Palafin #022/084 · Pitch Black · Price & Chart · PokéQuant

Palafin — 022/084

Name: Palafin #022/084
Brand: Pokémon
SKU: raw~tcgdex:me05-022:EN:NORMAL~NM

Floor FormingAt Fair ValueDEMO

Mkt Price

$2.73+1.5%

Fair Value

$2.71

Band $2.47–$2.96

Liquidity

62/100

Fair liquidity

Pop 30DN/A

VelocityN/A

Days InvN/A

No resting bid book — collectibles fixed-price markets have no bids.Auction bids appear here when live.

Cross-Market Basis——

No active listings.

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as of Aug 27, 2026 · UTC · demo fixture

Palafin — 022/084 · 1DO$2.73H$2.73L$2.73C$2.73+1.5%plotting daily close

Vol — sold·0 prints·1 obssingle obs — no range

Live Listings

PriceMarkQtyCond

TCGplayer0

eBay0

Asks at delivered prices · cheapest first · unknown shipping unranked

Fair Value

Estimated Fair Value

$2.71

Fair Value Range

$2.47 – $2.96

Deviation

+0.7%At Fair Value

vs best delivered ask $2.73

Auctions

Insufficient data demand

Not enough completed auctions to price a demand spread for this instrument.

Grading

No graded population or grading economics modelled for this printing.

Absorption / Attention

NEUTRAL

Over 30d: inventory +8.8%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.

Inventory

Why It's Moving

What changed: Sold median moved +1.5% over the trailing 7 days and -2.2% over 30 days, last printing at $2.73. Active TCGplayer listings fell 2% over the same 7 days to 124.
Primary explanation: Primary read: Data quality scored 73/100 (composite weight 6%). — the largest single contributor to the current FLOOR_FORMING regime read.
Alternative: Alternative explanation: Liquidity scored 62/100 (composite weight 10%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.
Evidence: Evidence: raw~tcgdex:me05-022:EN:NORMAL~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:me05-022:EN:NORMAL~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read ("Over 30d: inventory +8.8%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.").
Confidence: Confidence: 30% (floor-confidence 45/100), based on 30 days of observations.
What would disprove it: This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 143 while sold median keeps falling.

Recommendation

WATCHFLOOR thesis30-120d horizon

Scenario	Prob.	Description
BASE	50%	FLOOR_FORMING persists near current levels.
BULL	15%	Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.
BEAR	35%	Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.

Catalysts

+Data quality scored 73/100 (composite weight 6%).
+Liquidity scored 62/100 (composite weight 10%).

Risks

−Price trend scored 44/100 (composite weight 14%).
Reprint supply risk scored 60/100 (composite weight 6%).

Undervalued Opportunities

Loading opportunities…

Provider	Source	Observed	Confidence	Modelled	License
TCGDEX	—	Jul 17, 2026	98%	No	TCGdex catalog
FIXTURE_IMPORT	—	Aug 27, 2026	50%	No	—