Buneary — DP06Raw · Holo · Near MintEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
∅Illiquid / UnknownIlliquid / UnknownThe classifier refused to call one: too little liquidity or too small a sample to test any rule. The absence of a read, never a tenth regime.As of 22:33ZAs of 22:33ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$9.18item—
modelled guide
Mkt Price$9.18 itemThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. It is quoted on the ITEM basis — the basis every wall tile is quoted on — and it is what the chart plots on a day with no print of its own.
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair value is published for this instrument: no confirmed print or completed auction in 30 days — an estimate built from live asks alone would be a restatement of the book. The components below show what evidence exists; the estimate they would blend to is withheld rather than quoted. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.
Liquidity
25/100
Thin liquidity
Liquidity25 /100How easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D Vol
11units▲+83.3%
units · vs prior 30d
30D Vol11 units11 units over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer and eBay. Newest reading Oct 8, 2026. Against 6 in the 30 days before.
For Sale
3units
3 sellers
For Sale3 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded Pop
106▲+1.0%
across 2 graders
Graded Pop106Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
No live auction bids — this market has no resting bid book.
Cross-Market BasisAsks are live fixed-price listings at delivered prices (item + required shipping). No bid side exists: this market has no resting bid book. There are no live auction bids and no published buylist for this instrument, so the bid side is empty rather than synthesized from asks, price history or a spread assumption.——
AskSize
Ask sideLive fixed-price listings, priced DELIVERED — item plus required shipping. Cheapest first; a listing whose shipping is unknown has no delivered price and is excluded rather than guessed at.
$24.002
$24.00 · 2 units2 cum.Ask size at this price, and the running total through it from the cheapest ask — 2 units are buyable at or under $24.00 delivered. The shaded staircase behind the row IS that running total.
$112.151
$112.15 · 1 unit3 cum.Ask size at this price, and the running total through it from the cheapest ask — 3 units are buyable at or under $112.15 delivered. The shaded staircase behind the row IS that running total.
Ask depth$160.15Ask depth$160.15Every live fixed-price ask summed at its DELIVERED price — what clearing the whole visible book would cost. There is no bid side to set it against: no auction has a bid on it and no buylist quotes this instrument, and an absent side is never drawn as a zero.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
No fair value is published for this card — no confirmed print or completed auction in 30 days — an estimate built from live asks alone would be a restatement of the book.
Market safety
▲High riskOne buyer can set this price on at least one dimension: a spike here would outlive the 30-day window every number we publish is measured over, or the whole buyable book is inside a single ordinary order (under 5 units).
$160.15 buys the entire visible book — 3 units, fewer than one ordinary order (30d traded unknown, 3 asks).
Book
Absorption
—Building historyToo few readings of the book to tell a drawdown from noise. The count is on the card — see the note below.
1 reading of this book so far, one per 1 day. The direction reads once there are enough of them to tell a drawdown from noise.
Method▾
Each reading counts the cheapest asks on offer at that instant: how many copies they hold, across how many asks, from how many sellers. It is the cheap end of the book, not the book — the venue lists more, and those asks are not counted here. Sold units are confirmed prints from the live tape over the same span, and are shown only when the tape reaches back past the first reading.
No accumulation or distribution verdict is offered. A rise or fall in a fixed-size window onto the cheapest asks is a fact about the window: the copies inside it grow when multi-copy sellers price into the cheap end, whether the book behind it is growing, shrinking or flat. The verdict returns when a reading carries the venue’s own total for the book rather than the size of our sample.
Supply
•Ample supply3 listed units against a 0.4/day pace is 8.2 days of stock. Under 7d reads tight, 30d or more reads heavy.
3 units listed across 3 sellers — 8.2d of stock at the 30-day pace of 0.4/day.
PopulationAll graders pooled106Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, as each of them states its own total. A share of what was submitted and kept — never the odds a copy grades 10.CGC82Slabs CGC itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.PSA24Slabs PSA itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.
1399 — 13 slabs, 12.3% of the 106 charted hereCGC 8 · PSA 5258.58.5 — 25 slabs, 23.6% of the 106 charted hereCGC 253088 — 30 slabs, 28.3% of the 106 charted hereCGC 21 · PSA 9177.57.5 — 17 slabs, 16.0% of the 106 charted hereCGC 17777 — 7 slabs, 6.6% of the 106 charted hereCGC 2 · PSA 556.56.5 — 5 slabs, 4.7% of the 106 charted hereCGC 5466 — 4 slabs, 3.8% of the 106 charted hereCGC 1 · PSA 315.55.5 — 1 slabs, 0.9% of the 106 charted hereCGC 124.54.5 — 2 slabs, 1.9% of the 106 charted hereCGC 2144 — 1 slabs, 0.9% of the 106 charted herePSA 1111 — 1 slabs, 0.9% of the 106 charted herePSA 1
Listed · 3 sellers · $160.153 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 30d · 0.4/day11 unitsUnits over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer and eBay, against 6 in the 30 days before. Newest reading 2026-10-08.Graded · CGC 82 · PSA 24106 slabsEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Print scarcity
•Set not coveredA set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
Competitive play▲Meta regular6.0% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days, at or above the 5% regular threshold and below the 20% staple threshold.
6.0%+2.7 ppChange in share against the 30-day window ending September 13, 2026, in percentage points.In 1,338 of 22,383 Standard decklists across 338 events, last 30 days · 2.3 copies per deck that plays it.
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Modelled guide price moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and +0.0% over 30 days, now at $9.18. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: Price trend scored 0/100 (composite weight 31%). — the largest single contributor to the current ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN regime read.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: Relative strength scored 14/100 (composite weight 21%).. With 3 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Sweeping 10% of the visible book costs $48.00The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $24.00 ask.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.
50%·$160.15·$112.15 askSweeping 50% of the visible book costs $160.15The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $112.15 ask.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.
80%·$160.15·$112.15 askSweeping 80% of the visible book costs $160.15The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $112.15 ask.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.
Book $160.15Total notional on the visible ask ladder, and the largest single seller's share of it. A book that is mostly one seller's inventory is one decision away from moving.
Mechanics▾
Whole book$160.15
nothing traded — priced at the whole board
Book breadth1 level
3 units on the board
VenuesTCGplayer
The absorption ladder walks the visible delivered-price ask book cheapest-first: what each slice of the book costs, the ask it leaves marginal, and how far that sits from the last price the card actually traded at. Manipulation risk is the worse of two reads — how many days of this card’s own turnover it would take to absorb the cost of control, and whether the whole buyable book fits inside a single ordinary order.
Flow
—SteadyThis week's daily sold units overlap the middle half of the rest of the window, so no change in pace is separable from the noise. Trading at its own normal rate.
4 sold in 7d, 1.6× the 30d pace — 30d prints clear at $5.03 median, -79.0% vs the $24.00 floor.
This week 4 · last week 2 · 30d/wk 3
Recent prints
$4.49-81.3%5d ago$4.49 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-08T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$3.99-83.4%5d ago$3.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-08T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$3.99-83.4%7d ago$3.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-06T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$4.99
Method▾
Daily units are the venue's own sold-quantity history, expanded off each bucket's real span, plus confirmed prints from the other side of the market. Prints come from the live sales tape at delivered prices. The floor is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same one FAIR VALUE prices against.
Bottom line
—No callUnder half the model had evidence, so the score is a statement about the inputs that reported rather than about the card. No call until more of them do.
22/100 across 5 of 11 inputs. Against: price trend reads 0/100. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.
Price trend0Price trend0/1007-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Carries 13% of the composite.Manipulation risk85Manipulation risk85/100RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Carries 9% of the composite, inverted: 85 risk entered as 15.Relative strength14Relative strength14/100This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Carries 7% of the composite.Liquidity25Liquidity25/100Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.Carries 9% of the composite.Grading upside49Grading upside49/100Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Carries 6% of the composite.
5 of 11 inputs · 44% weight · -28% confidence▾
Not reading yet: value vs fair, money flow, book pressure, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Price trend13%07-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Manipulation risk9%85RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Relative strength7%14This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Liquidity9%25Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.
Slab premium
▲Strong slab premiumThe dearest priced rung is PSA 10 at $170.29, 7.1× the $24.00 raw reference (cheapest delivered ask).
A PSA 10 is worth $170.29 — 7.1× the $24.00 raw cheapest delivered ask — and that is the provider’s modelled value, not a sale.
Dearest slab per grading company
PSA 10$170.29guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.7.1×PSA 10 — $170.29, 7.1× rawCGC 8.5$20.000.8×CGC 8.5 — $20.00, 0.8× raw$20.00 · EBAY · 2026-08-02Raw$24.00askA live listing. Nobody has paid this.1.0×Raw — $24.00, 1.0× rawThe cheapest copy actually listed for sale, delivered — item plus required shipping. An offer, not a price anybody has paid. Every multiple on this ladder is taken against it.
PSA 10 is the dearest slab on the board at $170.29; the next priced grader is CGC 8.5 at $20.00.
One rung down, a PSA 9 is $58.96 — 2.5× raw.
Grading ROI
▼Don't gradePSA: -$76.55 expected after $84.99 of fees — break-even needs 66% gems; observed 0% (95% floor 0%, n=24).
Best on PSA: -$76.55 expected after $84.99 of fees — break-even needs 66% gems; observed 0% (95% floor 0%, n=24).
Odds of a 10 vs what it takes
PSA needs 66% tens to break even; the census shows 0%, with a 95% interval of 0% to 14% on 24 slabs.
break-even 66.4%Break-even66.4%The 10 rate this submission would need just to cover the raw price and the fee. It is the white line on the meter above: the solid segment has to clear it before grading is worth doing at all.observed 0.0% [0.0%–13.8%] n=24Observed 10 rate0.0%Measured over 24 graded copies in the census, with a 95% interval of 0.0%–13.8% around it — the band on the meter IS that interval, and it is the width of the doubt, not of the opportunity. A small n makes it wide.
VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.
FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.
P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
Pre-grade this card →Photograph your own copy front and back for centering, wear and the odds of each grade. An estimate, not a grade.
$24.00 raw (cheapest delivered ask) + $59.99 PSA Standard + $25.00 ship/ins = $108.99 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Graded copies
106 copies
Slabs on record across PSA, CGC and ACE, summed over every grade. The model’s raw input — it is NOT the print run, because a card people grade often will show a large population off a small press run. Ungraded and sealed copies are invisible to it.
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
Mean copies per deck that runs it, over the 1,338 decks that do; never averaged against the decks that do not. The bar is scaled to 4, the per-deck limit.
Top-cut lift1.02×6.1% of 3,647 top-cut decklists run it, against 6.0% of the whole field. Above 1.00 it is over-represented where the money is. Withheld under 20 top-cut decklists.
Win rate50.6%2,746 of 5,427 decided matches where exactly one seat ran this card. Mirrors, byes and tables with no published winner are excluded. Withheld under 30 matches.
Deck spread0.631 minus the concentration of this card across the deck archetypes that run it. 1.00 is spread evenly over many decks; 0 is one deck.
Player floor$0.11The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Buneary, Mega Evolution. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Premium over floor83×This printing's headline price ($9.18) against the player floor ($0.11). What a player pays for THIS art rather than for the cheapest legal copy of the same card.Playset$0.262.3 copies (the mean per deck that runs it) at the player floor of $0.11. What the decks on file actually bought.30d sold10 units (+43% vs prior 30d)Units of THIS printing sold in the 30 days ending October 13, 2026, against the 30 days before that (7). Demand at a table and demand in the market are different measurements; this is the second one.Meta vs priceρ +0.31 (14 weeks)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Meta share · % of Standard decklists (right axis)Median price · this print, $ (left axis)Units sold per day (bars)
Does the meta move the price? Share of Standard decklists running this card against this print's median sale price and units sold, day by day; the rank correlation above is printed once 8 weeks exist.
Meta regular at 6.0% of Standard decklists, +2.7 pp on the prior window. A playset costs $0.26 at the cheapest legal print.
94.5% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
Card text▾
HP50
TypesColorless
StageBasic
AttacksC Splash · 10Cost: ColorlessCC Jump Kick · 10Cost: Colorless · ColorlessDoes 10 damage to 1 of your opponent's Benched Pokémon. (Don't apply Weakness and Resistance for Benched Pokémon.)
WeaknessFighting +10
Retreat1
LegalStandard ✗not legal · Expanded ✗not legal
EvidenceEvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 1 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 90% (floor-confidence 14/100), based on 979 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
May 1, 2007
19.5y
98%
No
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Sep 28, 2026
16d
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 13, 2026
23h
90%
Yes
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Sep 28, 2026
16d
90%
No
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Sep 28, 2026
16d
70%
No
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.
Oct 13, 2026
13h
60%
No
Raw · Holo · Near MintWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
-79.2%
9d ago
$4.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-04T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$6.49-73.0%12d ago$6.49 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-01T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$4.50-81.3%14d ago$4.50 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-09-29T07:00:00.000ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
Grading upside6%49Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.
Value vs fair17%no readingFair value returned UNKNOWN — too few comparable prints to anchor an estimate.
Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.
Book pressure11%no readingNeeds a 30-day inventory change, or book counts spanning ≥3 days that move at all and rest on ≥8 listings. Collection of `inventory_observations` began 2026-09-02.
Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).
Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.
Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
Competitive meta+5A BONUS on top of the weighted composite, never a penalty: 20% of Standard decklists or more adds 8, 5% or more adds 5, and any measured play at all adds 2. A card nobody plays is not marked down for it. Measured on 6.0% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
CGC
$20.00CGC Economy — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Bulk $17.00.
0.0%95% interval 0.0%–4.5% on n=82. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
—No 10 price is on file for CGC, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no CGC price at grade 10 at any basis.
PSA
$59.99PSA Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Value Bulk $24.99, Value $32.99.
0.0%95% interval 0.0%–13.8% on n=24. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$170.29What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.
+36%+$38.74 on a $108.99 cost basis.
≈-75%Only 58% of the PSA distribution is priced, so this falls back to P(10)·ROI(10) + (1−P(10))·ROI(pooled sub-10 price).
