The vendor's catalog photograph of Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.$149.96, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 13, 2026.
Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash] is from Wizards Black Star Promos.
We don't currently track retail stock for Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash], which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
as of Oct 4, 2026 · UTC
Scan-Tastic Spectacular Promo Pack [Ho-oh & Rapidash] · 1DMkt$149.960.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
relative value thesis · 30-180d horizon · 59% confidence on 35/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Data quality scored 35/100 (composite weight 39%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-13.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
Withheld — 7 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
7 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: price trend, supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
On file: 2 asks · 136 daily guide points · 117 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 14, 2026 | 2m | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 14, 2026 | 2m | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 4, 2026 | 10d | 90% | Yes |
| Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against. | Oct 14, 2026 | 2m | 70% | No |
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 19, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 7 missing inputs away and applied a 35% confidence penalty for them: priceTrend, supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-13.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-13.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists Wizards Black Star Promos in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.