Monkey.D.Luffy (TR) — OP07-109-trRaw · Unknown · Near MintEvery price, print, listing and score on this page belongs to this one printing in this one condition or grade — switch either dropdown and you are looking at a different one.
The condition or grade being priced. Each one is a separate instrument that trades at its own price, so choosing one replaces every figure on the page. “All conditions” and “All grades” are a union of the siblings — their tape, listings and volume are combined, with one sibling named as the reference for price and analytics.
⇊CapitulationCapitulationAll three fired at once: a sharp 7-day drop, sales velocity spiking to panic levels, and a deep drawdown off the peak. Forced selling into a falling book, not a slow decline.•At Fair ValueAt Fair ValueThe market price is inside the blended fair-value band, so no direction is called. A wide band puts more prices inside it, which is why the band is shown and not just the point.•Neutral FlowNeutral FlowNet flow and the top-decile-notional prints disagree, or net flow is flat. The signal needs both to point the same way, so nothing is called.1D+34.8%1D return+34.8%Change in the headline market price against the close 1 observed bar back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.7D-12.6%7D return-12.6%Change in the headline market price against the close 7 observed bars back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.30D-24.4%30D return-24.4%Change in the headline market price against the close 30 observed bars back. Bars exist only for days this card actually traded, so the span can be longer than the label's calendar reading.As of 08:50ZAs of 08:50ZThe market price, its 1D/7D/30D returns, the order book, the For Sale counts and today’s price bar as they stood when this page was built. The page itself is served from a shared cache, so this stamp — not the moment you loaded it — is how old these numbers are. Your browser re-reads them a moment after the page arrives and this line follows.
Mkt Price
$208.26item▲+34.8%
Last $169.90 · 23h
Mkt Price$208.26 itemThe marketplace’s own published guide price for the day. The day’s own prints were too few to take a median from — two trades at one seller’s price point is not a market — so the guide is quoted instead (D-397). The chart still draws every print the day had. Last confirmed fixed-price sale: $169.90 at 2026-10-15T09:44:37.457Z. Shipping was free, so delivered is the same number. One trade, not a statistic — the figure above it is the day's median.
Fair Value
$159.84delivered
≈$159.84 item · Band $152.01–$167.66
Fair Value$159.84 deliveredBand is ±4.9% of the point estimate: 2 of 4 components available (excluded: trend anchor — a trailing average on a confirmed fall, auction clearing — 35% of weight reweighted away, 18% confidence penalty), on 12 observation(s) in the trailing 30d. Thin samples and missing components widen the band 2.45x over the raw component spread. No recent clearing price: too few prints in the last 120h to say what it is trading at now. A weighted blend of independent estimates, quoted DELIVERED — item plus required shipping — where Mkt Price beside it may be item basis. Read the band, not the point: its width is the model's own confidence. On the ITEM basis TCGplayer’s guide is quoted on, that is about $159.84 — this card’s own prints carry a median delivered-minus-item wedge of $0.00, measured day by day, never an assumed postage rate.
Liquidity
51/100
Fair liquidity
Liquidity51 /100How easily a position clears, scored 0–100. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.
30D Vol
16units▲+92.0%
units · vs prior 30d
30D Vol16 units16 units over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer. Newest reading Oct 15, 2026. Against 8 in the 30 days before.
For Sale
59units
43 sellers
For Sale59 unitsEvery active fixed-price ask with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and are never counted here.
Graded PopN/A
Graded PopN/AEvery slab reported by every grader we hold a census for, pooled. A share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds a copy grades 10.
How this summary is madeComputed from the live numbers on this page every time it loads (price, volume, supply, the slab census and grading math, pull cost), so it moves with the market.
One candle per UTC day — the finest grain this market recordsOne candle per ISO week (Mon–Sun), rolled up from the daily barsOne candle per calendar month, rolled up from the daily barsitem — the sale price alone, excluding shipping. This is the basis TCGplayer’s own market guide is published on, and the basis every wall tile, screener row and watchlist quote uses, so it is what the headline compares against.delivered — item + required shipping, the basis every alarm, floor and fair value uses. A print whose shipping the venue never stated has no delivered price and is excluded from the bar rather than counted at its item price; a day with no priced print falls back to the guide, which is an item price and says so.
How each period is drawn. Candles and bars show the full observed open/high/low/close; line and area show the close alone. The DATA does not change with the mark.
Price scale (linear, log or percent), auto-scaling, and the note on exactly how these bars were built.
Expand the chart to the whole viewport. Same bars and same drawings — only the room they get changes.
Cursor — chart crosshair, pan and zoomTrend line — two pointsHorizontal line — one click, priced at the axisRay — two points, extended forwardZone — two cornersFibonacci retracement — anchor the move, start to endNote — click, then typeMeasure — drag for change, percent and barsMagnet — snap each new anchor to the nearest bar's open, high, low or close, so a line lands on an observation rather than between two of them.Nothing to clear — there are no drawings on this card.DRW
Vol 1 sold·1 tcgp·1 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
—
RSI 14
Live Listings
Pricevs MktQtyCond
TCGplayer0
eBay0
Buy on TCGplayer
Fair valueFAIRThe cheapest delivered ask is within 5% of the blended fair-value estimate (FAIR_VALUE_AT_FAIR_TOLERANCE_PCT).
Fair value $159.84 delivered, about $159.84 on the item basis; the cheapest delivered ask is 3.0% below it$159.84delivered-3.0%The cheapest delivered ask ($154.99) against the blended fair-value estimate.top 45%top 45% of 3,685 tracked on FV gap · Ranked against every tracked card as of Oct 15, 2026; the number above is live.
$154.99
Supply
▼Heavy supply59 listed units against a 0.5/day pace is 110.6 days of stock. Under 7d reads tight, 30d or more reads heavy.
59 units listed across 43 sellers — 110.6d of stock at the 30-day pace of 0.5/day.
Listed · 43 sellers · $11,266.3659 unitsActive fixed-price asks with a known delivered price. Auctions are a separate market and never enter this count.Sold · 30d · 0.5/day16 unitsUnits over the last 30 days, on TCGplayer, against 8 in the 30 days before. Newest reading 2026-10-15.
Print scarcity
•Set not coveredA set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
A set needs at least three cards carrying a price, a graded population and a pull rate at once before its print scale means anything. this set does not reach that, so there is nothing to rank this card against.
LightModerateHeavy
Method▾
Graded population is print run × how often anyone bothers grading it, and the second factor moves with VALUE — so population is divided by price^0.606, the elasticity fitted across 3,826 cards that carry a population, a price and a pull rate at once. That normalised count is turned into a SET pack scale using the card’s pull rate (every card in a set is an independent read on how many packs exist, pooled by median), then brought back down to this card by its own pull rate. The band is a tertile of the result across every card that clears the gates.
Nobody has ever published a Pokémon print run, and this does not recover one — it is an ORDER, not a count. It reads surviving graded supply across PSA, CGC and ACE, so ungraded and sealed stock are invisible to it. What it is checked against: the model puts Black & White at the bottom of the catalog and modern Scarlet & Violet at the top, which is where the smallest and largest print runs actually are.
Sealed
—No MSRP on fileThese products are priced, but not one of them carries a recorded MSRP with a source behind it. An MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, and an appreciation measured against nothing is not a judgement this card will invent. The prices are listed below; the comparison is what is missing.
7 of this set’s 8 sealed products carry a price; none carries a recorded MSRP to measure appreciation against.
Set supply · not this card’sThe set's wholesale supply, not this card's — bulk lifts every raw copy in the set.—No wholesale listings seenNo wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
Competitive play—No rulingNo Standard legality ruling on file, and in none of the 989 Standard decklists in the last 30 days.
No Standard legality ruling on file, and in none of the 989 Standard decklists across 32 events, last 30 days.
Player floor$0.76The cheapest currently-priced Standard-legal print of this card: Monkey.D.Luffy (Reprint), Premium Booster -The Best- Vol. 2. What it costs to put the card in a deck, which is not the same question as what THIS print is worth.Premium over floor274×This printing's headline price ($208.26) against the player floor ($0.76). What a player pays for THIS art rather than for the cheapest legal copy of the same card.
Why It's Moving
What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.
Sold median moved -12.6% over the trailing 7 days and -24.4% over 30 days, last printing at $208.26. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 0.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.
Primary read: Price trend scored 0/100 (composite weight 47%). — the largest single contributor to the current CAPITULATION regime read.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.
Alternative explanation: Data quality scored 48/100 (composite weight 21%).. With 43 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Provenance▾
EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.
ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.
AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.
ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.
Highest Volume
The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#
Card
Set
No.
30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.
PriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).
[Activate:Main] You may trash this Character: If you have 2 or less Life cards; K.O. up to 1 of your opponent's Characters with a cost of 4 or less. Then, draw 1 card.
[Trigger] K.O. up to 1 of your opponent's Characters with a cost of 4 or less.
Finishes
Unknown
Languages
EN
Also known as
Monkey.D.Luffy (TR) #OP7-109-tr
—
8—
entirely
collector
premium,
since
the
same
card
plays
for
$0.76
out
of
Premium
Booster
-The
Best-
Vol.
2;
no
PSA
population
is
on
file.
Market price$154.99
What the market is actually asking right now — the cheapest delivered price, or the newest confirmed print when no ladder exists. The card’s verdict is where this line falls against the band.
$159.84Fair value$159.84The blend’s point estimate — the weighted centre of the four component reads listed below. It is the middle of a band, not a target: read the band’s width before the point.
$152.01The bottom of the stated fair-value band — the cheap end of the blend, not a floor and not a support level. A wider band is the model saying it is less sure, so the two ends are more informative together than the point between them.$167.66The top of the stated fair-value band — the rich end of the blend, not a ceiling and not a target. A wider band is the model saying it is less sure, so the two ends are more informative together than the point between them.
Sales VWAP$160.1162%Sales VWAP$160.11Time-decayed, unit-weighted mean delivered price of confirmed prints — the last 48h dominate.Weight 62% of the blend, after reweighting away the inputs with no evidence.Depth clearing$159.3938%Depth clearing$159.39VWAP of the cheapest tranche of the live delivered-ask ladder — the price at which real fixed-price supply actually clears.Weight 38% of the blend, after reweighting away the inputs with no evidence.Trend anchor$213.720%Trend anchor$213.72The fall is confirmed and this anchor (a trailing SMA) sits on the far side of what the card is printing — reweighted away, not blended against the move.Weight 0% of the blend, after reweighting away the inputs with no evidence.Auction clearingN/A—Auction clearingN/AUnavailable in the trailing 30d window — reweighted away, not defaulted.No evidence for this input, so it carries no weight — the blend is the other components, reweighted.
≈$159.84 item basis · ±4.9% band · 3 of 4 inputs · 12 obs / 30dBand is ±4.9% of the point estimate: 2 of 4 components available (excluded: trend anchor — a trailing average on a confirmed fall, auction clearing — 35% of weight reweighted away, 18% confidence penalty), on 12 observation(s) in the trailing 30d. Thin samples and missing components widen the band 2.45x over the raw component spread. No recent clearing price: too few prints in the last 120h to say what it is trading at now.
›Priced at fair — cheapest delivered ask $154.99.
Market safety
▲High riskOne buyer can set this price on at least one dimension: a spike here would outlive the 30-day window every number we publish is measured over, or the whole buyable book is inside a single ordinary order (under 5 units).
$11,266 clears the cheap side — 123 days of turnover (4.41 book-months, 43 asks).
Book
10%·$1,279·$161.49 ask-5%Sweeping 10% of the visible book costs $1,279The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $161.49 ask — -5% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.50%·$5,823·$197.56 ask+16%Sweeping 50% of the visible book costs $5,823The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $197.56 ask — +16% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.80%·$9,194·$219.99 ask+29%Sweeping 80% of the visible book costs $9,194The next unbought ask after that sweep sits at $219.99 ask — +29% against today's cheapest.Visible asks only, at delivered prices. An unshipped listing has no delivered price and is not in this ladder.Book $11,266Total notional on the visible ask ladder, and the largest single seller's share of it. A book that is mostly one seller's inventory is one decision away from moving.Best ask vs fair · $154.99 vs $159.84-3.0%Best ask vs fair-3.0%$154.99 vs $159.84
Mechanics▾
Cost to +50%$11,266
clears the entire visible book
Days to absorb123
59 units to control
Book breadth1 level
59 units on the board
Book / 30d sold4.4x
30d traded $2,554
VenuesTCGplayer
The absorption ladder walks the visible delivered-price ask book cheapest-first: what each slice of the book costs, the ask it leaves marginal, and how far that sits from the last price the card actually traded at. Manipulation risk is the worse of two reads — how many days of this card’s own turnover it would take to absorb the cost of control, and whether the whole buyable book fits inside a single ordinary order.
Flow
—SteadyThis week's daily sold units overlap the middle half of the rest of the window, so no change in pace is separable from the noise. Trading at its own normal rate.
7 sold in 7d, 1.9× the 30d pace — 30d prints clear at $170.45 median, +10.0% vs the $154.99 floor.
This week 7 · last week 1 · 30d/wk 4
Recent prints
$169.90+9.6%23h ago$169.90 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-15T09:44:37.457ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$154.990.0%1d ago$154.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-14T21:06:46.253ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$156.48+1.0%2d ago$156.48 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-14T02:09:16.943ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.$154.99
Method▾
Daily units are the venue's own sold-quantity history, expanded off each bucket's real span, plus confirmed prints from the other side of the market. Prints come from the live sales tape at delivered prices. The floor is the cheapest delivered ask (item + required shipping) across venues — the same one FAIR VALUE prices against.
Over 30d: 12 confirmed print(s) (4 with no contemporaneous ask reference, excluded from net flow); net flow +$1300.61 across 8 buy-side vs 0 sell-side unit(s); large prints (>= $197.88) were 20% of notional and skewed balanced -> NEUTRAL.
Bottom line
▼Sell34/100 on the weighted composite: at or above 65 is a buy, at or below 35 a sell, and everything between is a hold.
34/100 across 7 of 11 inputs. For: the cheapest ask is 3.0% under fair. Against: price trend reads 0/100.
Price trend0Price trend0/1007-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Carries 13% of the composite.Manipulation risk85Manipulation risk85/100RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Carries 9% of the composite, inverted: 85 risk entered as 15.Relative strength9Relative strength9/100This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Carries 7% of the composite.Value vs fair56Value vs fair56/100The cheapest delivered ask against the blended fair-value estimate, two points per percent. Above 50 the card is trading under what the evidence says it is worth. Withheld entirely when fair value declares itself UNKNOWN — a discount measured against an untrustworthy anchor is not a discount.Carries 17% of the composite.Book pressure44Book pressure44/100Supply leaving the market or refilling it. Prefers the 30-day inventory change; falls back to the venue's own listing count over the readings held, capped tighter because a shorter window is weaker evidence. Withheld on a count that never moves, or on a book so small that one listing's arrival pins the percent to a rail.Carries 11% of the composite.Liquidity51Liquidity51/100Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.Carries 9% of the composite.Money flow50Money flow50/100Confirmed prints split into buy-side and sell-side against the prevailing ask, on a log scale — one decade of imbalance earns the full swing, because 100:1 is a thinner sample saying what 10:1 already said.Carries 11% of the composite.
7 of 11 inputs · 77% weight · -12% confidence▾
Not reading yet: grading upside, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.
Price trend13%07-day and 30-day returns read against the noise of this card’s own series. Above 50 the price moved further than its own noise explains; below 50 it moved the other way. Withheld on a window with no confirmed print, where the line is the relay’s published guide and the return would be a reading of its revision schedule.Manipulation risk9%85RISK-ORIENTED. What it costs to walk the visible book up 50%, against both real trailing volume and one buyer’s cheque book. High here is bad, and it enters the composite inverted.Relative strength7%9This card’s 30-day return as a percentile of every tracked card that has one. 50 is "moved with the market". Declines to speak until the ranked universe is large enough to mean it.Value vs fair17%56The cheapest delivered ask against the blended fair-value estimate, two points per percent. Above 50 the card is trading under what the evidence says it is worth. Withheld entirely when fair value declares itself UNKNOWN — a discount measured against an untrustworthy anchor is not a discount.
The Two Legends - Booster Pack's most recent plotted day carries the provider’s daily guide value — no sale was recorded that day.
Indexed to each product’s own first stored day = 100. Two Legends - Booster Pack in front, 6 behind · dashed = guide price, no sale that day.Each line is that product’s own price divided by its own first stored day and multiplied by 100, so every series starts on the dotted rule and the axis measures APPRECIATION rather than price. Dollars could not do this job here: a booster pack and a booster box differ by two orders of magnitude, and on a shared dollar axis the pack would sit flat on the floor of the plot however far it had actually travelled. The Two Legends - Booster Pack is the base unit and is drawn in front; the rest are drawn behind it, and each one’s own numbers are in the table below. A dashed stretch is a run of days with no recorded sale, carrying the provider’s daily guide value — a quoted price, never a trade.
Appreciation vs MSRP
ProductPriceMSRPvs MSRPEvery sealed product the catalog holds for this set, ordered by how standard a unit each is for tracking a set’s sealed price. PRICE is the product’s last stored day — a sale where one was recorded, the provider’s daily guide value where none was, and the row’s hover says which. MSRP is blank wherever no source is recorded against one, because an MSRP with nobody behind it is not a fact. VS MSRP is the price against that MSRP, as a percentage up to a doubling and as a multiple past it.
Special DON!! Card Pack DP-05$6.22——Special DON!! Card Pack DP-05—Special DON!! Card Pack DP-05. Quoted at $6.22 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Two Legends - Booster Pack$8.81——Two Legends - Booster Pack—Two Legends - Booster Pack. Quoted at $8.81 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Two Legends - Sleeved Booster Pack$16.77——Two Legends - Sleeved Booster Pack—Two Legends - Sleeved Booster Pack. Quoted at $16.77 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Double Pack Set Volume 5$44.79——Double Pack Set Volume 5—Double Pack Set Volume 5. Quoted at $44.79 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Two Legends - Booster Box$246.79——Two Legends - Booster Box—Two Legends - Booster Box. Quoted at $246.79 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Double Pack Set Volume 5 Display$272.91——Double Pack Set Volume 5 Display—Double Pack Set Volume 5 Display. Quoted at $272.91 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Two Legends - Booster Box Case$2,787.33——Two Legends - Booster Box Case—Two Legends - Booster Box Case. Quoted at $2,787.33 on Oct 15, 2026 — a guide price, with no sale recorded that day. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.Double Pack Set Volume 5 Display Case———Double Pack Set Volume 5 Display Case—Double Pack Set Volume 5 Display Case. No stored price bar — nothing has been observed to trade, which is not the same as trading at zero. No MSRP is recorded against this product, so there is nothing to measure a premium from; the blank is a missing MSRP, not a missing price.
Method▾
Sealed product from Two Legends — the set this card was printed in. We track which set a product belongs to, not which cards are inside it. Appreciation is each product’s last stored price against its own recorded MSRP, in percent. The card’s call is the MEDIAN of those percentages across the products that have an MSRP — a median rather than a mean, so one outlier SKU cannot carry a whole set — and a product with no MSRP on file is left out of that aggregate rather than counted as zero; it still lists below with its price. MSRP is somebody’s assertion rather than a published dataset, so it is shown only where a source is recorded against it, and that source is on the row’s hover. The bands are a legend for the percentage the card prints beside them: within ±5% is at MSRP, which is this repo’s own fair-value tolerance; up to +25% is a slight premium; up to +100% a significant one; at or above +100% the price has at least doubled and the figure is stated as a multiple, because a four-digit percentage is not a number anybody reads. Each price line takes a day’s observed low/high sale range and plots its midpoint; on a day with no recorded sale it carries the provider’s own daily guide value instead — a quoted price, not a transaction — and those days are drawn dashed, never described as trades. Every line is indexed to its own first stored day = 100, so the chart compares appreciation between products rather than price levels: a booster pack and a booster box cannot honestly share a dollar axis.
Restock
—Not trackedThis set has sealed products, but no retailer has ever been read for any of them. Not tracked is not sold out.
8 sealed products in this set, and no retailer has ever been read for any of them — which is not the same as sold out.
Best Buy: not currently tracked.Walmart: not currently tracked.Target: not currently tracked.GameStop: not currently tracked.
0 retailers tracked · 4 not monitoredEvery retailer in the registry has a cell, including the ones that are not tracked — a shelf nobody is watching reads UNKNOWN, never 'sold out'. One store's empty shelf is not the whole market, and an untracked one is not evidence about the market at all.Set-level: Two Legends sealed products, not this cardRetail rows attach to SEALED products only — no big-box retailer sells single cards — so this whole card is the SET's shelf availability. It is not a statement about this card, and a card's own price is unaffected by it.Print status unknownThere is no published source for whether a Pokémon product is still being printed — The Pokémon Company has never announced print cessation in any region, and the annual rotation announcement is about tournament legality, not production. So this is an inference, never a fact, and the verdict above comes from observed shelf readings instead. Nothing direct is on file here — no shelf reading either way and no recorded reprint announcement — and release age plus a price ratio is a hypothesis, not a print status, so no estimate is made.
Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping — never comparable to a delivered price.Retail shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not comparable to the delivered marketplace prices shown elsewhere on this page. They are never fed into a delivered-price floor.Method▾
Each row is one tracked retailer's most recent reading of one of the set's sealed products, at that retailer's own SKU. A restock is an observed OUT_OF_STOCK → IN_STOCK transition in that SKU's reading history, never a change we inferred from a price or a gap. Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not delivered prices and are never fed into a floor.
Absorption
—Building historyToo few readings of the book to tell a drawdown from noise. The count is on the card — see the note below.
6 readings of this book so far, one per 3 days, over 15d. The direction reads once there are enough of them to tell a drawdown from noise.
Method▾
Each reading takes the venue's own listing count for this card in this condition — the whole book — at that instant. The direction is classified by the platform's absorption reading over that series: a book drawn down with demand behind it reads as accumulation, one that refills after a drawdown reads as distribution. Copies and sellers come from the cheapest asks we sample, not from the book, and are labelled as such. Sold units are confirmed prints from the live tape over the same span, and are shown only when the tape reaches back past the first reading.
The direction is classified over the platform-standard 30-day trailing window. That window is a scope, not a history: it contains exactly the readings counted on this card and no others — and only readings that counted the venue’s own book, never a sampled one trended against a counted one.
30d sold
13 units (+18% vs prior 30d)
Units of THIS printing sold in the 30 days ending October 13, 2026, against the 30 days before that (11). Demand at a table and demand in the market are different measurements; this is the second one.
Meta vs priceρ +0.67 (8 weeks)Spearman rank correlation of weekly share against weekly median price over the trailing 26 weeks, on the weeks carrying both. Printed only at 8 weeks or more; below that the count is stated instead of a coefficient off a handful of readings.
Meta share · % of Standard decklists (right axis)Median price · this print, $ (left axis)Units sold per day (bars)
Does the meta move the price? Share of Standard decklists running this card against this print's median sale price and units sold, day by day; the rank correlation above is printed once 8 weeks exist.
95.6% of card lines in these decklists matched a card in our catalog; an unmatched line is never counted. Online events only, not Regionals or Worlds. Tournament results →
EvidenceEvidenceThe specific observations the explanation rests on. If this row is thin, treat the explanation as thin — it is the only thing holding it up.
Evidence: item-basis daily bars, TCGplayer active listings, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory no data, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").
ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight to put on the primary explanation, given how much of the evidence actually resolved. It qualifies the row above; it never adds to it.
Confidence: 52% (floor-confidence 25/100), based on 375 days of observations.
What would disprove itWhat would disprove itThe observation that would break the primary explanation. It is what makes the reading falsifiable rather than unfalsifiable — and it is the thing to watch for next.
This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 0 while sold median keeps falling.
CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.
Sep 13, 2024
2.1y
98%
No
Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears.
Oct 15, 2026
9h
90%
No
Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled.
Oct 15, 2026
1d
90%
Yes
Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window.
Oct 15, 2026
9h
90%
No
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).
Oct 15, 2026
23h
85%
No
Inventory countHow many copies and listings stand on the book. What depth, supply and absorption are measured against.
Oct 15, 2026
9h
70%
No
Raw · Unknown · Near MintWhat every row above was gathered for — one printing, in this one finish and condition or grade. Change either switcher in the header and you are reading a different one; the page's own URL is the address of exactly this one.pq-quant-2026.10.0The version of the scoring and analytics formulas that produced everything on this page. Two figures computed under different versions are not comparable, which is why the version is stated rather than assumed.
0.0%
2d ago
$154.99 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-13T22:21:25.563ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$161.28+4.1%3d ago$161.28 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-12T14:42:17.230ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
$155.98+0.6%3d ago$155.98 delivered, 1 unit, 2026-10-12T14:25:38.533ZMeasured against today's cheapest delivered ask — a print above it is information, not bad news.
Book pressure11%44Supply leaving the market or refilling it. Prefers the 30-day inventory change; falls back to the venue's own listing count over the readings held, capped tighter because a shorter window is weaker evidence. Withheld on a count that never moves, or on a book so small that one listing's arrival pins the percent to a rail.
Liquidity9%51Four equally-weighted readings of what counterparties did: the chance it trades today, how many of the last 30 days carried a trade, 30-day units sold against the units on the board, and how many different people are selling it. A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight.
Money flow11%50Confirmed prints split into buy-side and sell-side against the prevailing ask, on a log scale — one decade of imbalance earns the full swing, because 100:1 is a thinner sample saying what 10:1 already said.
Scarcity7%no readingNeither scarcity read is available: no pull rate on file for this card’s rarity, and no print-scale estimate for its set (or the set is inside its first 12 months, where graded population has not accumulated yet).
Grading upside6%no readingNo priced grade outcomes, so expected return is unknown.
Seller concentration5%no readingThe venue attributes no seller identity to these asks.
Reprint risk5%no readingPrint status is unestablished — no shelf observation and no recorded reprint event.
The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.