# Magikarp #203/193 — Paldea Evolved

## Summary

Magikarp has a cult following built on the joke that its worth lies in what it becomes, and an Illustration rare treatment suits that affection. Shinji Kanda is a name collectors seek out for this kind of chase slot, and the attack was never a competitive factor. The modelled guide sits at $317, down 4% over 30 days on 146 copies traded, with only 12 days of inventory on the board; the slab is the real edge, with PSA 10s at $3,900 and a 15% observed gem rate putting about $440 of expected profit per submission.

## Identity

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Set | Paldea Evolved |
| Number | 203/193 |
| Rarity | Illustration rare |
| Era | SV |
| Illustrator | Shinji Kanda |
| Release date | 2023-06-09 |
| Image | Unavailable |

## Card details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Card type | POKEMON |
| Stage | Basic |
| HP | 30 |
| Types | Water |
| Attack: Expert Splasher | cost Water — damage 10+ — Flip 2 coins. If both of them are heads, this attack does 20 more damage. |
| Weakness | Lightning ×2 |
| Retreat | 1 |
| Regulation mark | G |
| Legal | Standard no · Expanded yes |
| Pokédex entry | [Magikarp #129](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/pokedex/magikarp) |
| Finishes | Holo |
| Languages | EN |

## Current stats

- Headline price: **$316.54** (ITEM_MEDIAN; modelled guide price) — as of 2026-10-23T13:48:16.373Z
- Headline basis: MODELLED_GUIDE — The venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs.
- 24h change: 0.00% · 7d change: -8.80% — as of 2026-10-23T13:48:16.373Z
- Floor delivered ask: $279.25 — as of 2026-10-23T13:48:16.373Z
- Quant score: 43/100, regime FALLING — as of 2026-10-23T13:48:16.373Z — 8 of 11 inputs · 81% weight · -9% confidence

## Provenance

- Catalog — observed 2023-06-09T00:00:00Z, confidence 98%
- Live ask — observed 2026-10-23T13:42:01.963Z, confidence 90%
- Price statistic — observed 2026-10-23T13:42:01.963Z, confidence 90%
- Confirmed sale — observed 2026-10-22T17:18:53.360Z, confidence 85%
- Inventory count — observed 2026-10-23T13:42:01.963Z, confidence 70%
- Guide price (modelled) — observed 2026-10-23T00:00:00.000Z, confidence 60%
- Population census — observed 2026-10-18T23:51:02.833Z, confidence 60%

## Links

- [View on Cardboard Alpha](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/paldea-evolved/magikarp-203)
- [JSON snapshot](https://cardboardalpha.com/api/terminal/raw~tcgdex%3Asv02-203%3AEN%3AHOLO~NM)