# Chien-Pao ex #261/193 — Paldea Evolved

## Summary

Chien-Pao ex was a real tournament engine, its Shivery Chill ability fetching Water Energy to fuel Hail Blade, and it anchored top-tier lists of its season. As a Special Illustration Rare it sits in the set's chase tier, and Chien-Pao is the Ruin most fans actually want. The modelled guide sits at $24, down 10% over 30 days on 122 copies traded, with only 23 days of inventory on the board; a CGC 10 brings $83, 3.4 times raw, but a 53% gem rate against $45 of fees makes grading a losing trade.

## Identity

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Set | Paldea Evolved |
| Number | 261/193 |
| Rarity | Special illustration rare |
| Era | SV |
| Illustrator | kodama |
| Release date | 2023-06-09 |
| Image | Unavailable |

## Card details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Card type | POKEMON |
| Stage | Basic |
| Suffix | ex |
| HP | 220 |
| Types | Water |
| Ability: Shivery Chill | Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may search your deck for up to 2 Basic {W} Energy cards, reveal them, and put them into your hand. Then, shuffle your deck. |
| Attack: Hail Blade | cost Water/Water — damage 60× — You may discard any amount of {W} Energy from your Pokémon. This attack does 60 damage for each card you discarded in this way. |
| Weakness | Metal ×2 |
| Retreat | 2 |
| Regulation mark | G |
| Legal | Standard no · Expanded yes |
| Pokédex entry | [Chien-Pao #1002](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/pokedex/chien-pao) |
| Finishes | Holo |
| Languages | EN |

## Current stats

- Headline price: **$24.36** (ITEM_MEDIAN; modelled guide price) — as of 2026-11-11
- Headline basis: MODELLED_GUIDE — The venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs.
- 24h change: -0.20% · 7d change: +1.00% — as of 2026-11-11
- Floor delivered ask: $24.44 — as of 2026-11-11T22:49:42.230Z
- Quant score: 54/100, regime FLOOR_FORMING — as of 2026-11-11T22:49:42.230Z — 9 of 11 inputs · 90% weight · -5% confidence

## Provenance

- Catalog — observed 2023-06-09T00:00:00Z, confidence 98%
- Live ask — observed 2026-11-12T06:07:32.504Z, confidence 90%
- Price statistic — observed 2026-11-11T06:33:22.028Z, confidence 90%
- Confirmed sale — observed 2026-11-10T12:28:41.523Z, confidence 85%
- Inventory count — observed 2026-11-11T06:33:22.027Z, confidence 70%
- Guide price (modelled) — observed 2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z, confidence 60%
- Population census — observed 2026-11-10T20:40:33.844Z, confidence 60%

## Links

- [View on Cardboard Alpha](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/paldea-evolved/chien-pao-ex-261)
- [JSON snapshot](https://cardboardalpha.com/api/terminal/raw~tcgdex%3Asv02-261%3AEN%3AHOLO~NM)
