Mewtwo — 12Raw · Normal · Near MintEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
A different printing of this card — a reverse holo, a promo stamp, another language. Choosing one NAVIGATES: every price, print, listing and score on the page belongs to that printing instead, because they are separate instruments that trade at different prices.The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
∅Illiquid / UnknownIlliquid / UnknownThe classifier refused to call one: too little liquidity or too small a sample to test any rule. The absence of a read, never a tenth regime.1D·ask0.0%1D return (ask-based)0.0%No print in this window — every bar closed on the same provider guide value, so the sold-price reading would be a confident 0%. This is the delivered ask floor's own change over the same window instead: a real move nobody has yet paid, not a sale.7D·ask+1.5%7D return (ask-based)+1.5%No print in this window — every bar closed on the same provider guide value, so the sold-price reading would be a confident 0%. This is the delivered ask floor's own change over the same window instead: a real move nobody has yet paid, not a sale.30D+11.2%30D return+11.2%Change in the headline market price against the close 30 observed bars back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.As of 14:06ZAs of 14:06ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$150.16item·0.0%
Last $135.49 · $136.48 delivered · 29d
Mkt Price$150.16 itemThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. It is quoted on the ITEM basis — the basis every wall tile is quoted on — and it is what the chart plots on a day with no print of its own. Last confirmed fixed-price sale: $135.49 at 2026-09-15T15:17:21.640Z. Delivered $136.48 with shipping. One trade, not a statistic — the figure above it is the day's median.
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair value is published for this instrument: needs 3 confirmed observations (1 in 30d). The components below show what evidence exists; the estimate they would blend to is withheld rather than quoted. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.
Liquidity
33/100
Thin liquidity
Liquidity33 /100How easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D Vol
66units▲+65.0%
units · vs prior 30d
30D Vol66 units66 units over the last 30 days, on eBay and TCGplayer. Newest reading Oct 10, 2026. Against 40 in the 30 days before.
For Sale
10units
9 sellers
For Sale10 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded Pop
2,786▲+2.7%
across 3 graders
Graded Pop2,786Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
PSA
How this summary is madeThe first sentence is written by a language model from this card’s own data. The second is computed from the live numbers on this page every time it loads, so it moves with the market.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
No fair value is published for this card — needs 3 confirmed observations (1 in 30d).
Market safety
▲High riskOne buyer can set this price on at least one dimension: a spike here would outlive the 30-day window every number we publish is measured over, or the whole buyable book is inside a single ordinary order (under 5 units).
$199.99 clears the cheap side — 1 unit, fewer than one ordinary order (0.52 book-months, 10 asks).
Book
Supply
▲Tight supply10 listed units against a 2.2/day pace is 4.5 days of stock. Under 7d reads tight, 30d or more reads heavy.
10 units listed across 9 sellers — 4.5d of stock at the 30-day pace of 2.2/day.
PopulationAll graders pooled2,786Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, as each of them states its own total. A share of what was submitted and kept — never the odds a copy grades 10. The bars below sum to 2,800, not 2,786: a grader can report a pooled rung and its qualified variants separately, so the stated total is the authority and the bars are what is chartable.ACE14Slabs ACE itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.CGC483Slabs CGC itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.PSA2,289Slabs PSA itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve. The bars below sum to 2,303, not 2,289: a grader can report a pooled rung and its qualified variants separately, so the stated total is the authority and the bars are what is chartable.
1010 — 328 slabs, 11.7% of the 2,800 charted hereACE 3 · CGC 20 (Gem Mint 10 · Pristine 10) · PSA 3059.5 — 4 slabs, 0.1% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 499 — 493 slabs, 17.6% of the 2,800 charted hereACE 1 · CGC 37 · PSA 4558.5 — 101 slabs, 3.6% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 92 · PSA 988 — 621 slabs, 22.2% of the 2,800 charted hereACE 3 · CGC 104 · PSA 5147.5 — 74 slabs, 2.6% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 72 · PSA 277 — 407 slabs, 14.5% of the 2,800 charted hereACE 2 · CGC 41 · PSA 3646.5 — 32 slabs, 1.1% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 3266 — 375 slabs, 13.4% of the 2,800 charted hereACE 4 · CGC 23 · PSA 3485.5 — 24 slabs, 0.9% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 2455 — 179 slabs, 6.4% of the 2,800 charted hereACE 1 · CGC 10 · PSA 1684.5 — 5 slabs, 0.2% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 544 — 76 slabs, 2.7% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 6 · PSA 703.5 — 2 slabs, 0.1% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 233 — 35 slabs, 1.3% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 2 · PSA 3322 — 18 slabs, 0.6% of the 2,800 charted herePSA 181.5 — 1 slabs, 0.0% of the 2,800 charted herePSA 111 — 14 slabs, 0.5% of the 2,800 charted herePSA 14AAuth — 11 slabs, 0.4% of the 2,800 charted hereCGC 9 (Authentic · Authentic Altered) · PSA 2
Listed · 9 sellers · $3,940.1710 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 30d · 2.2/day66 unitsUnits over the last 30 days, on eBay and TCGplayer, against 40 in the 30 days before. Newest reading 2026-10-10.Graded · ACE 14 · CGC 483 · PSA 2,2892,786 slabsEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Print scarcity
•Set not coveredA set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
LightModerateHeavy
Model inputs
Graded copies2,800 copies
Sealed
—No MSRP on fileThese products are priced, but not one of them carries a recorded MSRP with a source behind it. An MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, and an appreciation measured against nothing is not a judgement this card will invent. The prices are listed below; the comparison is what is missing.
This set’s one sealed product is priced, but carries no recorded MSRP to measure appreciation against.
Set supply · not this card’sThe set's wholesale supply, not this card's — bulk lifts every raw copy in the set.—No wholesale listings seenNo wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
Competitive play▼Not Standard-legalPublished as not legal in Standard, and in none of the 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days.
Not legal in Standard, and in none of the 22,383 Standard decklists across 338 events, last 30 days.
Player floor$0.58The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Mewtwo, Stellar Crown. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Premium over floor259×This printing's headline price ($150.16) against the player floor ($0.58). What a player pays for THIS art rather than for the cheapest legal copy of the same card.
Why It's Moving
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Modelled guide price moved +1.5% over the trailing 7 days and +11.2% over 30 days, now at $150.16. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: Price trend scored 100/100 (composite weight 31%). — the largest single contributor to the current ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN regime read.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: Relative strength scored 90/100 (composite weight 21%).. With 9 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Highest Volume
The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#
Card
Set
No.
30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.
PriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).
PCost: PsychicEnergy Control — Flip a coin. If heads, choose a basic Energy card attached to 1 of your opponent's Pokémon and attach it to another of your opponent's Pokémon of your choice.
PPPCost: Psychic · Psychic · PsychicTelekinesis · 30 — Choose 1 of your opponent's Pokémon. This attack does 30 damage to that Pokémon. Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for this attack. (Any other effects that would happen after applying Weakness and Resistance still happen.)
Sweeping 10% of the visible book costs $733.95The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $266.98 ask — +96% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.
50%·$1,974·$372.99 ask+173%Sweeping 50% of the visible book costs $1,974The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $372.99 ask — +173% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.
80%·$3,177·$702.88 ask+415%Sweeping 80% of the visible book costs $3,177The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $702.88 ask — +415% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.
Book $3,940Total notional on the visible ask ladder, and the largest single seller's share of it. A book that is mostly one seller's inventory is one decision away from moving.
Mechanics▾
Cost to +50%$199.99
clears every ask under +50% of the last trade
Days to absorb0.6
1 unit to control
Book notional$3,940
10 units · 1 level
Book / 30d sold0.52x
30d traded $7,643
VenuesTCGplayer
The absorption ladder walks the visible delivered-price ask book cheapest-first: what each slice of the book costs, the ask it leaves marginal, and how far that sits from the last price the card actually traded at. Manipulation risk is the worse of two reads — how many days of this card’s own turnover it would take to absorb the cost of control, and whether the whole buyable book fits inside a single ordinary order.
Flow
—SteadyThis week's daily sold units overlap the middle half of the rest of the window, so no change in pace is separable from the noise. Trading at its own normal rate.
17 sold in 7d, 1.1× the 30d pace — 30d prints clear at $100.00 median, -62.5% vs the $266.98 floor.
This week 17 · last week 15 · 30d/wk 15
Recent prints
$119.99-55.1%5d ago$119.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-10T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$85.92-67.8%5d ago$85.92 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$100.00-62.5%6d ago$100.00 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-09T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$75.00
Method▾
Daily units are the venue's own sold-quantity history, expanded off each bucket's real span, plus confirmed prints from the other side of the market. Prints come from the live sales tape at delivered prices. The floor is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same one FAIR VALUE prices against.
Bottom line
—No callUnder half the model had evidence, so the score is a statement about the inputs that reported rather than about the card. No call until more of them do.
61/100 across 5 of 11 inputs. For: price trend reads 100/100. Against: one buyer can set this price. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.
Price trend100Price trend100/1007-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Carries 13% of the composite.Manipulation risk85Manipulation risk85/100RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Carries 9% of the composite, inverted: 85 risk entered as 15.Relative strength90Relative strength90/100This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Carries 7% of the composite.Liquidity33Liquidity33/100Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.Carries 9% of the composite.Grading upside51Grading upside51/100Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Carries 6% of the composite.
5 of 11 inputs · 44% weight · -28% confidence▾
Not reading yet: value vs fair, money flow, book pressure, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Price trend13%1007-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Manipulation risk9%85RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Relative strength7%90This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Liquidity9%33Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.
Gem rate
▼Hard gem · choose PSAPSA issued a 10 on 13.3% of its 2,289 slabs of this printing. Next best is CGC at 4.1% on 483 slabs. Easy at 60% or more, moderate from 35%, hard under 35%. Only graders with 30+ slabs on file are compared.
PSA gems 13.3% of 2,289 slabs; next best CGC at 4.1%.
10 rate by grader
ACE21.4%ACE 103 of 14 · thinACE: 3 of the 14 ACE slabs on file are a 10 (ACE 10) — 21.4%, 95% interval 7.6%–47.6%. Under 30 slabs, so it is shown but never compared or recommended.PSA · choose13.3%PSA 10305 of 2,289PSA: 305 of the 2,289 PSA slabs on file are a 10 (PSA 10) — 13.3%, 95% interval 12.0%–14.8%.CGC4.1%Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 1020 of 483CGC: 20 of the 483 CGC slabs on file are a 10 (Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 10) — 4.1%, 95% interval 2.7%–6.3%.
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Slab premium
▲Strong slab premiumThe dearest priced rung is PSA 10 at $2,760.00, 13.8× the $199.99 raw reference (cheapest delivered ask).
A PSA 10 is worth $2,760.00 — 13.8× the $199.99 raw cheapest delivered ask.
Dearest slab per grading company
PSA 10$2,760.0013.8×PSA 10 — $2,760.00, 13.8× raw$5,200.00 · EBAY · 2026-10-08 · $4,300.00 · EBAY · 2026-10-05 · $3,400.00 · EBAY · 2026-10-02 +14 more print(s)CGC 10$1,200.006.0×CGC 10 — $1,200.00, 6.0× raw$1,200.00 · EBAY · 2026-08-26BGS 8$329.991.7×BGS 8 — $329.99, 1.7× raw$329.99 · EBAY · 2026-07-26ACE 8$323.391.6×ACE 8 — $323.39, 1.6× raw$323.39 · EBAY · 2026-08-02Raw$199.99askA live listing. Nobody has paid this.1.0×Raw — $199.99, 1.0× rawThe cheapest copy actually listed for sale, delivered — item plus required shipping. An offer, not a price anybody has paid. Every multiple on this ladder is taken against it.
A PSA 10 fetches 130% more than a CGC 10.
One rung down, a PSA 9 is $459.00 — 2.3× raw.
Grading ROI
▲GradeCGC: +$218.06 expected, still +$209.35 at the 95% lower bound of the gem share — observed gem share 4% of n=483.
Best on CGC: +$218.06 expected, still +$209.35 at the 95% lower bound of the gem share — observed gem share 4% of n=483.
VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.
FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.
P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
ACE
$24.39ACE Basic — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. £18.00 converted at GBP/USD 1.355 (2026-09-01) — a conversion, not a quoted USD price. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Core $16.26, Value $20.33.
21.4%95% interval 7.6%–47.6% on n=14. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
—No 10 price is on file for ACE, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no ACE price at grade 10 at any basis.
BGS
$79.95BGS Express — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-09-01. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Base $14.95.
—The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
Pre-grade this card →Photograph your own copy front and back for centering, wear and the odds of each grade. An estimate, not a grade.
$199.99 raw (cheapest delivered ask) + $20.00 CGC Economy + $25.00 ship/ins = $244.99 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Graded copies
2,800 copies
Slabs on record across PSA, CGC and ACE, summed over every grade. The model’s raw input — it is NOT the print run, because a card people grade often will show a large population off a small press run. Ungraded and sealed copies are invisible to it.
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
The Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash]'s most recent plotted day carries the provider’s daily guide value — no sale was recorded that day.
Indexed to the Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash]’s own first stored day = 100 · dashed = guide price, no sale that day.Each line is that product’s own price divided by its own first stored day and multiplied by 100, so every series starts on the dotted rule and the axis measures APPRECIATION rather than price. Dollars could not do this job here: a booster pack and a booster box differ by two orders of magnitude, and on a shared dollar axis the pack would sit flat on the floor of the plot however far it had actually travelled. The Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash] is the base unit and is drawn in front; the rest are drawn behind it, and each one’s own numbers are in the table below. A dashed stretch is a run of days with no recorded sale, carrying the provider’s daily guide value — a quoted price, never a trade.
Appreciation vs MSRP
ProductPriceMSRPvs MSRPEvery sealed product the catalog holds for this set, ordered by how standard a unit each is for tracking a set’s sealed price. PRICE is the product’s last stored day — a sale where one was recorded, the provider’s daily guide value where none was, and the row’s hover says which. MSRP is blank wherever no source is recorded against one, because an MSRP with nobody behind it is not a fact. VS MSRP is the price against that MSRP, as a percentage up to a doubling and as a multiple past it.
Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash]$149.96——Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash]—Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash]. Quoted at $149.96 on Oct 4, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Method▾
Sealed product from Wizards Black Star Promos — the set this card was printed in. We track which set a product belongs to, not which cards are inside it. Appreciation is each product’s last stored price against its own recorded MSRP, in percent. The card’s call is the MEDIAN of those percentages across the products that have an MSRP — a median rather than a mean, so one outlier SKU cannot carry a whole set — and a product with no MSRP on file is left out of that aggregate rather than counted as zero; it still lists below with its price. MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, so it is shown only where a source is recorded against it, and that source is on the row’s hover. The bands are a legend for the percentage the card prints beside them: within ±5% is at MSRP, which is this repo’s own fair-value tolerance; up to +25% is a slight premium; up to +100% a significant one; at or above +100% the price has at least doubled and the figure is stated as a multiple, because a four-digit percentage is not a number anybody reads. Each price line takes a day’s observed low/high sale range and plots its midpoint; on a day with no recorded sale it carries the provider’s own daily guide value instead — a quoted price, not a transaction — and those days are drawn dashed, never described as trades. Every line is indexed to its own first stored day = 100, so the chart compares appreciation between products rather than price levels: a booster pack and a booster box cannot honestly share a dollar axis.
Restock
—Not trackedThis set has sealed products, but no retailer has ever been read for any of them. Not tracked is not sold out.
1 sealed product in this set, and no retailer has ever been read for any of them — which is not the same as sold out.
Best Buy: not currently tracked.Walmart: not currently tracked.Target: not currently tracked.GameStop: not currently tracked.
0 retailers tracked · 4 not monitoredEvery retailer in the registry has a cell, including the ones that are not tracked — a shelf nobody is watching reads UNKNOWN, never 'sold out'. One store's empty shelf is not the whole market, and an untracked one is not evidence about the market at all.Set-level: Wizards Black Star Promos sealed products, not this cardRetail rows attach to SEALED products only — no big-box retailer sells single cards — so this whole card is the SET's shelf availability. It is not a statement about this card, and a card's own price is unaffected by it.Print status unknownThere is no published source for whether a Pokémon product is still being printed — The Pokémon Company has never announced print cessation in any region, and the annual rotation announcement is about tournament legality, not production. So this is an inference, never a fact, and the verdict above comes from observed shelf readings instead. Nothing direct is on file here — no shelf reading either way and no recorded reprint announcement — and release age plus a price ratio is a hypothesis, not a print status, so no estimate is made.
Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping — never comparable to a delivered price.Retail shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not comparable to the delivered marketplace prices shown elsewhere on this page. They are never fed into a delivered-price floor.Method▾
Each row is one tracked retailer's most recent reading of one of the set's sealed products, at that retailer's own SKU. A restock is an observed OUT_OF_STOCK → IN_STOCK transition in that SKU's reading history, never a change we inferred from a price or a gap. Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not delivered prices and are never fed into a floor.
Absorption
—Building historyToo few readings of the book to tell a drawdown from noise. The count is on the card — see the note below.
22 readings of this book so far, one per 1 day, over 28d. The direction reads once there are enough of them to tell a drawdown from noise.
Method▾
Each reading takes the venue's own listing count for this card in this condition — the whole book — at that instant. The direction is classified by the platform's absorption reading over that series: a book drawn down with demand behind it reads as accumulation, one that refills after a drawdown reads as distribution. Copies and sellers come from the cheapest asks we sample, not from the book, and are labelled as such. Sold units are confirmed prints from the live tape over the same span, and are shown only when the tape reaches back past the first reading.
The direction is classified over the platform-standard 30-day trailing window. That window is a scope, not a history: it contains exactly the readings counted on this card and no others — and only readings that counted the venue’s own book, never a sampled one trended against a counted one.
30d sold
62 units (+59% vs prior 30d)
Units of THIS printing sold in the 30 days ending October 13, 2026, against the 30 days before that (39). Demand at a table and demand in the market are different measurements; this is the second one.
Meta vs priceNot enough history (0 weeks)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Meta share · % of Standard decklists (right axis)Median price · this print, $ (left axis)Units sold per day (bars)
Does the meta move the price? Share of Standard decklists running this card against this print's median sale price and units sold, day by day; the rank correlation above is printed once 8 weeks exist.
94.5% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
EvidenceEvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory +28.6%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 90% (floor-confidence 44/100), based on 980 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Jul 1, 1999
27.3y
98%
No
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Oct 13, 2026
2d
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 14, 2026
2d
90%
Yes
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Oct 13, 2026
2d
90%
No
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Sep 15, 2026
30d
85%
No
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Oct 13, 2026
2d
70%
No
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.
Oct 12, 2026
3d
60%
No
Raw · Normal · Near MintWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
-71.9%
6d ago
$75.00 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-09T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$144.99-45.7%8d ago$144.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-07T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$91.00-65.9%8d ago$91.00 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-07T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
Grading upside6%51Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.
Value vs fair17%no readingFair value returned UNKNOWN — too few comparable prints to anchor an estimate.
Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.
Book pressure11%no readingNeeds a 30-day inventory change, or book counts spanning ≥3 days that move at all and rest on ≥8 listings. Collection of `inventory_observations` began 2026-09-02.
Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).
Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.
Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
—No 10 price is on file for BGS, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no BGS population total, so P(10) has no honest denominator.
CGC
$20.00CGC Economy — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Bulk $17.00.
4.1%95% interval 2.7%–6.3% on n=483. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$1,200$1,200.00. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
+325%+$796.01 on a $244.99 cost basis.
≈+89%Only 1% of the CGC distribution is priced, so this falls back to P(10)·ROI(10) + (1−P(10))·ROI(pooled sub-10 price).
PSA
$59.99PSA Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Value Bulk $24.99, Value $32.99.
13.3%95% interval 12.0%–14.8% on n=2289. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$2,760$2,760.00. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
+740%+$2,109.32 on a $284.98 cost basis.
≈+83%Only 95% of the PSA distribution is priced, so this falls back to P(10)·ROI(10) + (1−P(10))·ROI(pooled sub-10 price).
Wizards Black Star Promos