Squawkabilly sits in the plain common slot of this Japanese SV: ex Start Decks release, bulk by rarity and a pleasant one at that. The green parrot spreads

Insufficient data

No priced bars on file for this instrument yet.

as of — · UTC

Squawkabilly — 107 · 1DC——plotting daily medianitem price

Vol — sold·— prints·— obs

Live Listings

Pricevs MktQtyCond

TCGplayer0

eBay0

Fair value

Insufficient data

No fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered.

Market safety

No book

Nothing is listed for sale, so there is no book for one buyer to move.

Mechanics

VenuesTCGplayer

The absorption ladder walks the visible delivered-price ask book cheapest-first: what each slice of the book costs, the ask it leaves marginal, and how far that sits from the last price the card actually traded at. Manipulation risk is the worse of two reads — how many days of this card’s own turnover it would take to absorb the cost of control, and whether the whole buyable book fits inside a single ordinary order.

Supply

Nothing listed

0 units listed — no 30-day sales pace to measure them against.

Listed0 units

Print scarcity

Set not covered

A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.

LightModerateHeavy

Method

Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.

Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.

Sealed

No MSRP on file

1 of this set’s 10 sealed products carry a price; none carries a recorded MSRP to measure appreciation against.

Set supply · not this card’sNo wholesale listings seen

Why It's Moving

What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.: Quoted price moved +0.0% over the trailing 7 days and +0.0% over 30 days, now at $0.00. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.: Primary read: no single factor dominates; the composite score is being driven by broad, low-amplitude movement across most inputs.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.: Alternative explanation: with only 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
Evidence

Highest Volume

The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#	Card	SetSetThe set this printing belongs to. Sets differ in print run and age, which is most of why two cards at the same price behave differently.	Trend 30DTrend 30DThe last 30 days of price, drawn from a zero-independent scale. The shape is the reading — the level is the Price column beside it.	30D30DPrice change over the last 30 calendar days, signed. A dash when the series has no price close enough to 30 days ago to measure from.	PricePriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).	30d vol30d volume30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.	FV GapFV GapPrice against fair value, signed. NEGATIVE is below the model — the card trades under its fair value — which is the opposite direction from the Pop 30D column’s colouring.	LiqLiqLiquidity, 0–100 — how easily a position clears, never whether it is cheap. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.	VelocityVelocityConfirmed sales per day. Higher means a thicker tape, so every other figure in the row rests on more evidence.	Days InvDays InvHow many days the listed supply would take to clear at the current sale pace. Lower is a tighter market; a very high number usually means the pace, not the supply, is the problem.	SupplySupplyUnits listed for sale right now across the venues we track. It is the raw count of asks, not what is buyable at any one price.	Pop 30DPop 30DChange in graded population over 30 days. Rising means supply of slabs is growing, which is the ordinary up-is-up reading and generally NOT good for price.
1	Mega Rayquaza ex110M6: Storm Emeralda110 · Special Art Rare	M6: Storm Emeralda		-23.0%	$274.42^guideThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping). Source: guide · item.-23.0%

Ranked by dollars traded over 30 days · refreshed hourly

The whole wall →

Provenance

EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.	ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.	AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.	ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.	ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.

one

wing

against

a

blue

sky

of

drifting

clouds,

mid-squawk

and

plainly

pleased

with

itself.

Released

in

July

2023,

the

card

arrived

after

the

English

Scarlet

&

Violet

set

carried

the

same

Squawkabilly

in

March,

so

this

is

a

later,

deck-bound

copy.

Bottom line

No call

No signal reported, so there is nothing to add up yet. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.

0 of 11 inputs · 0% weight · -35% confidence

Not reading yet: value vs fair, price trend, money flow, book pressure, liquidity, relative strength, grading upside, manipulation risk, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.

Value vs fair17%no readingPrice trend13%no readingMoney flow11%no readingBook pressure11%no readingLiquidity9%no readingManipulation risk9%no readingRelative strength7%no readingScarcity7%no readingGrading upside6%no readingSeller concentration5%no readingReprint risk5%no reading

The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.

Indexed to the Fire Victini’s own first stored day = 100 · dashed = guide price, no sale that day.

Appreciation vs MSRP

ProductPriceMSRPvs MSRP

Fire Victini$25.00——Darkness Hellgar———Fighting Koraidon———Grass Junaiper———Lightning Miraidon———Metal Melmetal———Psychic Pixy———Terastal Kairyu———

View all 10 sealed products →

Method

Sealed product from SV: ex Start Decks — the set this card was printed in. We track which set a product belongs to, not which cards are inside it. Appreciation is each product’s last stored price against its own recorded MSRP, in percent. The card’s call is the MEDIAN of those percentages across the products that have an MSRP — a median rather than a mean, so one outlier SKU cannot carry a whole set — and a product with no MSRP on file is left out of that aggregate rather than counted as zero; it still lists below with its price. MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, so it is shown only where a source is recorded against it, and that source is on the row’s hover. The bands are a legend for the percentage the card prints beside them: within ±5% is at MSRP, which is this repo’s own fair-value tolerance; up to +25% is a slight premium; up to +100% a significant one; at or above +100% the price has at least doubled and the figure is stated as a multiple, because a four-digit percentage is not a number anybody reads. Each price line takes a day’s observed low/high sale range and plots its midpoint; on a day with no recorded sale it carries the provider’s own daily guide value instead — a quoted price, not a transaction — and those days are drawn dashed, never described as trades. Every line is indexed to its own first stored day = 100, so the chart compares appreciation between products rather than price levels: a booster pack and a booster box cannot honestly share a dollar axis.

Restock

Not tracked

10 sealed products in this set, and no retailer has ever been read for any of them — which is not the same as sold out.

0 retailers tracked · 4 not monitoredSet-level: SV: ex Start Decks sealed products, not this cardPrint status unknown

Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping — never comparable to a delivered price.

Method

Each row is one tracked retailer's most recent reading of one of the set's sealed products, at that retailer's own SKU. A restock is an observed OUT_OF_STOCK → IN_STOCK transition in that SKU's reading history, never a change we inferred from a price or a gap. Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not delivered prices and are never fed into a floor.

Absorption

Building history

2 readings of this book so far, one per 3 days, over 13d. The direction reads once there are enough of them to tell a drawdown from noise.

Method

Each reading takes the venue's own listing count for this card in this condition — the whole book — at that instant. The direction is classified by the platform's absorption reading over that series: a book drawn down with demand behind it reads as accumulation, one that refills after a drawdown reads as distribution. Copies and sellers come from the cheapest asks we sample, not from the book, and are labelled as such. Sold units are confirmed prints from the live tape over the same span, and are shown only when the tape reaches back past the first reading.

The direction is classified over the platform-standard 30-day trailing window. That window is a scope, not a history: it contains exactly the readings counted on this card and no others — and only readings that counted the venue’s own book, never a sampled one trended against a counted one.

Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Insufficient data: 2 inventory observation(s) in the trailing 30d window (need >= 4).").

Confidence

Confidence: 0%, based on 0 days of observations.

What would disprove it

This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.

Raw · Japanese · Normal · Near Mintpq-quant-2026.10.0

Highest Volume

The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#	Card	SetSetThe set this printing belongs to. Sets differ in print run and age, which is most of why two cards at the same price behave differently.	Trend 30DTrend 30DThe last 30 days of price, drawn from a zero-independent scale. The shape is the reading — the level is the Price column beside it.	30D30DPrice change over the last 30 calendar days, signed. A dash when the series has no price close enough to 30 days ago to measure from.	PricePriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).	30d vol30d volume30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.	FV GapFV GapPrice against fair value, signed. NEGATIVE is below the model — the card trades under its fair value — which is the opposite direction from the Pop 30D column’s colouring.	LiqLiqLiquidity, 0–100 — how easily a position clears, never whether it is cheap. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.	VelocityVelocityConfirmed sales per day. Higher means a thicker tape, so every other figure in the row rests on more evidence.	Days InvDays InvHow many days the listed supply would take to clear at the current sale pace. Lower is a tighter market; a very high number usually means the pace, not the supply, is the problem.	SupplySupplyUnits listed for sale right now across the venues we track. It is the raw count of asks, not what is buyable at any one price.	Pop 30DPop 30DChange in graded population over 30 days. Rising means supply of slabs is growing, which is the ordinary up-is-up reading and generally NOT good for price.
1	Mega Rayquaza ex110M6: Storm Emeralda110 · Special Art Rare	M6: Storm Emeralda		-23.0%	$274.42^guideThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping). Source: guide · item.-23.0%

Ranked by dollars traded over 30 days · refreshed hourly

The whole wall →

$9.5k

CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.	Jul 7, 2023	3.3y	98%	No
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.	Oct 12, 2026	10d	90%	No
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.	Oct 12, 2026	10d	90%	No
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.	Oct 12, 2026	10d	70%	No