The vendor's catalog photograph of Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with other Starter Decks.
Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker is a ready-to-play deck from the One Piece Card Game, part of the Starter Decks era and released as ST-19: Starter Deck 19 BLACK Smoker on October 25, 2024. A deck like this is built for learning the game and getting straight into play, rather than for opening booster packs. Its set, ST-19, has three sealed products in total, a display and a deck among them, and the Smoker leader card gives the build its name and its focus.
As of October 23, 2026, the Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker price history is short, since tracking began only in September 2026. Over the past 30 days the deck is up 1 percent, which is close to flat and about all so brief a window can show. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of confirmed sales, so they describe a steady picture more than a trend that has yet to form.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 45 decks in the Starter Decks era, Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker ranks 15th by price and sits at about 1.4 times the era median, which places it comfortably in the upper half of its peers. Within its own set line it is the 1st-ranked of the 1 priced product, the set's other two products having no price tracked. Its set, ST-19, ranks 37th of 38 comparable sets in the era by total card value, and 80 percent of that value sits in the top five cards, led by the Smoker leader.
| Measure | This productStarter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker | Median of 40 decksStarter Decks median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | ST-19: Starter Deck 19 BLACK Smoker | — |
| Release date | Oct 25, 2024 | — |
| Price | $55.61 | $37.45 |
$55.61, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 27, 2026.
Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker is from ST-19: Starter Deck 19 BLACK Smoker.
We don't currently track retail stock for Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Oct 27, 2026 · UTC
Starter Deck 19: BLACK Smoker · 1DMkt$55.610.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 30/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 30/100 (composite weight 32%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-27.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 41 asks · 8 sales · 143 daily guide points · 106 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Oct 27, 2026 | 13h | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Oct 27, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 23, 2026 | 4d | 85% | No |
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Oct 27, 2026 | 13h | 80% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 36, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Oct 27, 2026 |
| 13h |
| 70% |
| No |
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-27.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-10-27.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists ST-19: Starter Deck 19 BLACK Smoker in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.