The vendor's catalog photograph of Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, chase cards, price history and how it compares with other Starter Decks.
Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy is a ready-to-play deck for the One Piece Card Game, built to teach the game and give a player a complete deck without opening packs. It belongs to ST-08: Starter Deck 8 Monkey.D.Luffy, a set from the Starter Decks era that released on August 11, 2023. The set has three sealed products, and this deck is one of them alongside a display product. The deck is a self-contained way to start playing with Luffy as the lead character, and the set's printings are best known for the cards that carry his name.
Price history for the Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy deck only goes back to September 2026, so there is little to say about long-term direction. As of October 23, 2026, it is up 1 percent over the past 30 days and sits 9 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. The figures rest on a modelled market guide rather than a run of recent sales, which suits a low-priced starter deck that trades quietly. With such a short window, the move so far reads as a flat, steady market.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 45 decks in the Starter Decks era, the Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy deck ranks 40th by price, and its price sits at about 0.5 times the era median for decks. That places it firmly in the lower-priced part of its era. Within its own set line it ranks 2nd of the 2 priced products, with the Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy Display as the highest-priced item, which is expected for a sealed display holding multiple units compared with a single deck.
| Measure | This productStarter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy | Median of 40 decksStarter Decks median |
|---|---|---|
| Set | ST-08: Starter Deck 8 Monkey.D.Luffy | — |
| Release date | Aug 11, 2023 | — |
| Price | $18.66 | $40.97 |
$18.66, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 2, 2026.
Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy is from ST-08: Starter Deck 8 Monkey.D.Luffy.
We don't currently track retail stock for Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 4, 2026 · UTC
Starter Deck 8: Monkey.D.Luffy · 1DMkt$18.66-0.3%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 24/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 0/100 (composite weight 47%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-02.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 2 priced sealed products in ST-08: Starter Deck 8 Monkey.D.Luffy.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 41 asks · 18 sales · 152 daily guide points · 107 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 2, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 2, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 4, 2026 | 23h | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Nov 1, 2026 | 3d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 42, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 2, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-04.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-04.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists ST-08: Starter Deck 8 Monkey.D.Luffy in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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