The vendor's catalog photograph of Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Sword & Shield era.
Each Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack holds 5 random cards from S12: Paradigm Trigger, a Japanese Pokémon TCG expansion from the Sword & Shield era that released on October 21, 2022. It is a single booster pack, the basic unit of opening product, made for pulling cards at random from the set rather than building a deck from a fixed list. The set has two sealed products in all, this pack and the Paradigm Trigger Booster Box.
The Japanese Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack contains 5 random cards, and that is the only content the product holds.
Paradigm Trigger is opened for its Lugia and Regidrago cards. Lugia V, a Super Rare, ranks first by value, followed by Regidrago V and Unown V, both Super Rares, then Lugia VSTAR as an Ultra Rare and again as a Hyper Rare. The set carries 39 chase-tier cards, and value is highly concentrated: the top five cards account for 82 percent of the set's total card value. Because packs_from_set is true, these Paradigm Trigger Booster Packs are where those cards can be pulled.
As of October 23, 2026, the Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack is up 1 percent over the past 30 days. Tracking began only in September 2026, so that short window is the one reliable reading of price movement so far and longer trends cannot be drawn yet. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than confirmed sales, so they should be read as an estimate of where the market sits.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 27 booster packs from the Sword & Shield era, the Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack ranks 20th by price and sits at about 0.8 times the era median. The previous set's equivalent, the Incandescent Arcana Booster Pack, is priced higher, and so is the next set's VSTAR Universe Booster Pack. Within its own set's line of two priced products, the pack ranks 2nd, behind the Paradigm Trigger Booster Box, which is the higher-priced of the pair.
| Measure | This productParadigm Trigger Booster Pack | Median of 27 booster packsSword & Shield median | Previous setIncandescent Arcana Booster Pack | Next setVSTAR Universe Booster Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | S12: Paradigm Trigger | — | S11a: Incandescent Arcana |
$7.90, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 2, 2026.
Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack is from S12: Paradigm Trigger.
We don't currently track retail stock for Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack, which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Oct 21, 2022 | — | Sep 2, 2022 | Dec 2, 2022 |
|---|
| Price | $7.90 | $10.13 | $10.31 | $20.52 |
|---|
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 4, 2026 · UTC
Paradigm Trigger Booster Pack · 1DMkt$7.900.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 29/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 20/100 (composite weight 32%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-02.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 2 priced sealed products in S12: Paradigm Trigger.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 12 asks · 4 sales · 58 daily guide points · 86 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 2, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 2, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 4, 2026 | 15h | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 9, 2026 | 26d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 36, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 2, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-04.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-04.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists S12: Paradigm Trigger in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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