The vendor's catalog photograph of Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive). It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Mega Evolution era.
The Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) holds 11 booster packs of the Pitch Black expansion, which belongs to the Mega Evolution era of the English-language Pokémon TCG and releases on July 17, 2026. An Elite Trainer Box pairs sealed boosters with a play kit, so it serves both for opening packs and for building and running a deck. Pitch Black has 23 sealed products in total, and this Elite Trainer Box is one of them.
The Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box holds 11 booster packs of 10 cards each, with a Basic Energy in every pack. The play kit has 65 sleeves and 45 Pokémon TCG Energy cards, plus a guide to the expansion for players. For gameplay it adds 6 dice for tracking damage, one competition-legal coin-flip die and 2 plastic condition markers. The storage box has 4 dividers, and a code card for Pokémon Trading Card Game Live is also in the box.
Pitch Black is opened for Mega Darkrai ex, which appears twice among the five most valuable cards: as a Special illustration rare in first place and as a Mega Hyper Rare in second. Morpeko ex, Mega Zeraora ex and Mega Chandelure ex, all Special illustration rares, follow in 3rd through 5th. The set has 84 official cards and 36 secret rares above that count, with 46 cards in the chase tiers. Value is concentrated: the top five cards make up 71 percent of the set's total card value. The Elite Trainer Box's packs can yield these cards.
As of October 23, 2026, the Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box is down 78 percent since tracking began in May 2026, and it now sits 81 percent below its tracked high from May 2026. It has steadied lately: it is 14 percent above its September 2026 low, up 1 percent over the past 30 days, though still down 7 percent over 90 days. It trades at about 2 times its suggested retail price. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a confirmed recent sale.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 16 Mega Evolution era Elite Trainer Boxes, this one ranks 11th by price and sits about equal to the era median. The Chaos Rising Elite Trainer Box is priced lower, while the 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box is about equal. Within the Pitch Black line, it ranks 9th by price of 23 priced products, with the Pitch Black Booster Box Case at the top.
| Measure | This productPitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) | Median of 18 Elite Trainer BoxesMega Evolution median | Previous setChaos Rising Elite Trainer Box | Next set30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | Pitch Black | — | Chaos Rising | 30th Celebration |
$112.75, the price of a confirmed sale, as of November 8, 2026.
Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) is from Pitch Black.
We don't currently track retail stock for Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive), which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Jul 17, 2026 | — | May 22, 2026 | Sep 16, 2026 |
|---|
| Price | $112.75 | $115.48 | $69.67 | $115.95 |
|---|
item · median
MSRP $59.99
units · vs prior 30d
11 packs · 10 cards
as of Nov 8, 2026 · UTC
Pitch Black Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) · 1DMed$112.75-2.4%2 prints · medianitem price
Vol 2 sold2 tcgp·2 prints·2 obs
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 65% confidence on 17/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 5/100 (composite weight 36%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-08.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
$112.75 against a $59.99 list price — +87.9%, off the last confirmed trade.
MSRP source
Publisher store list price, pokemoncenter.com SKU 10-10416-112, read from the 2026-07-14 Wayback snapshot (the live page is behind bot defense). The $10 premium over the standard ETB for two extra packs cross-validates that ETB's $49.99.
MSRP is an assertion by whoever published it, never a market observation and never a price anyone is obliged to honour. The source above is quoted in full for that reason.
Cheapest route in the set is $4.92 a pack.
The 9th dearest of the 23 priced sealed products in Pitch Black, but $10.00 a pack against $4.92 in the Pitch Black Booster Box.
Composite over the 4 inputs that resolved.
On file: 231 asks · 276 sales · 456 daily guide points · 155 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 8, 2026 | 1d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 8, 2026 | 1d | 90% | No |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Nov 8, 2026 | 2d | 85% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 8, 2026 | 22h | 75% | Yes |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
5 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 109, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 5 missing inputs away and applied a 28% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 8, 2026 |
| 1d |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-09.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-09.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
25 lots listed on 2026-11-09 — higher than 5% of the set's own readings; 81 packs on hand, higher than 58% over 55 readings in 90 days.
Thin on the wholesale shelf: fresh-pack supply is not what is pressuring Pitch Black's raw NM singles right now.
5 distributors’ public catalogues are a proxy for supply, not the print run.