How much is Charizard worth?

$316.00, the sold median, as of September 2, 2026.

What set is Charizard from?

Charizard (#012) is from Pokemon-e Starter Deck, released December 1, 2001.

How many Charizard have been graded?

79 certified slabs are on file across every grading company we track, as of November 11, 2026.

What is the PSA 10 premium on Charizard?

A PSA 10 trades at about 28.5x the raw price, $9,000.00 against $316.00 raw, as of September 2, 2026.

CardboardAlpha

Sales Tape

Charizard (Japanese) — 012

As of 07:41Z

Mkt Price

$316.00item—

item · last sale

Fair ValueN/A

LiquidityN/A

30D Vol

1units

units · 1d so far

For Sale

0units

live delivered asks

Graded Pop

across 2 graders

Set: Pokemon-e Starter Deck
Era: e-Card
Number: 012
Released: Dec 1, 2001
Card type: Pokémon
Finishes: Normal
Languages: JA
Also known as: Charizard #12

PSA

Nine months before Expedition Base Set carried the same Charizard into English, this Japanese version arrived in December 2001, part of the Pokemon-e Starter Deck and

Insufficient data

No priced bars on file for this instrument yet.

as of — · UTC

Charizard — 012 · 1DC——plotting daily medianitem price

Vol — sold·— prints·— obs

Live Listings

Pricevs MktQtyCond

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Fair value

Insufficient data

No fair-value component could be computed for the trailing 30d window (no confirmed prints, no ask ladder, no trend anchor, no completed auctions). No point estimate is offered.

Market safety

No book

Nothing is listed for sale, so there is no book for one buyer to move.

Flow

Thin tape

Supply

Nothing listed

0 units listed — 0.0d of stock at the 30-day pace of 1.0/day.

Population

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 A

Listed0 unitsSold · 1d · 1.0/day1 unitsGraded · ACE 9 · CGC 7079 slabs

Sealed

No prices on file

This set’s one sealed product has no stored price bar yet.

Set supply · not this card’sNo wholesale listings seen

Appreciation vs MSRP

Why It's Moving

What changedWhat changedThe observable that moved, stated before any reason for it — the fact the rest of this panel has to account for.: No daily median is quotable; the last confirmed sale inside 90 days was $316.00.
Primary explanationPrimary explanationThe reading the evidence best supports. It is an explanation, never a forecast, and it is only as good as the Evidence row two lines down.: Primary read: no single factor dominates; the composite score is being driven by broad, low-amplitude movement across most inputs.
AlternativeAlternativeA competing explanation the SAME evidence would also support. It is printed even when the primary looks strong: an explanation with no stated alternative is a story, not an analysis.: Alternative explanation: with only 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, the move could just as easily be sampling noise rather than a durable shift.
Evidence

Highest Volume

The 12 most-traded cards by dollar volume over the last 30 days
#	Card	SetSetThe set this printing belongs to. Sets differ in print run and age, which is most of why two cards at the same price behave differently.	Trend 30DTrend 30DThe last 30 days of price, drawn from a zero-independent scale. The shape is the reading — the level is the Price column beside it.	30D30DPrice change over the last 30 calendar days, signed. A dash when the series has no price close enough to 30 days ago to measure from.	PricePriceThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping).	30d vol30d volume30d volumeDollars traded over the last 30 days — units sold each day times that day’s price, summed. The same figure the wall sorts by, and the order this list is in.	FV GapFV GapPrice against fair value, signed. NEGATIVE is below the model — the card trades under its fair value — which is the opposite direction from the Pop 30D column’s colouring.	LiqLiqLiquidity, 0–100 — how easily a position clears, never whether it is cheap. Four readings, equally weighted, each independently nullable: trade rate (the chance it trades today, from 30d units sold), trade breadth (how many of the last 30 days carried a trade), queue clearance (30d units sold against the units on the board) and seller dispersion (how many different people are selling it). A reading nobody can measure is absent and the rest reweight — never filled in with a zero.	VelocityVelocityConfirmed sales per day. Higher means a thicker tape, so every other figure in the row rests on more evidence.	Days InvDays InvHow many days the listed supply would take to clear at the current sale pace. Lower is a tighter market; a very high number usually means the pace, not the supply, is the problem.	SupplySupplyUnits listed for sale right now across the venues we track. It is the raw count of asks, not what is buyable at any one price.	Pop 30DPop 30DChange in graded population over 30 days. Rising means supply of slabs is growing, which is the ordinary up-is-up reading and generally NOT good for price.
1	Mega Rayquaza ex110M6: Storm Emeralda110 · Special Art Rare	M6: Storm Emeralda		-28.8%	$211.35^guideThe card’s current market price as the wall quotes it (an item price, before shipping). Source: guide · item.-28.8%

Ranked by dollars traded over 30 days · refreshed hourly

The whole wall →

Provenance

EvidenceEvidenceWhat kind of fact this row is. A completed sale, a live ask and a calculated guide price are three different weights of evidence about the same number, and this column is the difference between them.	ObservedObservedThe day the fact was read — not the day the underlying event happened, and not today. An old date is an old reading.	AgeAgeHow long ago this row was read, as of the moment the page was computed.	ConfidenceConfidenceHow much weight this row carries where it feeds a model, from the resolver that matched it. Lower means a looser match or a thinner source, and a low-confidence row is reweighted rather than dropped.	ModelledModelledYes = a CALCULATED value (a guide price, an estimate); No = something actually observed (a sale, a listing, a census count). A modelled row is evidence about a model, not about the market.

Bottom line

No call

No signal reported, so there is nothing to add up yet. That is under half the model, so no call is made on it.

0 of 11 inputs · 0% weight · -35% confidence

Not reading yet: value vs fair, price trend, money flow, book pressure, liquidity, relative strength, grading upside, manipulation risk, seller concentration, reprint risk, scarcity.

Value vs fair17%no readingPrice trend13%no readingMoney flow11%no readingBook pressure11%no readingLiquidity9%no readingManipulation risk9%no readingRelative strength7%no readingScarcity7%no readingGrading upside6%no readingSeller concentration5%no readingReprint risk5%no reading

The bottom line is a weighted mean of the signals that reported, renormalised so their weights sum to 1. Nothing defaults to a neutral 50: an input with no evidence is reweighted away and its absence is charged as a confidence penalty. Risk rows (manipulation, concentration, reprint) enter inverted. Data quality carries no weight at all — it decides whether the verdict may be spoken, because knowing a lot about a card is not a reason to buy it. Competitive meta sits OUTSIDE the weighted mean as a capped bonus added after it: a card nobody plays is never marked down for that, and a card the meta is built on can be marked up for it.

Grading ROI

Insufficient data

Best on CGC: no CGC 10 comp for this printing — a materially likely outcome has no observed price, so the expected value is withheld rather than modelled.

VendorVendorThe grading company, one row each. Rows are the graders we hold both a fee schedule and a population census for — a grader we cannot price is left out rather than estimated.	FeeFeeThe all-in submission cost per card at this grader: grading tier plus shipping both ways and insurance, as published. A † marks a fee we could not read from a published schedule and had to carry from a prior reading. Lower is better.	P(10)P(10)The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.	10 price10 priceWhat a 10 from this grader actually sells for. The superscript says what kind of evidence that is — a sale, an unsold listing, or the provider’s own modelled guide.	ROI(10)ROI(10)Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.	Risk-wtdRisk-wtdThe same return weighted by the odds of each grade, not just the 10 — the number to compare graders on, because a high P(10) at a high fee can lose to a lower one. A leading ≈ means the full grade distribution was unavailable and a coarser method stood in. Higher is better.
ACE	$24.39ACE Basic — the cheapest open tier that covers this card's value at a 10, read 2026-10-06. £18.00 converted at GBP/USD 1.355 (2026-09-01) — a conversion, not a quoted USD price. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Core $16.26, Value $20.33.	0.0%95% interval 0.0%–29.9% on n=9. A share of what was submitted and kept, not submission odds.	—No 10 price is on file for ACE, so no return can be computed for it — an absence, never a zero.	—Return if the card grades a 10 and sells at that price: (10 price − raw price − fee) over what you put in. The BEST case, before any probability is applied. Higher is better.	—Risk-weighted ROI withheld: no ACE price at grade 10 at any basis.
BGS	$79.95BGS Express — the cheapest open tier that covers this card's value at a 10, read 2026-09-01. Cheaper tiers you cannot use today: Base $14.95.	—The share of this card’s submissions to this grader that came back a 10, from its own population census. It is what WAS submitted and kept, not the odds your particular copy grades — a card people only submit when it looks perfect reads high here for that reason alone.

Pre-grade this card →

$316.00 raw (sold median) + $55.00 CGC Standard + $25.00 ship/ins = $396.00 · less 13.25% sale fee · 45d lockup

Share of what was submitted and kept — not the odds your copy grades 10.

Restock

Not tracked

1 sealed product in this set, and no retailer has ever been read for any of them — which is not the same as sold out.

0 retailers tracked · 19 not monitoredSet-level: Pokemon-e Starter Deck sealed products, not this cardPrint status unknown

Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping — never comparable to a delivered price.

In stock near you

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Watch for restocks

Method

Each row is one tracked retailer's most recent reading of one of the set's sealed products, at that retailer's own SKU. A restock is an observed OUT_OF_STOCK → IN_STOCK transition in that SKU's reading history, never a change we inferred from a price or a gap. Shelf prices are pre-tax and exclude shipping, so they are not delivered prices and are never fed into a floor.

CatalogCard identity: set, number, rarity, finish, release date. It dates from the printing itself, so an old reading here is expected and is not staleness.	Dec 1, 2001	25.0y	98%	No
Population censusA grader's published count of the copies it has slabbed at each grade. A record of what was submitted and kept, never the odds a copy grades.	Nov 9, 2026	2d	60%	No
Confirmed saleA completed transaction at a known price — the strongest evidence on this page. Prices are delivered (item + required shipping).	Sep 2, 2026	70d	50%	No

Charizard: common questions

Charizard: common questions

Charizard (Japanese) — 012

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In stock near you