The vendor's catalog photograph of Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv]
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv]Every price, print and shelf reading on this page belongs to this one sealed product.
∅Illiquid / UnknownIlliquid / UnknownThe classifier refused to call one: too little liquidity or too small a sample to test any rule. The absence of a read, never a tenth regime.
1D
0.0%
7D
-0.2%
30D
+11.1%
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] guide
Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Scarlet & Violet era.
modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of Oct 30, 2026
Rank among mini tins in Scarlet & Violet
2nd of 35
Paldean Fates is the Scarlet & Violet era expansion that arrived on January 26, 2024, and the Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] is one of its small collectible tins built around the Pokémon named in its title. The set belongs to the English-language Pokémon TCG and is a shiny-focused release, which is the setting for any Paldean Fates mini tin. It sits in a sealed line of 37 products that runs from booster packs and bundles to Elite Trainer Boxes, Premium Collections, other tins and a display. A mini tin is a compact product meant for opening a few packs and keeping the card or tin as a small collectible.
Tracking of the Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] began in September 2026, so the record is short and says little about long-run direction. As of October 23, 2026, it is up 12 percent over the past 30 days and sits 14 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of recent sales. Because the window is only weeks old, the climb from that low reads as an early move, not a trend that has been tested.
Since tracking began (Aug 2026)-8.0%
90 days-8.0%
30 days+11.1%
Tracked high$74.95 · Oct 4, 2026
Tracked low$56.63 · Sep 13, 2026
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
How Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] compares
Among the 35 mini tins from the Scarlet & Violet era, the Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] ranks 2nd by price and sits at about 1.6 times the era median for the kind. That puts it near the top of its peers. Inside its own set's line it is more modest: it ranks 30th of 34 priced products, well below the Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display Case, which is the highest-priced item in the set. The gap shows how much a large sealed display outweighs even a high-ranking small tin.
How much is Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] worth?
$64.42, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 30, 2026.
What set is Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] from?
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] is from Paldean Fates.
Where can I buy Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv]?
We don't currently track retail stock for Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv], which is not the same as it being sold out.
Mkt Price
$64.42·0.0%
guide · modelled
Mkt Price$64.42The venue’s modelled daily market guide for this product — a model of where it is trading, not a confirmed sale. No per-transaction sealed tape is collected, so no day here closes on a print.
Vs MSRPN/A
Vs MSRPN/ANo MSRP assertion is on file for this product, so there is nothing to compare the market against.
30D Vol
4units▲+100%
units · vs prior 30d
30D Vol4 units4 units sold, from the venue's own sold-units ledger, over the last 30 days, against 2 in the 30 days before.
Per PackN/A
Per PackN/AWithheld: a per-pack price needs a pack count we KNOW rather than infer, and no pack-math source is on file for this product. Dividing by a guessed count would make a fabricated price.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily bars
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
as of Oct 31, 2026 · UTC
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] · 1DMkt$64.42·0.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
—
RSI 14
Action
•WatchA research classification, not advice: the engine's collector read at 65% confidence, on a illiquid unknown regime.
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 65% confidence on 22/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).
Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display Case$8,999.99—$8,999.99Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-12, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Quant Score
Quant score 68.4 out of 10068.4/100
Composite over the 4 inputs that resolved.
Price trend100Price trend100/100Where the price has gone over the scoring window, scaled 0-100. Higher is a stronger uptrend; 0 is the bottom of the observed range, not "no data".Liquidity32Liquidity32/100How readily the thing trades — observed venue depth and the pace it sells at. Higher is more liquid.
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Oct 30, 2026
1d
90%
No
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Oct 30, 2026
1d
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 31, 2026
13h
90%
Yes
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Oct 26, 2026
5d
85%
No
Sealed productWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box Case$4,092.99—
$4,092.99Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Case$2,715.00—$2,715.00Paldean Fates Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display$1,555.25—$1,555.25Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Set of 3]$790.82—$790.82Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Set of 3] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection Case$713.66—$713.66Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection Case — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)$542.15—$542.15Paldean Fates Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin Display$524.75—$524.75Paldean Fates Mini Tin Display — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tins [Set of 3]$499.94—$499.94Paldean Fates Tins [Set of 3] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates International Tins [Set of 3]$475.00—$475.00Paldean Fates International Tins [Set of 3] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box$437.08—$437.08Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Set of 5]$260.70—$260.70Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Set of 5] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Great Tusk ex & Iron Treads ex Premium Collection$257.20—$257.20Paldean Fates Great Tusk ex & Iron Treads ex Premium Collection — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Meowscarada ex]$240.07—$240.07Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Meowscarada ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Skeledirge ex]$239.06—$239.06Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Skeledirge ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Quaquaval ex]$223.36—$223.36Paldean Fates Premium Collection [Quaquaval ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collections [Set of 3]$222.70—$222.70Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collections [Set of 3] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tin [Charizard ex]$199.24—$199.24Paldean Fates Tin [Charizard ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Booster Bundle$167.91—$167.91Paldean Fates Booster Bundle — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates International Tin [Charizard ex]$157.13—$157.13Paldean Fates International Tin [Charizard ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates International Tin [Iron Treads ex]$139.95—$139.95Paldean Fates International Tin [Iron Treads ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tin [Great Tusk ex]$139.37—$139.37Paldean Fates Tin [Great Tusk ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tin [Iron Treads ex]$128.14—$128.14Paldean Fates Tin [Iron Treads ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates International Tin [Great Tusk ex]$113.92—$113.92Paldean Fates International Tin [Great Tusk ex] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4]$96.18—$96.18Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Maushold]$88.40—$88.40Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Maushold] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection [Fidough]$73.64—$73.64Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection [Fidough] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection [Greavard]$72.86—$72.86Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection [Greavard] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection [Maschiff]$71.70—$71.70Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection [Maschiff] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv]$64.42—$64.42Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Flamigo]$53.45—$53.45Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Flamigo] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Finizen]$51.56—$51.56Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Finizen] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Tinkatink]$50.87—$50.87Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Tinkatink] — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Booster Pack$23.28—$23.28Paldean Fates Booster Pack — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-31, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Paldean Fates Mini Tin Display Case———Paldean Fates Mini Tin Display Case — the set has it and no priced daily bar exists for it yet. A dash, never a zero.
Paldean Fates Premium Collection Case———Paldean Fates Premium Collection Case — the set has it and no priced daily bar exists for it yet. A dash, never a zero.
Paldean Fates Tin Case———Paldean Fates Tin Case — the set has it and no priced daily bar exists for it yet. A dash, never a zero.
Method▾
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Relative strength
88
Relative strength88/100This instrument against its comparison universe. Higher is outperformance. Sealed product has no scored peer universe today.
Data quality22Data quality22/100How much of the evidence the other scores wanted actually resolved. Higher is better covered. It is the one score that is honest about the rest.
5 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Method▾
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 44, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 5 missing inputs away and applied a 28% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
Price trend100
Supply tightnessN/A
AbsorptionN/A
Auction demandN/A
Liquidity32
Grading reflexivityN/A
Relative strength88
Reprint / supply riskN/A
Data quality22
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Oct 30, 2026
1d
70%
No
Retail availability
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
TCGplayer0
eBay0
Wholesale1 of 1
Per packLotBuy
—The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price.Lot · count not statedBUY
Face to Face Games (public Shopify product feed) · CA$29.99 CAD○ Sold out
—The distributor stated no pack count for this lot and none is on file for the matched product, so no per-pack figure can be published. Dividing by a guessed count would be a fabricated price.
CAD
sold out
2026-10-31
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
Set supply
▼Low16 lots listed on 2026-10-31 — higher than 53% of the set's own readings over 46 readings in 90 days.
16 lots listed on 2026-10-31 — higher than 53% of the set's own readings over 46 readings in 90 days.
Lots listed16±0Distinct bulk listings of this set across every distributor catalogue we read, on the latest reading. The 30-day change is against the last reading at least thirty days earlier.Packs on hand—Packs implied by each listing multiplied by the quantity the distributor's own cart accepts — the warehouse depth the page publishes. Withheld when no listing states both numbers.Cheapest / pack—The cheapest per-pack asking price across the set’s listings, in the currency the distributor quotes. Never converted.
Thin on the wholesale shelf: fresh-pack supply is not what is pressuring Paldean Fates's raw NM singles right now.
Lots listed · 90 daysSet age 1,009d
4 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] — sealed mini tin](https://img.cardboardalpha.com/media/v1/sealed/43/07/430774c0d2a22179/w320.webp)
The vendor's catalog photograph of Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv]. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.