The vendor's catalog photograph of Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with other Starter Decks.
Prices for the Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack have only been tracked since September 2026, and as of October 23, 2026 the guide behind its figures is a modelled market guide rather than a run of sales. The product is a ready-to-play deck from ST-21: Starter Deck 21 EX Gear 5, part of the Starter Decks era of the One Piece Card Game, with the set released on March 14, 2025. A deck of this kind is meant for learning the game or building a playable list straight out of the box rather than for opening packs. The set has three sealed products in total.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 45 decks in the Starter Decks era, the Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack ranks 11th by price and sits at about 1.5 times the era median. Within its own set's line it ranks 3rd of 3 priced products, with the Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Display the highest-priced of the three. Its set also stands 2nd among the 38 comparable sets in the era by card value, which helps explain why the deck's price sits above the typical starter deck.
| Measure | This productStarter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack | Median of 40 decksStarter Decks median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | ST-21: Starter Deck 21 EX Gear 5 | — |
| Release date | Mar 14, 2025 | — |
| Price | $59.41 | $36.33 |
$59.41, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 8, 2026.
Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack is from ST-21: Starter Deck 21 EX Gear 5.
We don't currently track retail stock for Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · 1d so far
as of Nov 9, 2026 · UTC
Starter Deck EX: Gear 5 Bonus Pack · 1DMkt$59.410.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 59% confidence on 17/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Data quality scored 17/100 (composite weight 30%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-08.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 3 priced sealed products in ST-21: Starter Deck 21 EX Gear 5.
Withheld — 7 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
7 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, liquidity, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
On file: 2 asks · 5 sales · 160 daily guide points · 110 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 8, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 8, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 9, 2026 | 1d | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Sep 17, 2026 | 54d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 48, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 7 missing inputs away and applied a 35% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, liquidity, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 8, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-09.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-09.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists ST-21: Starter Deck 21 EX Gear 5 in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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