The vendor's catalog photograph of McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards and price history.
The McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack is a promotional pack from McDonald's Collection 2022, a promo collection for the English-language Pokémon TCG. The set belongs to the Sword & Shield era and was released on August 3, 2022. It is a small pack of promotional cards built for opening and swapping, and it is the only sealed product the set has. The set itself is made up of 15 cards, so this pack stands in for the whole line.
Each paper booster pack in the McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack holds four random promotional cards: one holofoil card and three non-holofoil cards.
As of October 23, 2026, the McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack is up 8 percent over the past 30 days and sits 11 percent above its tracked low from September 2026, the month tracking began. Tracking is too recent to show a longer trend. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of confirmed recent sales.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
$8.65, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 5, 2026.
McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack is from McDonald's Collection 2022.
We don't currently track retail stock for McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 6, 2026 · UTC
McDonald's 2022 Match & Battle Pack · 1DMkt$8.65-0.2%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 65% confidence on 18/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Data quality scored 18/100 (composite weight 16%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-05.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
Composite over the 4 inputs that resolved.
On file: 28 asks · 35 sales · 191 daily guide points · 139 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 5, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 5, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 6, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Nov 5, 2026 | 2d | 85% | No |
5 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 50, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 5 missing inputs away and applied a 28% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 5, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-06.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-06.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists McDonald's Collection 2022 in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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