The vendor's catalog photograph of Black Bolt Booster Pack. It identifies the product; it is not evidence of condition, of what is inside, or of any price on this page.Product type, set and release date, contents, chase cards, price history and how it compares with the Scarlet & Violet era.
The set behind the Japanese Black Bolt Booster Pack, SV11B: Black Bolt, belongs to the Scarlet & Violet era of the Japanese Pokémon TCG and was released on June 6, 2025. This booster pack is a single sealed pack for opening, the basic unit of the set's cards and the way its chase cards are pulled. Black Bolt is an expansion with four sealed products in its line, including this booster pack and a deluxe booster box, and the set ranks 2nd of 25 comparable Scarlet & Violet era sets by total card value.
A single Japanese Black Bolt Booster Pack holds 7 random cards drawn from the Black Bolt set, sealed together in one pack and sold as one unit.
The Black Bolt chase list is led by Zekrom ex in Black White Rare, followed by Zekrom ex in Special Art Rare, Seismitoad in Art Rare, N's Plot in Special Art Rare and Kyurem ex in Special Art Rare. The set carries 94 chase-tier cards, and value is concentrated at the top: the five most valuable cards make up 47 percent of the set's total card value. Since these are the cards the set is opened for, packs from this booster pack can yield them.
As of October 23, 2026, the Japanese Black Bolt Booster Pack is up 1 percent over the past 30 days. Tracking began only in September 2026, so that short move is the only change the record can show so far. The figures rest on a modelled market guide, so they reflect an estimated market level rather than a confirmed sale on each day.
Written from market data as of October 24, 2026; the tables update live.
Among the 27 booster packs in the Scarlet & Violet era, the Japanese Black Bolt Booster Pack ranks 7th by price and sits at about 2.4 times the era median. The previous set's equivalent, the Glory of Team Rocket Booster Pack from SV10: The Glory of Team Rocket, is priced lower, and so is the next set's Mega Brave Booster Pack from m1L: Mega Brave. Within its own set line it ranks 4th of 4 priced products, with the Black Bolt Deluxe Booster Box as the highest-priced.
| Measure | This productBlack Bolt Booster Pack | Median of 27 booster packsScarlet & Violet median | Previous setGlory of Team Rocket Booster Pack | Next setMega Brave Booster Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set | SV11B: Black Bolt | — | SV10: The Glory of Team Rocket |
$9.75, the venue's modelled guide price, not a confirmed sale, as of November 5, 2026.
Black Bolt Booster Pack is from SV11B: Black Bolt.
We don't currently track retail stock for Black Bolt Booster Pack, which is not the same as it being sold out.
| Release date | Jun 6, 2025 | — | Apr 18, 2025 | Aug 1, 2025 |
|---|
| Price | $9.75 | $4.24 | $5.51 | $2.88 |
|---|
guide · modelled
units · vs prior 30d
as of Nov 6, 2026 · UTC
Black Bolt Booster Pack · 1DMkt$9.750.0%guide priceitem price
Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range
collector thesis · 180-720d horizon · 60% confidence on 26/100 data quality
Scenarios
ILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).rangeBASE · rangeILLIQUID_UNKNOWN persists near current levels (non-probabilistic range -- data quality too thin to assign probabilities).Evidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBULL · rangeEvidence corroborates faster than expected, accelerating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Evidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).rangeBEAR · rangeEvidence reverses sooner than expected, invalidating the thesis (non-probabilistic range).Catalysts
Risks
Invalidation
The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 19/100 (composite weight 47%).
Model pq-quant-2026.10.0, as of 2026-11-05.
Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice.
No published pack count for this product, so its price cannot be put on a per-pack footing.
The cheapest of the 4 priced sealed products in SV11B: Black Bolt.
Withheld — 6 of the 9 inputs have no sealed evidence, so there is nothing honest to blend.
On file: 12 asks · 8 sales · 60 daily guide points · 88 stock readings.
| EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them. | ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading. | AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed. | ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped. | ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live askA copy offered for sale right now. An ask is what a seller wants, not what anyone paid — it bounds the price from above until it clears. | Nov 5, 2026 | 1d | 90% | No |
| Price statisticAn observed figure computed over several rows rather than one print — a delivered floor, a published median over a window. | Nov 5, 2026 | 1d | 90% | No |
| Guide priceA calculated market guide — a model of where the product is trading. Never a confirmed sale, and always marked Modelled. | Nov 6, 2026 | 18h | 90% | Yes |
| Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping). | Oct 27, 2026 | 11d | 85% | No |
Every price is that product’s newest stored daily bar, picked by the same precedence the chart above uses — a real observed sale beats a modelled guide, and the guide stands in only on days with no sale. Per-pack divides by the PUBLISHED pack count and is withheld wherever that count is not on file, because a guessed denominator makes a fabricated price. Products the set has but we cannot price keep their row, with a dash.
6 inputs have no sealed evidence and were reweighted away: supply tightness, absorption, auction demand, grading reflexivity, relative strength, reprint / supply risk.
Scored over a 30-day window on a sample of 39, formula pq-quant-2026.10.0. The packet reweighted 6 missing inputs away and applied a 33% confidence penalty for them: supplyTightness, absorption, auctionDemand, gradingReflexivity, relativeStrength, reprintSupplyRisk.
| Nov 5, 2026 |
| 1d |
| 70% |
| No |
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-06.
No wholesale listings seen for this product as of the last catalogue read on 2026-11-06.
A wholesale ask is a distributor’s price for a whole lot — freight, minimums and any trade terms sit behind it — and is not a price a single box trades at. Links go to the distributor’s own page; nothing here is an affiliate link. Per-pack figures divide the lot price by the pack count the distributor published, never by a guessed one.
No wholesale listing has ever been matched to this set.
No distributor we read lists SV11B: Black Bolt in bulk. That says nothing about the print run — only about these shelves.
A distributor’s public catalogue is a proxy for supply, not the print run.
No retailer is tracked for this product yet, which is not the same as it being sold out.
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