{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","card":{"printingId":"tcgdex:me05-096","conceptId":"concept:lurantis-ex","name":"Lurantis ex","setId":"me05","setName":"Pitch Black","setSlug":"pitch-black","cardSlug":"lurantis-ex-096","localId":"096","cardCountOfficial":84,"rarity":"Ultra Rare","illustrator":"5ban Graphics","releaseDate":"2026-07-17","imageUrl":"https://assets.tcgdex.net/en/me/me05/096","era":"MEGA","subjects":["lurantis"]},"variants":[{"variantId":"tcgdex:me05-004:EN:HOLO","label":"004 · EN Holo · Double rare","cardSlug":"lurantis-ex-004","instrumentOptions":[{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-004:EN:HOLO~NM","label":"Raw NM"}]},{"variantId":"tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO","label":"096 · EN Holo · Ultra Rare","cardSlug":"lurantis-ex-096","instrumentOptions":[{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","label":"Raw NM"}]}],"headline":{"priceCents":5927,"priceStat":"SOLD_MEDIAN","currency":"USD","change24hPct":-0.2,"change7dPct":-0.2,"change30dPct":-25.7,"regime":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","label":"EARLY_ACCUMULATION","confidence":0.6076923,"since":null,"formulaVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","evidence":[{"detail":"Absorption sub-score 81/100 (>= 65)","factor":"absorption","weight":1,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Inventory -12.7% over 30d (<= -10%)","factor":"invChg30","weight":1,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"25.7% below peak (>= 20%)","factor":"ddFromPeak","weight":1,"direction":"NEUTRAL","evidenceRefs":[]}]}},"series":[{"key":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER","label":"TCGplayer active listings","unit":"count","isModelled":false,"sourceNote":null,"points":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":232},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":238},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":245},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":253},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":265},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":267},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":255},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":245},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":241},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":228},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":231},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":223},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":232},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":235},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":239},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":240},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":240},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":232},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":229},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":233}]},{"key":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER","label":"TCGplayer sold median","unit":"usd_cents","isModelled":false,"sourceNote":null,"points":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":7977},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":7902},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":7829},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":7718},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":7548},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":7402},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":7419},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":7204},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":7103},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":7073},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":6890},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":6773},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":6714},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":6594},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":6571},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":6466},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":6327},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":6237},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":6063},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":5934},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":5928},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":5945},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":5940},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":5927},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":5937},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":5934},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":5947},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":5944},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":5937},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":5927}]},{"key":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM|LOWEST_ASK|TCGPLAYER","label":"TCGplayer lowest delivered ask","unit":"usd_cents","isModelled":false,"sourceNote":null,"points":[{"t":"2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z","v":5749}]}],"indicators":[{"key":"sma20","label":"SMA(20)","points":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":7403.166666666667},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":7350.153846153846},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":7296.142857142857},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":7247.8},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":7198.9375},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":7147.64705882353},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":7097.055555555556},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":7042.631578947368},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":6987.2},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":6884.75},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":6786.9},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":6692.45},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":6602.9},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":6522.35},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":6448.95},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":6375.35},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":6312.35},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":6254.05},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":6196.75}],"window":20,"minSamples":12},{"key":"rsi14","label":"RSI(14)","points":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.8123667377398789},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.5165031222123133},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.3731825525040477},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.3107170393215029},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.1997177134791883},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.180555555555543},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.09460128776621},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":0.9916676446426322},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":0.9306441026980252},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":0.8249500947473507},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":0.7563659319267657},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":0.7532292565925616},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.9933825314993072},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.9855240272386112},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":1.963846249466556},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":2.8425792189325847},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":2.834371294753339},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":4.126266188112183},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":4.112676744446915},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":4.078920729511026},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":4.028056925421993}],"window":14,"minSamples":9},{"key":"bb_upper","label":"Bollinger Upper(20)","points":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":8173.238019782006},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":8176.162915261759},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":8182.28597913448},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":8177.194125223525},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":8175.17529601847},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":8179.802300493393},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":8183.427800378198},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":8196.47316444866},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":8211.252711283301},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":8103.257755412333},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":7976.912252037768},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":7835.559526685873},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":7689.847450431712},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":7554.601573018904},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":7427.963477946039},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":7269.212914545626},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":7138.785302972956},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":7010.7215205424345},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":6865.08760181513}],"window":20,"minSamples":12},{"key":"bb_lower","label":"Bollinger Lower(20)","points":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":null},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":6633.095313551328},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":6524.144777045933},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":6409.999735151234},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":6318.405874776476},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":6222.69970398153},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":6115.4918171536665},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":6010.683310732913},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":5888.7899934460775},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":5763.147288716699},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":5666.242244587667},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":5596.8877479622315},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":5549.340473314127},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":5515.952549568287},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":5490.098426981097},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":5469.93652205396},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":5481.487085454375},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":5485.914697027045},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":5497.378479457566},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":5528.41239818487}],"window":20,"minSamples":12}],"depth":{"hhi":null,"asOf":"2026-09-01T16:02:11.395Z","rungs":[],"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","totalUnits":0,"marketplace":null,"totalListings":0,"distinctSellers":null,"topSellerShares":[0,0,0],"excludedUnknownShipping":0},"impact":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T16:02:11.395Z","fills":[{"quantity":1,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":5,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":10,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":20,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":25,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null}]},"absorption":{"classification":"ABSORPTION","inventoryChangePct":-12.734082397003746,"cheapDepthChangePct":null,"salesVelocityChangePct":null,"confidence":0.2777777777777778,"windowDays":30,"detail":"Over 30d: inventory -12.7%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> ABSORPTION."},"scores":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T16:02:11.395Z","formulaVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","windowDays":30,"sampleSize":30,"subScores":{"liquidity":67.87097732029636,"absorption":80.55555555555556,"priceTrend":24.943572924174475,"dataQuality":68.68196463541666,"auctionDemand":null,"collectorAppeal":null,"supplyTightness":62.734082397003746,"attentionQuality":null,"relativeStrength":17.696752165545995,"reprintSupplyRisk":60,"gradingReflexivity":null},"missingInputs":["auctionDemand","attentionQuality","gradingReflexivity","collectorAppeal"],"quantScore":51.910637,"floorConfidence":55.073975,"confidencePenalty":0.14,"drivers":[{"detail":"Absorption scored 81/100 (composite weight 14%).","factor":"absorption","weight":0.14,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Price trend scored 25/100 (composite weight 14%).","factor":"priceTrend","weight":0.14,"direction":"BEARISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Relative strength scored 18/100 (composite weight 10%).","factor":"relativeStrength","weight":0.1,"direction":"BEARISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Liquidity scored 68/100 (composite weight 10%).","factor":"liquidity","weight":0.1,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Supply tightness scored 63/100 (composite weight 12%).","factor":"supplyTightness","weight":0.12,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]},{"detail":"Data quality scored 69/100 (composite weight 6%).","factor":"dataQuality","weight":0.06,"direction":"BULLISH","evidenceRefs":[]}],"deltas":{"d1":null,"d7":null}},"recommendation":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T16:02:11.395Z","action":"STARTER_BUY","thesisType":"FLOOR","horizonDays":[30,120],"confidence":0.5226154,"dataQuality":68.68196,"entryDeliveredRangeCents":null,"quantityPlan":[{"quantity":1,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":5,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":10,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":20,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null},{"quantity":25,"vwapCents":null,"achievable":false,"filledUnits":0,"totalCostCents":null,"worstPriceCents":null,"slippagePctVsLowest":null}],"scenarios":[{"name":"BASE","description":"EARLY_ACCUMULATION persists near current levels.","probability":0.5},{"name":"BULL","description":"Absorption/demand corroboration strengthens faster than expected, accelerating the thesis.","probability":0.3038461538461539},{"name":"BEAR","description":"Supply returns or demand fails to corroborate, invalidating the thesis sooner than expected.","probability":0.19615384615384612}],"catalysts":["Absorption scored 81/100 (composite weight 14%).","Liquidity scored 68/100 (composite weight 10%).","Supply tightness scored 63/100 (composite weight 12%).","Data quality scored 69/100 (composite weight 6%).","Absorption sub-score 81/100 (>= 65)","Inventory -12.7% over 30d (<= -10%)"],"risks":["Price trend scored 25/100 (composite weight 14%).","Relative strength scored 18/100 (composite weight 10%)."],"counterThesis":"The strongest case against this thesis: Price trend scored 25/100 (composite weight 14%).","invalidation":["If \"Absorption sub-score 81/100 (>= 65)\" reverses, the EARLY_ACCUMULATION read (and this thesis) is invalidated.","If \"Inventory -12.7% over 30d (<= -10%)\" reverses, the EARLY_ACCUMULATION read (and this thesis) is invalidated.","If \"25.7% below peak (>= 20%)\" reverses, the EARLY_ACCUMULATION read (and this thesis) is invalidated."],"nextEvidence":["More evidence on auctionDemand would sharpen this read.","More evidence on attentionQuality would sharpen this read.","More evidence on gradingReflexivity would sharpen this read.","More evidence on collectorAppeal would sharpen this read."],"modelVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","changeSincePrior":null,"disclaimer":"Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice."},"gradingEv":null,"population":null,"provenance":[{"providerId":"TCGDEX","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-07-17T00:00:00Z","freshnessSeconds":4038578,"confidence":0.98,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":"TCGdex catalog"},{"providerId":"FIXTURE_IMPORT","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z","freshnessSeconds":452978,"confidence":0.5,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":null}],"eventMarkers":[{"t":"2026-07-17T00:00:00.000Z","kind":"SET_RELEASE","title":"Pitch Black (me05) released"}],"dataMode":"DEMO","auctionSummary":{"classification":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","completedMedianCents":null,"completedMeanCents":null,"binFloorCents":null,"spreadVsBinPct":null,"active":[],"sampleSizeCompleted":0},"whyMoving":{"whatChanged":"Sold median moved -0.2% over the trailing 7 days and -25.7% over 30 days, last printing at $59.27. Active TCGplayer listings fell 0% over the same 7 days to 233.","primaryExplanation":"Primary read: Absorption scored 81/100 (composite weight 14%). — the largest single contributor to the current EARLY_ACCUMULATION regime read.","alternative":"Alternative explanation: Price trend scored 25/100 (composite weight 14%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.","evidence":"Evidence: raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read (\"Over 30d: inventory -12.7%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> ABSORPTION.\").","confidence":"Confidence: 61% (floor-confidence 55/100), based on 30 days of observations.","disproof":"This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 268 while sold median keeps falling."},"analytics":{"bars":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7977,"highCents":7977,"lowCents":7977,"closeCents":7977,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7902,"highCents":7902,"lowCents":7902,"closeCents":7902,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7977},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7829,"highCents":7829,"lowCents":7829,"closeCents":7829,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7902},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7718,"highCents":7718,"lowCents":7718,"closeCents":7718,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7829},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7548,"highCents":7548,"lowCents":7548,"closeCents":7548,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7718},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7402,"highCents":7402,"lowCents":7402,"closeCents":7402,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7548},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7419,"highCents":7419,"lowCents":7419,"closeCents":7419,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7402},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7204,"highCents":7204,"lowCents":7204,"closeCents":7204,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7419},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7103,"highCents":7103,"lowCents":7103,"closeCents":7103,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7204},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":7073,"highCents":7073,"lowCents":7073,"closeCents":7073,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7103},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6890,"highCents":6890,"lowCents":6890,"closeCents":6890,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":7073},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6773,"highCents":6773,"lowCents":6773,"closeCents":6773,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6890},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6714,"highCents":6714,"lowCents":6714,"closeCents":6714,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6773},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6594,"highCents":6594,"lowCents":6594,"closeCents":6594,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6714},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6571,"highCents":6571,"lowCents":6571,"closeCents":6571,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6594},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6466,"highCents":6466,"lowCents":6466,"closeCents":6466,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6571},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6327,"highCents":6327,"lowCents":6327,"closeCents":6327,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6466},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6237,"highCents":6237,"lowCents":6237,"closeCents":6237,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6327},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":6063,"highCents":6063,"lowCents":6063,"closeCents":6063,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6237},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5934,"highCents":5934,"lowCents":5934,"closeCents":5934,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":6063},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5928,"highCents":5928,"lowCents":5928,"closeCents":5928,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5934},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5945,"highCents":5945,"lowCents":5945,"closeCents":5945,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5928},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5940,"highCents":5940,"lowCents":5940,"closeCents":5940,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5945},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5927,"highCents":5927,"lowCents":5927,"closeCents":5927,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5940},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5937,"highCents":5937,"lowCents":5937,"closeCents":5937,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5927},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5934,"highCents":5934,"lowCents":5934,"closeCents":5934,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5937},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5947,"highCents":5947,"lowCents":5947,"closeCents":5947,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5934},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5944,"highCents":5944,"lowCents":5944,"closeCents":5944,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5947},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5937,"highCents":5937,"lowCents":5937,"closeCents":5937,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5944},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":5927,"highCents":5927,"lowCents":5927,"closeCents":5927,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":5937}],"dailyVolume":[],"volumeProfile":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T17:49:38.069Z","windowDays":30,"valueAreaPct":0.7,"totalUnits":0,"sampleSize":0,"bins":[],"pocCents":null,"valueAreaLowCents":null,"valueAreaHighCents":null,"insufficientData":true},"fairValue":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T17:49:38.069Z","marketPriceCents":5927,"components":[{"key":"salesVwap","label":"Sales VWAP","valueCents":null,"weight":0,"note":"Unavailable in the trailing 30d window — reweighted away, not defaulted."},{"key":"depthClearing","label":"Depth clearing","valueCents":null,"weight":0,"note":"Unavailable in the trailing 30d window — reweighted away, not defaulted."},{"key":"trendAnchor","label":"Trend anchor","valueCents":6197,"weight":1,"note":"Last non-null trend value (SMA) of the price series, in delivered terms."},{"key":"auctionClearing","label":"Auction clearing","valueCents":null,"weight":0,"note":"Unavailable in the trailing 30d window — reweighted away, not defaulted."}],"sampleSize":0,"windowDays":30,"formulaVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","pointCents":6197,"lowCents":5639,"highCents":6754,"deviationPct":-4.4,"verdict":"AT_FAIR_VALUE","confidence":0.26,"method":"BLENDED","distribution":[{"priceCents":5082,"density":0.011109},{"priceCents":5137,"density":0.017227},{"priceCents":5193,"density":0.026121},{"priceCents":5249,"density":0.038726},{"priceCents":5305,"density":0.056135},{"priceCents":5360,"density":0.07956},{"priceCents":5416,"density":0.110251},{"priceCents":5472,"density":0.149382},{"priceCents":5528,"density":0.197899},{"priceCents":5584,"density":0.25634},{"priceCents":5639,"density":0.324652},{"priceCents":5695,"density":0.402021},{"priceCents":5751,"density":0.486752},{"priceCents":5807,"density":0.576229},{"priceCents":5862,"density":0.666977},{"priceCents":5918,"density":0.75484},{"priceCents":5974,"density":0.83527},{"priceCents":6030,"density":0.903707},{"priceCents":6085,"density":0.955997},{"priceCents":6141,"density":0.988813},{"priceCents":6197,"density":1},{"priceCents":6253,"density":0.988813},{"priceCents":6309,"density":0.955997},{"priceCents":6364,"density":0.903707},{"priceCents":6420,"density":0.83527},{"priceCents":6476,"density":0.75484},{"priceCents":6532,"density":0.666977},{"priceCents":6587,"density":0.576229},{"priceCents":6643,"density":0.486752},{"priceCents":6699,"density":0.402021},{"priceCents":6755,"density":0.324652},{"priceCents":6810,"density":0.25634},{"priceCents":6866,"density":0.197899},{"priceCents":6922,"density":0.149382},{"priceCents":6978,"density":0.110251},{"priceCents":7034,"density":0.07956},{"priceCents":7089,"density":0.056135},{"priceCents":7145,"density":0.038726},{"priceCents":7201,"density":0.026121},{"priceCents":7257,"density":0.017227},{"priceCents":7312,"density":0.011109}],"uncertaintyNote":"Band is ±9.0% of the point estimate: 1 of 4 components available (missing: sales vwap, depth clearing, auction clearing — 80% of weight reweighted away, 35% confidence penalty), on 0 observation(s) in the trailing 30d. Thin samples and missing components widen the band 4.50x over the raw component spread."},"supply":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T17:49:38.069Z","windowDays":30,"rawListingUnits":233,"rawListingChange30dPct":-12.7,"rawListingSeries":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","v":232},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","v":238},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","v":245},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","v":253},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","v":265},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","v":267},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","v":255},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","v":245},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","v":241},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","v":228},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","v":231},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","v":223},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","v":232},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","v":235},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","v":239},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","v":240},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","v":240},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","v":232},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","v":229},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-20T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-21T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-23T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-24T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-25T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-26T00:00:00.000Z","v":233},{"t":"2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z","v":233}],"gradedPopulationTotal":null,"gradedPopulationChange30dPct":null,"populationRows":[],"populationSeries":[],"salesVelocityPerDay":null,"daysOfInventory":null,"daysOfInventoryBand":"UNKNOWN","sampleSize":0},"flow":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T17:49:38.069Z","windowDays":30,"netFlowCents":null,"buyerSellerRatio":null,"largeTransactionRatio":null,"largeTransactionThresholdCents":null,"smartMoneySignal":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","bins":[],"cumulativeSeries":[],"sampleSize":0,"confidence":0,"detail":"Insufficient data: 0 classified print(s) of 0 in the trailing 30d; need >= 8."},"book":{"instrument":"raw~tcgdex:me05-096:EN:HOLO~NM","asOf":"2026-09-01T17:49:38.069Z","askLevels":[],"bidLevels":[],"bidSource":"NONE","bestAskCents":null,"bestBidCents":null,"crossMarketBasisCents":null,"crossMarketBasisPct":null,"askDepthCents":null,"bidDepthCents":null,"askUnits":0,"bidUnits":0,"distinctAskSellers":null,"excludedUnknownShipping":0,"note":"Asks are live fixed-price listings at delivered prices (item + required shipping). No bid side exists: this market has no resting bid book. There are no live auction bids and no published buylist for this instrument, so the bid side is empty rather than synthesized from asks, price history or a spread assumption."},"recentSales":[]}}