Blaziken ex — 024/160Raw · Holo · Near MintEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
As of 19:04ZAs of 19:04ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$8.19item—
modelled guide
Mkt Price$8.19 itemThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. It is quoted on the ITEM basis — the basis every wall tile is quoted on — and it is what the chart plots on a day with no print of its own.
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.
LiquidityN/A
LiquidityN/AHow easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D VolN/A
For Sale
0units
live delivered asks
For Sale0 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded Pop
1·0.0%
across 1 graders
Graded Pop1Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
How this summary is madeThe first sentence is written by a language model from this card’s own data. The second is computed from the live numbers on this page every time it loads, so it moves with the market.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
as of Sep 22, 2026 · UTC
history since Sep 2026
Blaziken ex — 024/160 · 1DMkt$8.19—guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
—
RSI 14
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
TCGplayer0
eBay0
Buy on TCGplayer
Fair value
—
Insufficient data
No fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered.
Market safety
—No bookNo visible asks, so there is no control cost to band.
Nothing is listed for sale, so there is no book for one buyer to move.
Bottom line
No call
Supply
▲Nothing listedNo active fixed-price ask carries a known delivered price right now. Anyone who wants one has to bid for it or wait.
0 units listed — no 30-day sales pace to measure them against.
PopulationAll graders pooled1Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, as each of them states its own total. A share of what was submitted and kept — never the odds a copy grades 10.PSA1Slabs PSA itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.
11010 — 1 slabs, 100.0% of the 1 charted herePSA 1
Listed0 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Graded · PSA 11 slabsEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Gem rate
—Census too thin · PSA n=1No grader has 30 slabs of this printing on file, so no difficulty is called and no grader is recommended. The largest census is PSA's 1, with 1 at 10.
No grader has 30 slabs on file; the largest census is PSA’s 1.
10 rate by grader
Print scarcity
•Set not coveredA set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
LightModerateHeavy
Model inputs
Graded copies1 copy
Competitive play•Fringe3.0% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days, measured play below the 5% regular threshold.
3.0%-2.5 ppChange in share against the 30-day window ending September 13, 2026, in percentage points.In 680 of 22,383 Standard decklists across 338 events, last 30 days · 2.0 copies per deck that plays it.
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Modelled guide price moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and +0.0% over 30 days, now at $8.19. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: no single factor dominates; the composite score is being driven by broad, low-amplitude movement across most inputs.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: with only 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
Evidence
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Highest Volume
The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#
Card
Set
No.
30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.
PriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).
Under half the model had evidence, so the score is a statement about the inputs that reported rather than about the card. No call until more of them do.
53/100 across 1 of 11 inputs. Every input that reported landed near neutral. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.
Grading upside51Grading upside51/100Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Carries 6% of the composite.
1 of 11 inputs · 6% weight · -35% confidence▾
Not reading yet: value vs fair, price trend, money flow, book pressure, liquidity, relative strength, manipulation risk, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Grading upside6%51Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Value vs fair17%no readingFair value returned UNKNOWN — too few comparable prints to anchor an estimate.Price trend13%no readingNo price history in the 7- and 30-day windows, or no confirmed print in 30 days — the line is the relay’s guide.Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.Book pressure11%no readingNeeds a 30-day inventory change, or book counts spanning ≥3 days that move at all and rest on ≥8 listings. Collection of `inventory_observations` began 2026-09-02.Liquidity9%no readingFewer than two of the four participation readings could be measured — no trade count, and no book to read a queue or a seller base off.Manipulation risk9%no readingNo visible ask book, so there is no control cost to band.Relative strength7%no readingThe wall projection has ranked fewer than 20 cards on 30-day return, so a percentile here would be a rank of a handful dressed up as a market.Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
Competitive meta+2A BONUS on top of the weighted composite, never a penalty: 20% of Standard decklists or more adds 8, 5% or more adds 5, and any measured play at all adds 2. A card nobody plays is not marked down for it. Measured on 3.0% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
PSA100.0%
PSA 101 of 1 · thin
PSA: 1 of the 1 PSA slabs on file are a 10 (PSA 10) — 100.0%, 95% interval 20.7%–100.0%. Under 30 slabs, so it is shown but never compared or recommended.
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Slab premium
▲Strong slab premiumThe dearest priced rung is PSA 10 at $120.00, 14.7× the $8.19 raw reference (modelled guide price).
A PSA 10 is worth $120.00 — 14.7× the $8.19 raw modelled guide price — and that is the provider’s modelled value, not a sale.
Dearest slab per grading company
PSA 10$120.00guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.14.7×PSA 10 — $120.00, 14.7× rawRaw$8.19guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.1.0×Raw — $8.19, 1.0× rawThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. Every multiple on this ladder is taken against it.
One rung down, a PSA 9 is $12.97 — 1.6× raw.
Grading ROI
▼Don't gradePSA: +$10.92 expected at the observed gem share, but -$62.75 at its 95% lower bound — the population sample is too small to support the submission. Break-even needs 90% gems; observed 100% (95% floor 21%, n=1).
Best on PSA: +$10.92 expected at the observed gem share, but -$62.75 at its 95% lower bound — the population sample is too small to support the submission. Break-even needs 90% gems; observed 100% (95% floor 21%, n=1).
Odds of a 10 vs what it takes
PSA needs 90% tens to break even; the census shows 100%, with a 95% interval of 21% to 100% on 1 slabs.
break-even 89.5%Break-even89.5%The 10 rate this submission would need just to cover the raw price and the fee. It is the white line on the meter above: the solid segment has to clear it before grading is worth doing at all.observed 100.0% [20.7%–100.0%] n=1Observed 10 rate100.0%Measured over 1 graded copies in the census, with a 95% interval of 20.7%–100.0% around it — the band on the meter IS that interval, and it is the width of the doubt, not of the opportunity. A small n makes it wide.
VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.
FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.
P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
Pre-grade this card →Photograph your own copy front and back for centering, wear and the odds of each grade. An estimate, not a grade.
$8.19 raw (modelled guide price) + $59.99 PSA Standard + $25.00 ship/ins = $93.18 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Graded copies
1 copy
Slabs on record across PSA, CGC and ACE, summed over every grade. The model’s raw input — it is NOT the print run, because a card people grade often will show a large population off a small press run. Ungraded and sealed copies are invisible to it.
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
2.0
Mean copies per deck that runs it, over the 680 decks that do; never averaged against the decks that do not. The bar is scaled to 4, the per-deck limit.
Top-cut lift1.23×3.7% of 3,647 top-cut decklists run it, against 3.0% of the whole field. Above 1.00 it is over-represented where the money is. Withheld under 20 top-cut decklists.
Win rate54.1%1,603 of 2,962 decided matches where exactly one seat ran this card. Mirrors, byes and tables with no published winner are excluded. Withheld under 30 matches.
Deck spread0.251 minus the concentration of this card across the deck archetypes that run it. 1.00 is spread evenly over many decks; 0 is one deck. At or above 0.5 concentration this is a ONE-DECK CARD: its demand rises and falls with a single archetype.
Player floor$1.23The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Blaziken ex, Journey Together. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Premium over floor6.7×This printing's headline price ($8.19) against the player floor ($1.23). What a player pays for THIS art rather than for the cheapest legal copy of the same card.Playset$2.502.0 copies (the mean per deck that runs it) at the player floor of $1.23. What the decks on file actually bought.Meta vs priceNot enough history (1 week)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Meta share · % of Standard decklists (right axis)Median price · this print, $ (left axis)Units sold per day (bars)
Does the meta move the price? Share of Standard decklists running this card against this print's median sale price and units sold, day by day; the rank correlation above is printed once 8 weeks exist.
Fringe at 3.0% of Standard decklists, -2.5 pp on the prior window. A playset costs $2.50 at the cheapest legal print.
94.5% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
EvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 0 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 0%, based on 1 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Feb 1, 2000
26.7y
98%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Sep 22, 2026
24d
90%
Yes
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.
Oct 10, 2026
5d
60%
No
Raw · Holo · Near MintWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
PSA
$59.99PSA Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Value Bulk $24.99, Value $32.99.
100.0%95% interval 20.7%–100.0% on n=1. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$120$120.00. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.
+12%+$10.92 on a $93.18 cost basis.
+12%Risk-weighted across all 1 PSA rungs; 100% of the distribution carried its own price.