The vendor's catalog photograph of Lost Abyss Booster Box. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Sword & Shield era.
S11: Lost Abyss is a Sword & Shield era expansion for the Japanese Pokémon TCG, released on July 15, 2022. The Lost Abyss Booster Box is its sealed display for opening packs, built for cracking packs in bulk to chase the set's best cards or work toward completing it. The set has two sealed products in total, this booster box and the single booster pack.
The Japanese Lost Abyss Booster Box holds 30 booster packs, and each pack carries 5 cards.
The Lost Abyss chase cards lean heavily on Giratina. The most valuable card in S11 is Giratina V, a Super Rare, followed by Aerodactyl V, also Super Rare, then Giratina VSTAR at Ultra Rare and Rotom V, another Super Rare. A second Giratina V printing rounds out the top five. The set lists 39 chase-tier cards, and its top five cards account for 85 percent of the set's total card value, so a handful of pulls carry most of the worth. Packs from this booster box can yield those cards.
As of October 23, 2026, the Lost Abyss Booster Box has been tracked only since September 2026, so the price history is brief and shows little beyond the latest stretch. Over the past 30 days the price is up 2 percent, a small move. The figure rests on a modelled market guide rather than recent sales, and a window this short cannot show a longer trend.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 25 booster boxes in the Sword & Shield era that can be compared, the Lost Abyss Booster Box ranks 4th by price, at about 1.9 times the era median. The previous set's equivalent, the Pokemon GO Booster Box, is priced lower, and so is the next set's Incandescent Arcana Booster Box. Within its own set line, the booster box ranks 1st by price among the 2 priced products, ahead of the booster pack.
| Measure | This productLost Abyss Booster Box | Median of 25 booster boxesSword & Shield median | Previous setPokemon GO Booster Box | Next setIncandescent Arcana Booster Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | S11: Lost Abyss | — | S10b: Pokemon GO | S11a: Incandescent Arcana |
$357.87, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 21, 2026.
Lost Abyss Booster Box is from S11: Lost Abyss.
We don't currently track retail stock for Lost Abyss Booster Box, which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Jul 15, 2022 | — | Jun 17, 2022 | Sep 2, 2022 |
|---|
| Price | $357.87 | $185.76 | $145.04 | $99.98 |
|---|
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Oct 26, 2026 · UTC
Lost Abyss Booster Box · 1DMkt$357.870.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 59% confidence on 40/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels.50%BASE · 50%ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels.Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.45%BULL · 45%Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.5%BEAR · 5%Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 23/100 (composite weight 61%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-21.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The dearest of the 2 priced sealed products in S11: Lost Abyss.
Withheld — 7 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
7 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: price trend, supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
On file: 23 asks · 6 sales · 46 daily guide points · 83 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 24, 2026 | 3d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 24, 2026 | 3d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 26, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 18, 2026 | 9d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 25, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 7 missing inputs away and applied a 35% confidence penalty for them: priceTrend, supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 24, 2026 |
| 3d |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-26.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-26.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists S11: Lost Abyss in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.