs a pack count we KNOW rather than infer, and no pack-math source is on file for this product. Dividing by a guessed count would make a fabricated price.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily bars
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
as of Oct 23, 2026 · UTC
Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] · 1DMkt$59.99·0.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
—
RSI 14
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
TCGplayer0
eBay0
Action
•WatchA research classification, not advice: the engine's floor read at 60% confidence, on a illiquid unknown regime.
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 60% confidence on 28/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection Case$5,888.88—$5,888.88Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Quant Score
Quant score withheld: 6 of 9 inputs missingN/A
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
Price trend100Price trend100/100Where the price has gone over the scoring window, scaled 0-100. Higher is a stronger uptrend; 0 is the bottom of the observed range, not "no data".Relative strength90Relative strength90/100This instrument against its comparison universe. Higher is outperformance. Sealed product has no scored peer universe today.
On file: 8 asks · 1 sale · 173 daily guide points · 135 stock readings.
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Oct 24, 2026
2h
90%
No
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Oct 24, 2026
2h
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 23, 2026
2d
90%
Yes
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Jun 2, 2026
144d
85%
No
Sealed productWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
Celebrations Elite Trainer Box Case$4,199.99—
$4,199.99Celebrations Elite Trainer Box Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box Case (Exclusive)$2,340.00—$2,340.00Celebrations Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box Case (Exclusive) — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collector Chest Case$1,399.99—$1,399.99Celebrations Collector Chest Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-09-15, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection$1,211.69—$1,211.69Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collection Case$899.98—$899.98Celebrations Collection Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collection Case [Dragapult Prime]$599.95—$599.95Celebrations Collection Case [Dragapult Prime] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin Display$541.95—$541.95Celebrations Mini Tin Display — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)$471.74—$471.74Celebrations Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Prime Collection$359.18—$359.18Celebrations Prime Collection — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Elite Trainer Box$335.23—$335.23Celebrations Elite Trainer Box — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Premium Figure Collection [Pikachu VMAX]$296.52—$296.52Celebrations Premium Figure Collection [Pikachu VMAX] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Set of 2]$250.58—$250.58Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Set of 2] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Special Collection - V Memories$197.98—$197.98Celebrations Special Collection - V Memories — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collection [Pikachu V-UNION]$192.15—$192.15Celebrations Collection [Pikachu V-UNION] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Lance's Charizard V]$187.73—$187.73Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Lance's Charizard V] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Dark Sylveon V]$173.99—$173.99Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Dark Sylveon V] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collection [Dark Sylveon V]$165.25—$165.25Celebrations Collection [Dark Sylveon V] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collection [Lance's Charizard V]$148.02—$148.02Celebrations Collection [Lance's Charizard V] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Deluxe Pin Collection [Zacian LV. X]$133.12—$133.12Celebrations Deluxe Pin Collection [Zacian LV. X] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Dark Sylveon V]$127.85—$127.85Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Dark Sylveon V] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Lance's Charizard V]$122.99—$122.99Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Lance's Charizard V] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Collection [Dragapult Prime]$79.51—$79.51Celebrations Collection [Dragapult Prime] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Kanto]$74.99—$74.99Celebrations Mini Tin [Kanto] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Hoenn]$74.92—$74.92Celebrations Mini Tin [Hoenn] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Sinnoh]$72.58—$72.58Celebrations Mini Tin [Sinnoh] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Johto]$67.08—$67.08Celebrations Mini Tin [Johto] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Galar]$64.84—$64.84Celebrations Mini Tin [Galar] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]$59.99—$59.99Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Kalos]$59.88—$59.88Celebrations Mini Tin [Kalos] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Mini Tin [Unova]$55.34—$55.34Celebrations Mini Tin [Unova] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-23, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Celebrations Booster Pack$27.43—$27.43Celebrations Booster Pack — the midpoint of that day's observed sale range on 2026-10-24. A real trade.
Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Set of 2]———Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Set of 2] — the set has it and no priced daily bar exists for it yet. A dash, never a zero.
Method▾
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Data quality
28
Data quality28/100How much of the evidence the other scores wanted actually resolved. Higher is better covered. It is the one score that is honest about the rest.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Method▾
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 38, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
Price trend100
Supply tightnessN/A
AbsorptionN/A
Auction demandN/A
LiquidityN/A
Grading reflexivityN/A
Relative strength90
Reprint / supply riskN/A
Data quality28
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Oct 24, 2026
2h
70%
No
Retail availability
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
Buy in bulk
wholesale · public catalogues
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-24.
Wholesale / pack
—
No wholesale listing is matched to this product.
Market guide / pack
—
Withheld: no published pack count is on file for this product, and a per-pack figure over a guessed count would be a fabricated price.
Shelf / pack
—
Withheld: no tracked retailer had this in stock on its last reading.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-24.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
Set supply
▲Elevated5 lots listed on 2026-10-24 — higher than 71% of the set's own readings over 40 readings in 90 days.
5 lots listed on 2026-10-24 — higher than 71% of the set's own readings over 40 readings in 90 days.
Lots listed5+1Distinct bulk listings of this set across every distributor catalogue we read, on the latest reading. The 30-day change is against the last reading at least thirty days earlier.Packs on hand—Packs implied by each listing multiplied by the quantity the distributor's own cart accepts — the warehouse depth the page publishes. Withheld when no listing states both numbers.Cheapest / pack—The cheapest per-pack asking price across the set’s listings, in the currency the distributor quotes. Never converted.
More bulk than Celebrations has had lately — raw NM singles usually soften before graded ones do.
Lots listed · 90 days
3 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] — sealed mini tin](https://img.cardboardalpha.com/media/v1/sealed/ae/a6/aea60aa246920beb/w320.webp)
The vendor's catalog photograph of Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.