The vendor's catalog photograph of Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water". It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water"
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water"Every price, print and shelf reading on this page belongs to this one sealed product.
∅Illiquid / UnknownIlliquid / UnknownThe classifier refused to call one: too little liquidity or too small a sample to test any rule. The absence of a read, never a tenth regime.
Mkt Price
$200.00—
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" guide
Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the WOTC era.
modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of Nov 5, 2026
Rank among decks in WOTC
13th of 14
Market data on the Base Set 2 Theme Deck "Hot Water" only began in September 2026, so its price history is still very short. This is a sealed deck from Base Set 2, an English-language Pokémon TCG expansion from the WOTC era released on February 24, 2000. A theme deck is a ready-to-play deck built around a single energy type, made for learning the game or playing straight out of the box rather than for opening packs. Base Set 2 has six sealed products in total, spread across decks, booster boxes and booster packs.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
How Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" compares
Among the 13 decks priced from the WOTC era, the Base Set 2 Theme Deck "Hot Water" ranks 12th by price, at about 0.7 times the era median for decks. Within its own set's line it is 4th by price of 4 priced products, and the Base Set 2 Booster Pack is the highest-priced of them. That placement fits a deck that sits at the lower end of both its era and its set.
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water": common questions
How much is Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" worth?
$200.00, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 5, 2026.
What set is Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" from?
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" is from Base Set 2.
Where can I buy Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water"?
We don't currently track retail stock for Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water", which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
Mkt Price$200.00The venue’s modelled daily market guide for this product — a model of where it is trading, not a confirmed sale. No per-transaction sealed tape is collected, so no day here closes on a print.
Vs MSRPN/A
Vs MSRPN/ANo MSRP assertion is on file for this product, so there is nothing to compare the market against.
30D VolN/A
Per PackN/A
Per PackN/AWithheld: a per-pack price needs a pack count we KNOW rather than infer, and no pack-math source is on file for this product. Dividing by a guessed count would make a fabricated price.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily bars
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
as of Oct 10, 2026 · UTC
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" · 1DMkt$200.00·0.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
—
RSI 14
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
TCGplayer0
eBay0
Action
•WatchA research classification, not advice: the engine's relative value read at 59% confidence, on a illiquid unknown regime.
relative value thesis · 30-180d horizon · 59% confidence on 17/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).
Withheld — 7 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
Relative strength45Relative strength45/100This instrument against its comparison universe. Higher is outperformance. Sealed product has no scored peer universe today.Data quality17Data quality17/100How much of the evidence the other scores wanted actually resolved. Higher is better covered. It is the one score that is honest about the rest.
7 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: price trend, supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, reprint / supply risk.
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Nov 5, 2026
3d
90%
No
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Nov 7, 2026
1d
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 10, 2026
29d
90%
Yes
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Nov 5, 2026
3d
70%
No
Sealed productWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
—
$235.00Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Lightning Bug" — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-11-07, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Psych Out"$222.50—$222.50Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Psych Out" — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-09-15, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water"$200.00—$200.00Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water" — the provider's modelled daily market guide on 2026-10-10, which stood in because no sale was observed that day. A model of where it trades, not a trade.
Base Set 2 Booster Box———Base Set 2 Booster Box — the set has it and no priced daily bar exists for it yet. A dash, never a zero.
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Method▾
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 25, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 7 missing inputs away and applied a 35% confidence penalty for them: priceTrend, supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, reprintSupplyRisk.
Price trendN/A
Supply tightnessN/A
AbsorptionN/A
Auction demandN/A
LiquidityN/A
Grading reflexivityN/A
Relative strength45
Reprint / supply riskN/A
Data quality17
Buy in bulk
wholesale · public catalogues
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-07.
Wholesale / pack
—
No wholesale listing is matched to this product.
Market guide / pack
—
Withheld: no published pack count is on file for this product, and a per-pack figure over a guessed count would be a fabricated price.
Shelf / pack
—
Withheld: no tracked retailer had this in stock on its last reading.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-07.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
Set supply
—No wholesale listings seenNo wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists Base Set 2 in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
Retail availability
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
In stock near you
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The vendor's catalog photograph of Base Set 2 Theme Deck - "Hot Water". It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.