# Poliwag #030/196 — Lost Origin

## Summary

Poliwag is a bulk common from a Sword & Shield set, the sort of pull that fills a binder page without anyone chasing it. Its draw is the Kantō starter-era Water line, whose Poliwrath and Politoed forms keep a modest, loyal following among nostalgic completionists and Miki Tanaka fans. A $0.13 modelled guide, down 19% over 30 days on 20 copies traded, says bulk, with 4,522 days of inventory sitting on the board, and the economics stop there: no PSA population is on file.

## Identity

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Set | Lost Origin |
| Number | 030/196 |
| Rarity | Common |
| Era | SWSH |
| Illustrator | Miki Tanaka |
| Release date | 2022-09-09 |
| Image | Unavailable |

## Card details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Card type | POKEMON |
| Stage | Basic |
| HP | 60 |
| Types | Water |
| Attack: Splashing Dodge | cost Water — damage 10 — Flip a coin. If heads, during your opponent's next turn, prevent all damage from and effects of attacks done to this Pokémon. |
| Retreat | 1 |
| Regulation mark | F |
| Legal | Standard no · Expanded yes |
| Pokédex entry | [Poliwag #060](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/pokedex/poliwag) |
| Finishes | Normal, Reverse Holo |
| Languages | EN |

## Current stats

- Headline price: **$0.13** (ITEM_MEDIAN; modelled guide price) — as of 2026-11-05
- Headline basis: MODELLED_GUIDE — The venue’s published daily market guide, which the venue itself declares MODELLED. Nothing is confirmed to have traded at it, no copy is listed at it, and it is not our estimate — it is theirs.
- 24h change: n/a · 7d change: n/a — as of 2026-11-05
- Floor delivered ask: $0.99 — as of 2026-11-05T03:23:12.695Z
- Quant score: 25/100, regime FLOOR_FORMING — as of 2026-11-05T03:23:12.695Z — 4 of 11 inputs · 38% weight · -31% confidence

## Provenance

- Catalog — observed 2022-09-09T00:00:00Z, confidence 98%
- Live ask — observed 2026-10-19T07:15:56.081Z, confidence 90%
- Price statistic — observed 2026-10-18T20:42:25.567Z, confidence 90%
- Confirmed sale — observed 2026-10-17T11:41:15.800Z, confidence 85%
- Guide price (modelled) — observed 2026-11-05T03:18:48.772Z, confidence 75%
- Inventory count — observed 2026-10-18T20:42:25.566Z, confidence 70%

## Links

- [View on Cardboard Alpha](https://cardboardalpha.com/pokemon/lost-origin/poliwag-030)
- [JSON snapshot](https://cardboardalpha.com/api/terminal/raw~tcgdex%3Aswsh11-030%3AEN%3ANORMAL~NM)
