# Totodile #048 — MEP Black Star Promos

## Summary

Totodile carries the weight of Johto's starter trio, and that Gen II loyalty gives even a Basic promo a steady audience among players who began with Gold and Silver. Promos like this sit outside any main set's chase slots, so demand rests on Saboteri's name and the Pokémon's following. At a $7.28 sold median, down 27% over 30 days on 897 copies traded, with only 11 days of inventory on the board, this printing is almost entirely collector premium, since the same card plays for $0.23 out of Ascended Heroes; a ACE 10 brings $59, 8.1 times raw, but a 93% gem rate against $49 of fees makes grading a losing trade.

## Identity

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Set | MEP Black Star Promos |
| Number | 048 |
| Rarity | Promo |
| Era | MEGA |
| Illustrator | Saboteri |
| Release date | 2025-09-26 |
| Image | Unavailable |

## Card details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Card type | POKEMON |
| Stage | Basic |
| HP | 80 |
| Types | Water |
| Attack: Bite | cost Water/Water/Colorless — damage 50 |
| Weakness | Lightning x2 |
| Retreat | 2 |
| Regulation mark | J |
| Legal | Standard yes · Expanded yes |
| Pokédex entry | [Totodile #158](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/pokedex/totodile) |
| Finishes | Holo |
| Languages | EN |

## Current stats

- Headline price: **$7.28** (ITEM_MEDIAN; sold median) — as of 2026-11-06
- Headline basis: PRINTS — The median price of the day’s confirmed prints — copies that actually changed hands.
- 24h change: -1.00% · 7d change: -9.70% — as of 2026-11-06
- Floor delivered ask: $7.30 — as of 2026-11-06T13:57:13.260Z
- Quant score: 51/100, regime FALLING — as of 2026-11-06T13:57:13.260Z — 8 of 11 inputs · 83% weight · -9% confidence

## Provenance

- Catalog — observed 2025-09-26T00:00:00Z, confidence 98%
- Live ask — observed 2026-11-07T02:04:47.155Z, confidence 90%
- Price statistic — observed 2026-11-06T23:59:24.151Z, confidence 90%
- Confirmed sale — observed 2026-11-06T23:17:53.147Z, confidence 85%
- Inventory count — observed 2026-11-06T23:59:24.148Z, confidence 70%
- Guide price (modelled) — observed 2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z, confidence 60%
- Population census — observed 2026-11-04T07:38:10.587Z, confidence 60%

## Links

- [View on Cardboard Alpha](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/mep-black-star-promos/totodile-048)
- [JSON snapshot](https://cardboardalpha.com/api/terminal/raw~tcgdex%3Amep-048%3AEN%3AHOLO~NM)
