The vendor's catalog photograph of Nihil Zero Booster Box. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Mega era.
Price tracking for the Nihil Zero Booster Box only began in September 2026, so the story here is short, but the product itself is straightforward. It is a booster box for M3: Nihil Zero, an expansion in the Mega era of the Japanese Pokémon TCG, released on January 23, 2026. A booster box is a sealed case of booster packs, made for opening packs and chasing the set's rarest cards. The set has two sealed products in total, this booster box and the booster pack.
The Japanese Nihil Zero Booster Box holds 30 booster packs, and each pack contains 5 random cards.
M3: Nihil Zero is opened for Mega Zygarde ex, a Mega Ultra Rare that tops the set by value, followed by Meowth ex and Rosa's Encouragement, both Special Art Rares. Mega Clefable ex and a second Mega Zygarde ex, also a Special Art Rare, round out the leading five. The set has 45 chase-tier cards across 117 catalog printings, and value is heavily concentrated, with those top five cards making up 73 percent of the set's total card value. Packs from this booster box can yield all of them.
As of October 23, 2026, the Nihil Zero Booster Box has only been tracked since September 2026, so the record is brief. Over the past 30 days it is down 5 percent, and it sits 5 percent below its tracked high from October 2026 and 4 percent above its tracked low from September 2026. That is a narrow band, which fits a young price history. The figures rest on a modelled market guide.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the Mega era's booster boxes, the Nihil Zero Booster Box ranks 9th by price of 9, at 0.9 times the era median. The previous set's equivalent, the Mega Dream ex Booster Box from M2a: High Class Pack: MEGA Dream ex, is priced higher, while the next, the Ninja Spinner Booster Box from M4: Ninja Spinner, is about equal. Within its own set's line it ranks 1st by price of 2 priced products, ahead of the booster pack.
| Measure | This productNihil Zero Booster Box | Median of 9 booster boxesMega median | Previous setMega Dream ex Booster Box | Next setNinja Spinner Booster Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | M3: Nihil Zero | — | M2a: High Class Pack: MEGA Dream ex | M4: Ninja Spinner |
$74.65, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 8, 2026.
Nihil Zero Booster Box is from M3: Nihil Zero.
We don't currently track retail stock for Nihil Zero Booster Box, which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Jan 23, 2026 | — | Nov 28, 2025 | Mar 13, 2026 |
|---|
| Price | $74.65 | $80.64 | $84.40 | $75.92 |
|---|
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 9, 2026 · UTC
Nihil Zero Booster Box · 1DMkt$74.65-0.4%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
floor thesis · 30-120d horizon · 60% confidence on 25/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Data quality scored 25/100 (composite weight 21%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-08.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The dearest of the 2 priced sealed products in M3: Nihil Zero.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 47 asks · 49 sales · 65 daily guide points · 90 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 8, 2026 | 22h | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 8, 2026 | 22h | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 9, 2026 | 13h | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Nov 8, 2026 | 1d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 42, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 8, 2026 |
| 22h |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-09.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-09.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists M3: Nihil Zero in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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