# Ultra Ball #161/149 — Sun & Moon

## Summary

Ultra Ball was the Pokémon search staple of its format, run in nearly every serious list, so the effect itself is common as dirt. As a gold secret rare tucked past the main set, it became the chase version of an everyday Trainer, and that scarcity is what collectors pay for. At a $30 modelled guide, down 3% over 30 days on 36 copies traded, with only 30 days of inventory on the board, this printing is almost entirely collector premium, since the same card plays for $0.15 out of Mega Evolution; a PSA 10 brings $96, 3.2 times raw, but a 25% gem rate against $65 of fees makes grading a losing trade.

## Identity

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Set | Sun & Moon |
| Number | 161/149 |
| Rarity | Secret Rare |
| Era | SM |
| Illustrator | Ryo Ueda |
| Release date | 2017-02-03 |
| Image | Unavailable |

## Card details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Card type | TRAINER |
| Subtype | Item |
| Legal | Standard no · Expanded yes |
| Finishes | Holo |
| Languages | EN |

## Current stats

- Headline price: **$30.35** (ITEM_MEDIAN; modelled guide price) — as of 2026-11-07
- Headline basis: MODELLED_GUIDE — The venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs.
- 24h change: n/a · 7d change: n/a — as of 2026-11-07
- Floor delivered ask: $30.00 — as of 2026-11-04T22:07:15.550Z
- Quant score: 54/100, regime FLOOR_FORMING — as of 2026-11-04T22:07:15.550Z — 8 of 11 inputs · 79% weight · -10% confidence

## Provenance

- Catalog — observed 2017-02-03T00:00:00Z, confidence 98%
- Live ask — observed 2026-11-07T14:37:37.952Z, confidence 90%
- Open auction — observed 2026-09-12T07:05:49.290Z, confidence 90%
- Guide price (modelled) — observed 2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z, confidence 90%
- Price statistic — observed 2026-11-04T06:02:06.136Z, confidence 90%
- Confirmed sale — observed 2026-10-27T05:39:31.993Z, confidence 85%
- Inventory count — observed 2026-11-04T06:02:06.136Z, confidence 70%
- Population census — observed 2026-11-04T09:50:05.509Z, confidence 60%

## Links

- [View on Cardboard Alpha](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/sun-moon/ultra-ball-161)
- [JSON snapshot](https://cardboardalpha.com/api/terminal/raw~tcgdex%3Asm1-161%3AEN%3AHOLO~NM)