Item Finder #74/102 · Base Set · Price & Chart · PokéQuant

Item Finder — 74/102

Name: Item Finder #74/102
Brand: Pokémon
SKU: raw~tcgdex:base1-74:EN:NORMAL~NM

Floor FormingAt Fair ValueDEMO

Mkt Price

$3.88-0.8%

Fair Value

$3.94

Band $3.59–$4.30

Liquidity

72/100

Good liquidity

Pop 30DN/A

VelocityN/A

Days InvN/A

No resting bid book — collectibles fixed-price markets have no bids.Auction bids appear here when live.

Cross-Market Basis——

No active listings.

—

as of Aug 27, 2026 · UTC · demo fixture

Item Finder — 74/102 · 1DO$3.88H$3.88L$3.88C$3.88-0.8%plotting daily close

Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range

Live Listings

PriceMarkQtyCond

TCGplayer0

eBay0

Asks at delivered prices · cheapest first · unknown shipping unranked

Fair Value

Estimated Fair Value

$3.94

Fair Value Range

$3.59 – $4.30

Deviation

-1.6%At Fair Value

vs best delivered ask $3.88

Auctions

Insufficient data demand

Not enough completed auctions to price a demand spread for this instrument.

Grading

No graded population or grading economics modelled for this printing.

Absorption / Attention

ABSORPTION

Over 30d: inventory -12.8%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> ABSORPTION.

Inventory

Why It's Moving

What changed: Sold median moved -0.8% over the trailing 7 days and -1.8% over 30 days, last printing at $3.88. Active TCGplayer listings fell 7% over the same 7 days to 349.
Primary explanation: Primary read: Liquidity scored 72/100 (composite weight 10%). — the largest single contributor to the current FLOOR_FORMING regime read.
Alternative: Alternative explanation: Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Evidence: Evidence: raw~tcgdex:base1-74:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:base1-74:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory -12.8%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> ABSORPTION.").
Confidence: Confidence: 30% (floor-confidence 47/100), based on 30 days of observations.
What would disprove it: This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 401 while sold median keeps falling.

Recommendation

WATCHFLOOR thesis30-120d horizon

Scenario	Prob.	Description
BASE	50%	FLOOR_FORMING persists near current levels.
BULL	15%	Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.
BEAR	35%	Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.

Catalysts

+Liquidity scored 72/100 (composite weight 10%).
+Reprint supply risk scored 15/100 (composite weight 6%).
+Data quality scored 73/100 (composite weight 6%).
+Supply tightness scored 60/100 (composite weight 12%).

Undervalued Opportunities

Loading opportunities…

Provider	Source	Observed	Confidence	Modelled	License
TCGDEX	—	Jan 9, 1999	98%	No	TCGdex catalog
FIXTURE_IMPORT	—	Aug 27, 2026	50%	No	—