18 have been certified at this exact grade by PSA, as of October 15, 2026.
What is the premium for a PSA 7 Colress's Experiment over raw?
A PSA 7 Colress's Experiment trades at about 2.3x the raw modelled guide price, $7.00 against $3.10 raw, as of October 18, 2026.
Colress's Experiment — GG59/GG70
Colress's Experiment — GG59/GG70PSA 7 · HoloEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
As of 00:11ZAs of 00:11ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$7.00item—
guide price
Mkt Price$7.00 itemThe venue’s published daily market guide. No copy is confirmed to have traded at it, and it is not an ask you can buy at. It is quoted on the ITEM basis — the basis every wall tile is quoted on — and it is what the chart plots on a day with no print of its own.
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.
LiquidityN/A
LiquidityN/AHow easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D Vol
1units
TCGplayer reported
30D Vol1 units1 units over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer — the venue’s OWN reported sold quantity, not a confirmed print of ours, so it is what that venue says rather than a receipt we hold. Newest reading Jun 24, 2026. No earlier 30-day window to compare against.
For Sale
0units
live delivered asks
For Sale0 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded Pop
1,268▲+1.1%
across 3 graders
Graded Pop1,268Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
Look at the top 5 cards of your deck and put 3 of them into your hand. Put the other cards in the Lost Zone.
Regulation
PSA
How this summary is madeThe first sentence is written by a language model from this card’s own data. The second is computed from the live numbers on this page every time it loads, so it moves with the market.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
No fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered.
Market safety
—No bookNo visible asks, so there is no control cost to band.
Nothing is listed for sale, so there is no book for one buyer to move.
Flow
Thin tape
Supply
▲Nothing listedNo active fixed-price ask carries a known delivered price right now. Anyone who wants one has to bid for it or wait.
0 units listed — 0.0d of stock at the 30-day pace of 0.0/day.
PopulationAll graders pooled1,268Every slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, as each of them states its own total. A share of what was submitted and kept — never the odds a copy grades 10. The bars below sum to 1,272, not 1,268: a grader can report a pooled rung and its qualified variants separately, so the stated total is the authority and the bars are what is chartable.ACE40Slabs ACE itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.CGC372Slabs CGC itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve.PSA856Slabs PSA itself reports for this card. Switching tabs changes the whole chart below to that grader's own grade curve. The bars below sum to 860, not 856: a grader can report a pooled rung and its qualified variants separately, so the stated total is the authority and the bars are what is chartable.
1010 — 725 slabs, 57.0% of the 1,272 charted hereACE 26 · CGC 231 (Gem Mint 10 · Pristine 10) · PSA 4689.5 — 21 slabs, 1.7% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 2199 — 391 slabs, 30.7% of the 1,272 charted hereACE 10 · CGC 87 · PSA 2948.5 — 17 slabs, 1.3% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 1788 — 79 slabs, 6.2% of the 1,272 charted hereACE 2 · CGC 5 · PSA 727.5 — 2 slabs, 0.2% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 277 — 22 slabs, 1.7% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 4 · PSA 186.5 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 166 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 1,272 charted herePSA 155 — 3 slabs, 0.2% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 1 · PSA 24.5 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 144 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 1,272 charted herePSA 111 — 1 slabs, 0.1% of the 1,272 charted hereCGC 1AAuth — 7 slabs, 0.6% of the 1,272 charted hereACE 2 · CGC 1 · PSA 4
Listed0 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 30d · 0.0/day1 unitsUnits over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer — the venue’s own reported sold quantity, not a print. Newest reading 2026-06-24.Graded · ACE 40 · CGC 372 · PSA 8561,268 slabsEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
ScarcityModerateA named card at this rarity takes 1 in 267 packs on average, which is the fourth fifth of every card we hold pack odds for. The bands are the card-weighted quintiles of that population, not thresholds we picked.
1 in 267 packs for one copy of this card1 in 267packs
Half of all openers get one within 185 packs
Commonest of 2 hit tiers in Crown Zenith Galarian GalleryEvery tier on this ladder comes out of the same pack under the same study, so the position is a like-for-like comparison. It ranks NAMED cards, not tiers: a 12-card tier and a 1-card tier with the same slot odds are not the same difficulty.
Secret Rare1 in 500Secret Rare — 4 cards at this rarity, so one NAMED Secret Rare is 1 in 500 packs.
Chase
—No pack priceThe pull rate is in hand, but no sealed product from this set carries a price we can divide into a per-pack cost — so the cost of ripping cannot be stated.
1 in 8.3 packs for ultra rare, shared by 32 cards in Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery — but we track no sealed product for Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery, so a pack has no price to divide the odds into.
Breakdown
RarityUltra RareRarityUltra RareThe provider's own spelling, verbatim. The odds row and this printing have to carry the same string or no estimate is made — a mismatch must produce nothing rather than another rarity's rate.Slot odds1 in 8.3 packs
Why It's Moving
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Guide price moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and +0.0% over 30 days, now at $7.00. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: no single factor dominates; the composite score is being driven by broad, low-amplitude movement across most inputs.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: with only 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
Evidence
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Too little sold-unit evidence to read a pace from — see the note below.
—
Insufficient data
Only 1 unit sold in 30 days — under the 8-unit floor for reading a pace.
Method▾
Daily units are the venue's own sold-quantity history, expanded off each bucket's real span, plus confirmed prints from the other side of the market. Prints come from the live sales tape at delivered prices. The floor is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same one FAIR VALUE prices against.
Bottom line
—No callUnder half the model had evidence, so the score is a statement about the inputs that reported rather than about the card. No call until more of them do.
31/100 across 2 of 11 inputs. Against: this one was printed in quantity. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.
Scarcity18Scarcity18/100How few of this card exist, as a percentile of every card we can read. Prefers PRINT SCARCITY’s estimate — graded population with the value confound divided out, turned into a print scale by the pull rate — and falls back to packs-per-copy alone where that cannot be read. Scarce is oriented as GOOD, on the theory that thinner supply supports a price. Weighted low on purpose: scarcity is fixed at print and the market has had years to price it in, so this is a structural prior rather than an edge.Carries 7% of the composite.Grading upside45Grading upside45/100Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Carries 6% of the composite.
2 of 11 inputs · 13% weight · -35% confidence▾
Not reading yet: value vs fair, price trend, money flow, book pressure, liquidity, relative strength, manipulation risk, seller concentration, reprint risk.
Scarcity7%18How few of this card exist, as a percentile of every card we can read. Prefers PRINT SCARCITY’s estimate — graded population with the value confound divided out, turned into a print scale by the pull rate — and falls back to packs-per-copy alone where that cannot be read. Scarce is oriented as GOOD, on the theory that thinner supply supports a price. Weighted low on purpose: scarcity is fixed at print and the market has had years to price it in, so this is a structural prior rather than an edge.Grading upside6%45Best expected return across grading vendors, half a point per percent — the optionality on top of the raw thesis, never the thesis itself.Value vs fair17%no readingFair value returned UNKNOWN — too few comparable prints to anchor an estimate.Price trend13%no readingNo price history in the 7- and 30-day windows, or no confirmed print in 30 days — the line is the relay’s guide.
Gem rate
▲Easy gem · choose ACEACE issued a 10 on 65.0% of its 40 slabs of this printing. Next best is CGC at 62.1% on 372 slabs — inside the two readings’ 95% intervals, so the census does not separate them. Easy at 60% or more, moderate from 35%, hard under 35%. Only graders with 30+ slabs on file are compared.
ACE gems 65.0% of 40 slabs; next best CGC at 62.1%.
10 rate by grader
ACE · choose65.0%ACE 1026 of 40ACE: 26 of the 40 ACE slabs on file are a 10 (ACE 10) — 65.0%, 95% interval 49.5%–77.9%.CGC62.1%Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 10231 of 372CGC: 231 of the 372 CGC slabs on file are a 10 (Gem Mint 10 + Pristine 10) — 62.1%, 95% interval 57.1%–66.9%.PSA54.7%PSA 10468 of 856PSA: 468 of the 856 PSA slabs on file are a 10 (PSA 10) — 54.7%, 95% interval 51.3%–58.0%.
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Slab premium
▲Strong slab premiumThe dearest priced rung is PSA 10 at $64.49, 20.8× the $3.10 raw reference (modelled guide price).
A PSA 10 is worth $64.49 — 20.8× the $3.10 raw modelled guide price.
Dearest slab per grading company
PSA 10$64.4920.8×PSA 10 — $64.49, 20.8× raw$65.00 · EBAY · 2026-10-10 · $64.99 · EBAY · 2026-10-06 · $49.68 · EBAY · 2026-10-03 +5 more print(s)CGC Pristine 10$21.506.9×CGC Pristine 10 — $21.50, 6.9× raw$21.50 · EBAY · 2026-09-30Raw$3.10guideThe provider’s MODELLED value for this grade — not a sale and not even an offer. Often extrapolated from the grades that did sell.1.0×Raw — $3.10, 1.0× rawThe venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs. Every multiple on this ladder is taken against it.
A PSA 10 fetches 200% more than a CGC 10.
One rung down, a PSA 9 is $18.60 — 6.0× raw.
ACE (40 slabs) has no priced comp at any grade — nothing has been paid for one we can see.
Grading ROI
▼Don't gradePSA: -$50.19 expected after $84.99 of fees — observed gem share 55% of n=856.
Best on PSA: -$50.19 expected after $84.99 of fees — observed gem share 55% of n=856.
VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.
FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.
P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
ACE
$24.39ACE Basic — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. £18.00 converted at GBP/USD 1.355 (2026-09-01) — a conversion, not a quoted USD price. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Core $16.26, Value $20.33.
65.0%95% interval 49.5%–77.9% on n=40. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
—No 10 price is on file for ACE, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no ACE price at grade 10 at any basis.
BGS
$79.95BGS Express — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-09-01. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Base $14.95.
—The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
Pre-grade this card →Photograph your own copy front and back for centering, wear and the odds of each grade. An estimate, not a grade.
$3.10 raw (modelled guide price) + $59.99 PSA Standard + $25.00 ship/ins = $88.09 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup
Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.
Ultra Rare1 in 267Ultra Rare — 32 cards at this rarity, so one NAMED Ultra Rare is 1 in 267 packs.
Hit tiers in Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery, hardest at the top. Log scale.
Method▾
P(this card, per pack) = the published odds of its RARITY appearing, split evenly across the cards printed at that rarity in the set; the figure shown is 1/p, the mean number of packs to one copy. The ladder plots every tier of the set on a logarithmic scale, because a set spans two orders of magnitude between its commonest hit and its hardest and a linear scale would pin all but one of them to the same end.
The Pokémon Company has never published physical booster odds in any region — the only official drop-rate page covers the digital TCG Live packs and lists no probabilities at all. This figure is a hand-entered citation of a published pack-opening study of this set.
Print scarcity
•Heavily printedAgainst every card we can read, this one's implied print run lands in the heavily printed third. It is an ORDER, not a count — the model recovers no print figure and does not try to. Read from Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery's pooled print scale and this card's own pull rate.
Against every card we can read, this one's implied print run lands in the heavily printed third. It is an ORDER, not a count — the model recovers no print figure and does not try to. Read from Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery's pooled print scale and this card's own pull rate.
LightModerateHeavy
Model inputs
Graded copies1,272 copiesGraded copies1,272 copiesSlabs on record across PSA, CGC and ACE, summed over every grade. The model’s raw input — it is NOT the print run, because a card people grade often will show a large population off a small press run. Ungraded and sealed copies are invisible to it.Packs per copy1 in 267Packs per copy1 in 267How many packs it takes to see one named copy of this card — the same figure SCARCITY leads with. It is what converts a set-wide print scale into this card’s own.Set read from36 cardsSet read from36 cardsEvery card in the set with a price, a population and a pull rate gives an independent estimate of how many packs of the set exist. They are pooled by median, so one mis-joined card cannot move the answer.
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
Slot odds1 in 8.3 packsTCGplayer (Authentication Center) — no sample size published. Measured Jan 20, 2023, 1,367d before this reading. 12.00% of packs (Galarian Gallery Pokémon V or Trainer) (>1,900 packs). Community measurement, not official odds: nobody publishes physical pack rates.
Cards at rarity32 in Crown Zenith Galarian GalleryCards at rarity32 in Crown Zenith Galarian GalleryCounted from the catalog: 32 printings in Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery carry the rarity "Ultra Rare".
This card1 in 267 packs±30%This card1 in 267 packsThe rarity’s measured odds, split evenly across the 32 cards printed at it. That even split is the estimate's weakest link, and it is bounded rather than hand-waved: a published 8,000-pack study put two Special Illustration Rares from one set at 1 in 309 and 1 in 393 packs — same rarity, same set — so a per-card figure is good to about ±30%.
Method▾
P(this card, per pack) = the published odds of its RARITY appearing, split evenly across the cards printed at that rarity in the set. Expected packs is 1/p, the mean of the geometric distribution. The range plots expected pack spend ÷ the single's delivered price on a log axis centred on parity. Pack price is a sealed product's own price divided by its stated pack count, and is computed only where that count carries a source. The single is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same figure FAIR VALUE prices against.
The Pokémon Company has never published physical booster odds in any region — the only official drop-rate page covers the digital TCG Live packs and lists no probabilities at all. Every figure here is a hand-entered citation of a published pack-opening study, and each one names its source and sample on hover.
EvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 0 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 0%, based on 2 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Jan 20, 2023
3.7y
98%
No
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.
Oct 15, 2026
2d
60%
No
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Sep 27, 2026
20d
55%
No
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Jun 24, 2026
116d
50%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 15, 2026
2d
30%
Yes
PSA 7 · HoloWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
Highest Volume
The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#
Card
SetSetThe set this printing belongs to. Sets differ in print run and age, which is most of why two cards at the same price behave differently.
Trend 30DTrend 30DThe last 30 days of price, drawn from a zero-independent scale. The shape is the reading — the level is the Price column beside it.
30D30DPrice change over the last 30 calendar days, signed. A dash when the series has no price close enough to 30 days ago to measure from.
PricePriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).
30d vol30d volume30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.
FV GapFV GapPrice against fair value, signed. NEGATIVE is below the model — the card trades under its fair value — which is the opposite direction from the Pop 30D column’s colouring.
LiqLiqLiquidity, 0–100 — how easily a position clears, never whether it is cheap. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
VelocityVelocityConfirmed sales per day. Higher means a thicker tape, so every other figure in the row rests on more evidence.
Days InvDays InvHow many days the listed supply would take to clear at the current sale pace. Lower is a tighter market; a very high number usually means the pace, not the supply, is the problem.
SupplySupplyUnits listed for sale right now across the venues we track. It is the raw count of asks, not what is buyable at any one price.
Pop 30DPop 30DChange in graded population over 30 days. Rising means supply of slabs is growing, which is the ordinary up-is-up reading and generally NOT good for price.
Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.
Book pressure11%no readingNeeds a 30-day inventory change, or book counts spanning ≥3 days that move at all and rest on ≥8 listings. Collection of `inventory_observations` began 2026-09-02.
Liquidity9%no readingFewer than two of the four participation readings could be measured — no trade count, and no book to read a queue or a seller base off.
Manipulation risk9%no readingNo visible ask book, so there is no control cost to band.
Relative strength7%no readingThe wall projection has ranked fewer than 20 cards on 30-day return, so a percentile here would be a rank of a handful dressed up as a market.
Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.
Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
—No 10 price is on file for BGS, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no BGS population total, so P(10) has no honest denominator.
CGC
$20.00CGC Economy — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Bulk $17.00.
62.1%95% interval 57.1%–66.9% on n=372. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$20.75$20.75. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
-63%-$30.10 on a $48.10 cost basis.
≈-67%Only 19% of the CGC distribution is priced, so this falls back to P(10)·ROI(10) + (1−P(10))·ROI(pooled sub-10 price).
PSA
$59.99PSA Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Value Bulk $24.99, Value $32.99.
54.7%95% interval 51.3%–58.0% on n=856. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.
$64.49$64.49. What a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.
-36%-$32.14 on a $88.09 cost basis.
-58%Risk-weighted across all 8 PSA rungs; 99% of the distribution carried its own price, the remaining 1% valued at the pooled sub-10 price.
SGC
$79.00†No published SGC fee verified — this is the generic fallback, not SGC's price.
—The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
—No 10 price is on file for SGC, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no SGC population total, so P(10) has no honest denominator. Fee is the generic $79.00 fallback — SGC's own published price is not in the fee table.
TAG
$59.95TAG Standard — the cheapest tier accepting single-card submissions, read 2026-10-06. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Basic $22.00.
—The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.
—No 10 price is on file for TAG, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.
—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.
—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no TAG population total, so P(10) has no honest denominator.
Lugia02930th Classic Collection029
