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evidence on collectorAppeal would sharpen this read."],"modelVersion":"pq-quant-2026.09.0","changeSincePrior":null,"disclaimer":"Research classification generated from observable market data with stated confidence and assumptions. Not personalized financial advice."},"gradingEv":null,"population":null,"provenance":[{"providerId":"TCGDEX","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-07-17T00:00:00Z","freshnessSeconds":4041529,"confidence":0.98,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":"TCGdex catalog"},{"providerId":"FIXTURE_IMPORT","sourceUrl":null,"observedAt":"2026-08-27T12:00:00.000Z","freshnessSeconds":455929,"confidence":0.5,"isModelled":false,"licenseNote":null}],"eventMarkers":[{"t":"2026-07-17T00:00:00.000Z","kind":"SET_RELEASE","title":"Pitch Black (me05) released"}],"dataMode":"DEMO","auctionSummary":{"classification":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","completedMedianCents":null,"completedMeanCents":null,"binFloorCents":null,"spreadVsBinPct":null,"active":[],"sampleSizeCompleted":0},"whyMoving":{"whatChanged":"Sold median moved +0.8% over the trailing 7 days and -5.6% over 30 days, last printing at $19.99. Active TCGplayer listings rose 17% over the same 7 days to 49.","primaryExplanation":"Primary read: Supply tightness scored 39/100 (composite weight 12%). — the largest single contributor to the current FLOOR_FORMING regime read.","alternative":"Alternative explanation: Data quality scored 69/100 (composite weight 6%).. With 0 distinct sellers/observations in the trailing window, either read is defensible — this is not a high-conviction single-cause move.","evidence":"Evidence: raw~tcgdex:me05-090:EN:HOLO~NM|SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER, raw~tcgdex:me05-090:EN:HOLO~NM|LISTING_COUNT|TCGPLAYER, absorption read (\"Over 30d: inventory +11.4%, cheap depth no data, sales velocity no data -> NEUTRAL.\").","confidence":"Confidence: 30% (floor-confidence 42/100), based on 30 days of observations.","disproof":"This read would be wrong if active listings rebound above 56 while sold median keeps falling."},"analytics":{"bars":[{"t":"2026-07-29T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2117,"highCents":2117,"lowCents":2117,"closeCents":2117,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":null},{"t":"2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2111,"highCents":2111,"lowCents":2111,"closeCents":2111,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2117},{"t":"2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2097,"highCents":2097,"lowCents":2097,"closeCents":2097,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2111},{"t":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2092,"highCents":2092,"lowCents":2092,"closeCents":2092,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2097},{"t":"2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2063,"highCents":2063,"lowCents":2063,"closeCents":2063,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2092},{"t":"2026-08-03T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2049,"highCents":2049,"lowCents":2049,"closeCents":2049,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2063},{"t":"2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2054,"highCents":2054,"lowCents":2054,"closeCents":2054,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2049},{"t":"2026-08-05T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2043,"highCents":2043,"lowCents":2043,"closeCents":2043,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2054},{"t":"2026-08-06T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2059,"highCents":2059,"lowCents":2059,"closeCents":2059,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2043},{"t":"2026-08-07T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2051,"highCents":2051,"lowCents":2051,"closeCents":2051,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2059},{"t":"2026-08-08T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2038,"highCents":2038,"lowCents":2038,"closeCents":2038,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2051},{"t":"2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2024,"highCents":2024,"lowCents":2024,"closeCents":2024,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2038},{"t":"2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2051,"highCents":2051,"lowCents":2051,"closeCents":2051,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2024},{"t":"2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2031,"highCents":2031,"lowCents":2031,"closeCents":2031,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2051},{"t":"2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2003,"highCents":2003,"lowCents":2003,"closeCents":2003,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2031},{"t":"2026-08-13T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1989,"highCents":1989,"lowCents":1989,"closeCents":1989,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2003},{"t":"2026-08-14T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1985,"highCents":1985,"lowCents":1985,"closeCents":1985,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1989},{"t":"2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2003,"highCents":2003,"lowCents":2003,"closeCents":2003,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":1985},{"t":"2026-08-16T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":2015,"highCents":2015,"lowCents":2015,"closeCents":2015,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2003},{"t":"2026-08-17T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1987,"highCents":1987,"lowCents":1987,"closeCents":1987,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPLAYER"],"prevCloseCents":2015},{"t":"2026-08-18T00:00:00.000Z","openCents":1972,"highCents":1972,"lowCents":1972,"closeCents":1972,"volumeUnits":0,"printCount":0,"observationCount":1,"isSingleObservation":true,"sources":["SOLD_MEDIAN|TCGPL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