The vendor's catalog photograph of Phantom Forces Theme Deck - "Burning Winds" [Talonflame]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the XY era.
The contents of the Phantom Forces Theme Deck "Burning Winds" [Talonflame] tell the story: it is a ready-to-play preconstructed deck, built for learning the game or sitting down to a match without assembling a list first. It belongs to Phantom Forces, an expansion from the XY era of the English-language Pokémon TCG, released on November 5, 2014. The deck is one of 18 sealed products catalogued for the set, which also includes booster packs, a booster box, blisters and an Elite Trainer Box.
The Phantom Forces Theme Deck "Burning Winds" holds one 60-card preconstructed deck, a set of damage counters and one coin.
As of October 23, 2026, the Phantom Forces Theme Deck "Burning Winds" is down 1 percent over the past 30 days. Tracking began only in September 2026, so a longer trend is not yet visible, and the short window shows a price that has barely moved. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of recent sales.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 13 decks from the XY era, the Phantom Forces Burning Winds Theme Deck ranks 10th by price and sits at about 0.7 times the era median for decks, so it is priced below the middle of its group. Within its own set's line it is 4th of the 4 priced products, with the Phantom Forces 3 Pack Blister [Darkrai] the highest priced.
| Measure | This productPhantom Forces Theme Deck - "Burning Winds" [Talonflame] | Median of 13 decksXY median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | Phantom Forces | — |
| Release date | Nov 5, 2014 | — |
| Price | $26.27 | $39.89 |
$26.27, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 30, 2026.
Phantom Forces Theme Deck - "Burning Winds" [Talonflame] is from Phantom Forces.
We don't currently track retail stock for Phantom Forces Theme Deck - "Burning Winds" [Talonflame], which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 2, 2026 · UTC
Phantom Forces Theme Deck - "Burning Winds" [Talonflame] · 1DMkt$26.270.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 65% confidence on 22/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 0/100 (composite weight 36%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-30.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 4 priced sealed products in Phantom Forces.
Composite over the 4 inputs that resolved.
On file: 2 asks · 8 sales · 185 daily guide points · 137 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 2, 2026 | 22h | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 2, 2026 | 22h | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 2, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 11, 2026 | 23d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
5 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 44, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 5 missing inputs away and applied a 28% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 2, 2026 |
| 22h |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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No per-pack wholesale figure.
| Distributor | Lot | Lot price | Per pack | Currency | Stock | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Face to Face Games (public Shopify product feed)Pokémon TCG: XY - Phantom Forces Burning Winds Theme Deck | Lot · count not stated | CA$13.99 CAD | —The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price. | CAD | sold out | 2026-11-02 |
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
6 lots listed on 2026-11-02 — higher than 51% of the set's own readings over 48 readings in 90 days.
Thin on the wholesale shelf: fresh-pack supply is not what is pressuring Phantom Forces's raw NM singles right now.
2 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.