The vendor's catalog photograph of Ultra Deck: The Three Captains. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with other Starter Decks.
Ultra Deck: The Three Captains is a starter deck from the One Piece Card Game, belonging to ST-10: Ultra Deck The Three Captains, which released on November 10, 2023 in the game's Starter Decks era. A deck like this is built for learning to play and getting into the game with a ready-made list rather than for cracking packs. The set has three sealed products in total, made up of a display and decks, and this deck is the one with price data tracked.
Price history for Ultra Deck: The Three Captains is short, since tracking began only in September 2026, so the longer-term changes cannot yet say much. As of October 23, 2026, the deck is down 9 percent over the past 30 days and sits 9 percent below its tracked high from September 2026. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of recent sales, so they are best read as a rough direction for the first weeks of tracking rather than a settled trend.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 45 decks of the Starter Decks era with a comparable price, Ultra Deck: The Three Captains ranks 6th by price and sits at about 2.5 times the era median, which puts it well above a typical deck from this period. Within its own set the line is small: three sealed products exist, and only one of them, this deck, currently has a price.
| Measure | This productUltra Deck: The Three Captains | Median of 40 decksStarter Decks median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | ST-10: Ultra Deck The Three Captains | — |
| Release date | Nov 10, 2023 | — |
| Price | $95.33 | $40.97 |
$95.33, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 30, 2026.
Ultra Deck: The Three Captains is from ST-10: Ultra Deck The Three Captains.
We don't currently track retail stock for Ultra Deck: The Three Captains, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 2, 2026 · UTC
Ultra Deck: The Three Captains · 1DMkt$95.33+3.7%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 60% confidence on 27/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 0/100 (composite weight 47%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-30.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 40 asks · 21 sales · 150 daily guide points · 107 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 2, 2026 | 18h | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 2, 2026 | 18h | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 2, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Nov 1, 2026 | 1d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 39, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 2, 2026 |
| 18h |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-02.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-02.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists ST-10: Ultra Deck The Three Captains in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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