Zamazenta — 107/128PSA 10 · HoloEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
As of 21:47ZAs of 21:47ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Priceno guide price
Mkt PriceN/ANo daily market guide has ever been published for this exact printing and condition, and it has no confirmed sale on file either — so there is no price to quote. Where this card was printed in more than one run, the other runs are priced separately and their numbers belong to them: switch editions above to see one. A sibling printing’s price is never shown here.
Fair ValueN/A
Fair ValueN/ANo fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence.
LiquidityN/A
LiquidityN/AHow easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D VolN/A
For Sale
0units
live delivered asks
For Sale0 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded PopN/A
Graded PopN/AEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
No live auction bids — this market has no resting bid book.
Cross-Market BasisNo ask ladder was available for this instrument, so the ask side is empty. No bid side exists: this market has no resting bid book. There are no live auction bids and no published buylist for this instrument, so the bid side is empty rather than synthesized from asks, price history or a spread assumption.——
No active listings.
Ask depth—Ask depth—Every live fixed-price ask summed at its DELIVERED price — what clearing the whole visible book would cost. There is no bid side to set it against: no auction has a bid on it and no buylist quotes this instrument, and an absent side is never drawn as a zero.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
No fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered.
Market safety
—No bookNo visible asks, so there is no control cost to band.
Nothing is listed for sale, so there is no book for one buyer to move.
Bottom line
No call
Sealed
—No MSRP on fileThese products are priced, but not one of them carries a recorded MSRP with a source behind it. An MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, and an appreciation measured against nothing is not a judgement this card will invent. The prices are listed below; the comparison is what is missing.
52 of this set’s 52 sealed products carry a price; none carries a recorded MSRP to measure appreciation against.
Set supply · not this card’sThe set's wholesale supply, not this card's — bulk lifts every raw copy in the set.▲Flooding32 lots listed on 2026-10-13 — higher than 90% of the set's own readings; 846 packs on hand, higher than 36% over 25 readings in 90 days.32 lots · 846 packs · $18.89/pack
Supply
▲Nothing listedNo active fixed-price ask carries a known delivered price right now. Anyone who wants one has to bid for it or wait.
0 units listed — no 30-day sales pace to measure them against.
Listed0 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.
Print scarcity
•Too new to readGraded population climbs for about a year after a set releases and then levels off, so a set inside that ramp looks lightly printed purely because nobody has sent its cards in yet. this set is 0 months old. We hold the read until 12 months.
Graded population climbs for about a year after a set releases and then levels off, so a set inside that ramp looks lightly printed purely because nobody has sent its cards in yet. this set is 0 months old. We hold the read until 12 months.
LightModerateHeavy
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Competitive play•Fringe0.0% of 22,383 Standard decklists in the last 30 days, measured play below the 5% regular threshold.
0.0%-0.0 ppChange in share against the 30-day window ending September 13, 2026, in percentage points.In 5 of 22,383 Standard decklists across 338 events, last 30 days · 1.6 copies per deck that plays it.
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Quoted price moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and +0.0% over 30 days, now at $0.00. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: no single factor dominates; the composite score is being driven by broad, low-amplitude movement across most inputs.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: with only 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
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9—
8—
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Under half the model had evidence, so the score is a statement about the inputs that reported rather than about the card. No call until more of them do.
No signal reported, so there is nothing to add up yet. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.
0 of 11 inputs · 0% weight · -35% confidence▾
Not reading yet: value vs fair, price trend, money flow, book pressure, liquidity, relative strength, grading upside, manipulation risk, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Value vs fair17%no readingFair value returned UNKNOWN — too few comparable prints to anchor an estimate.Price trend13%no readingNo price history in the 7- and 30-day windows, or no confirmed print in 30 days — the line is the relay’s guide.Money flow11%no readingNo confirmed prints with a contemporaneous ask to classify against.Book pressure11%no readingNeeds a 30-day inventory change, or book counts spanning ≥3 days that move at all and rest on ≥8 listings. Collection of `inventory_observations` began 2026-09-02.Liquidity9%no readingFewer than two of the four participation readings could be measured — no trade count, and no book to read a queue or a seller base off.Manipulation risk9%no readingNo visible ask book, so there is no control cost to band.Relative strength7%no readingThe wall projection has ranked fewer than 20 cards on 30-day return, so a percentile here would be a rank of a handful dressed up as a market.Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).Grading upside6%no readingNo priced grade outcomes, so expected return is unknown.Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.
The Booster Pack's most recent plotted day carries an observed sale.
Indexed to each product’s own first stored day = 100. Booster Pack in front, 51 behind · dashed = guide price, no sale that day.Each line is that product’s own price divided by its own first stored day and multiplied by 100, so every series starts on the dotted rule and the axis measures APPRECIATION rather than price. Dollars could not do this job here: a booster pack and a booster box differ by two orders of magnitude, and on a shared dollar axis the pack would sit flat on the floor of the plot however far it had actually travelled. The Booster Pack is the base unit and is drawn in front; the rest are drawn behind it, and each one’s own numbers are in the table below. A dashed stretch is a run of days with no recorded sale, carrying the provider’s daily guide value — a quoted price, never a trade.
Appreciation vs MSRP
ProductPriceMSRPvs MSRPEvery sealed product the catalog holds for this set, ordered by how standard a unit each is for tracking a set’s sealed price. PRICE is the product’s last stored day — a sale where one was recorded, the provider’s daily guide value where none was, and the row’s hover says which. MSRP is blank wherever no source is recorded against one, because an MSRP with nobody behind it is not a fact. VS MSRP is the price against that MSRP, as a percentage up to a doubling and as a multiple past it.
Booster Pack$12.92——30th Celebration Booster Pack—30th Celebration Booster Pack. Last sale $12.92 on Oct 13, 2026. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Mini Tin [Lapras]
Method▾
Sealed product from 30th Celebration — the set this card was printed in. We track which set a product belongs to, not which cards are inside it. Appreciation is each product’s last stored price against its own recorded MSRP, in percent. The card’s call is the MEDIAN of those percentages across the products that have an MSRP — a median rather than a mean, so one outlier SKU cannot carry a whole set — and a product with no MSRP on file is left out of that aggregate rather than counted as zero; it still lists below with its price. MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, so it is shown only where a source is recorded against it, and that source is on the row’s hover. The bands are a legend for the percentage the card prints beside them: within ±5% is at MSRP, which is this repo’s own fair-value tolerance; up to +25% is a slight premium; up to +100% a significant one; at or above +100% the price has at least doubled and the figure is stated as a multiple, because a four-digit percentage is not a number anybody reads. Each price line takes a day’s observed low/high sale range and plots its midpoint; on a day with no recorded sale it carries the provider’s own daily guide value instead — a quoted price, not a transaction — and those days are drawn dashed, never described as trades. Every line is indexed to its own first stored day = 100, so the chart compares appreciation between products rather than price levels: a booster pack and a booster box cannot honestly share a dollar axis.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
LanguagesEN
Set symbol
Mean copies per deck that runs it, over the 5 decks that do; never averaged against the decks that do not. The bar is scaled to 4, the per-deck limit.
Top-cut lift0.00×0% of 3,647 top-cut decklists run it, against 0.0% of the whole field. Above 1.00 it is over-represented where the money is. Withheld under 20 top-cut decklists.
Deck spread0.721 minus the concentration of this card across the deck archetypes that run it. 1.00 is spread evenly over many decks; 0 is one deck.
Player floor$0.14The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Zamazenta, Destined Rivals. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Playset$0.221.6 copies (the mean per deck that runs it) at the player floor of $0.14. What the decks on file actually bought.Meta vs priceNot enough history (0 weeks)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Meta share · % of Standard decklists (right axis)Median price · this print, $ (left axis)Units sold per day (bars)
Does the meta move the price? Share of Standard decklists running this card against this print's median sale price and units sold, day by day; the rank correlation above is printed once 8 weeks exist.
Fringe at 0.0% of Standard decklists, -0.0 pp on the prior window. A playset costs $0.22 at the cheapest legal print.
94.5% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
Card text▾
HP130
TypesMetal
StageBasic
AttacksM Fend Off · 20Cost: MetalBefore doing damage, discard all Pokémon Tools from your opponent's Active Pokémon.MMC Shield Press · 100Cost: Metal · Metal · ColorlessDuring your opponent's next turn, this Pokémon takes 50 less damage from attacks <em>(after applying Weakness and Resistance)</em>.
WeaknessFire ×2
ResistanceGrass -30
Retreat2
LegalStandard ✗not legal · Expanded ✓legal
EvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 0 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 0%, based on 0 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Sep 16, 2026
28d
98%
No
PSA 10 · HoloWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
$23.62
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30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras]. Quoted at $23.62 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Mini Tin [Greninja]$23.77——30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja]. Quoted at $23.77 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Mini Tin [Moltres]$24.23——30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres]. Quoted at $24.23 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Mini Tin [Night Pikachu]$24.23——30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu]. Quoted at $24.23 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Mini Tin [Zapdos]$24.63——30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos]. Quoted at $24.63 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Mini Tin [Mew]$25.51——30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew]. Quoted at $25.51 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Mini Tin [Mewtwo]$25.74——30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo]—30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo]. Quoted at $25.74 on Oct 13, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
