The vendor's catalog photograph of Start Deck 100. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards and price history.
Start Deck 100 is a ready-to-play deck from December 17, 2021, released in the Sword & Shield era of the Japanese Pokémon TCG. It is made for learning the game or picking up a complete deck without opening packs, not a pack-opening product. It belongs to SI: Start Deck 100, a deck product whose line has two sealed products, a Deck and a Display, and Start Deck 100 is the Deck.
Each Start Deck 100 holds a single complete deck, picked at random from 101 different ones: 100 standard decks and 1 secret deck. Alongside the deck sit a rules card with a QR code for the basics of play, plus a sheet of damage counters and status markers.
As of October 23, 2026, the Start Deck 100 price rests on a modelled market guide rather than a run of recent sales. Tracking began only in September 2026, so the record is short. The one figure that means anything yet is a 1 percent gain over the past 30 days, which is close to flat. A window that brief cannot show a lasting direction, and the distance from a tracked high or low will say more once additional months of history have built up.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
$39.99, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of October 30, 2026.
Start Deck 100 is from SI: Start Deck 100.
We don't currently track retail stock for Start Deck 100, which is not the same as it being sold out.
guide · modelled
units · 1d so far
as of Nov 4, 2026 · UTC
Start Deck 100 · 1DMkt$39.990.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 31/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Liquidity scored 20/100 (composite weight 32%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-10-30.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 3 asks · 1 sale · 58 daily guide points · 86 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 2, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 2, 2026 | 2d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 4, 2026 | 22h | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 2, 2026 | 34d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 33, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 2, 2026 |
| 2d |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-04.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-04.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists SI: Start Deck 100 in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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